Leiden vs BAL Weert Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 100-73

30-19 32-18 20-19 18-17

Position#1

Record7-1

FormWWWLW

Points / game87.2

Allowed / game71.4

Leiden 🏆

BAL Weert

Position#10

Record1-9

FormLLLLW

Points / game69.4

Allowed / game87.3

DBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Leiden v BAL Weert

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BAL Weert winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Helder

78-73

A27/10

DBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

65-75

-10

H31/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Den Bosch

91-83

A04/11

DBL

Sakarya BB

#11

99-97 OT

H07/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Zwolle

82-87

-5

H10/11

DBL

CSM Oradea

#37

76-72

A14/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Amsterdam

93-61

+32

A16/11

DBL

Amsterdam

93-72

+21

H18/11

DBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

61-87

-26

A20/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Dordrecht

91-66

+25

H22/11

DBL

23-16

15-22

22-15

18-20

21-12

9-13

17-18

18-32

17-23

28-14

24-16

22-30

16-10

18-26

22-33

26-13

24-24

22-21

15-23

21-19

23-13

17-18

18-21

18-20

24-18

22-16

24-12

23-15

27-22

21-22

25-9

20-19

19-17

18-19

7-27

17-24

22-23

23-15

23-13

160.2Avg total

82.9Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	87.2	71.4	158.6	+15.9	88%
Season at home (4)	88.5	72.2	160.8	+16.2	75%
Season away (4)	86.0	70.5	156.5	+15.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	82.9	77.3	160.2	+5.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	71.6	154.4	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	70.8	81.4	152.1	-10.6	25%
vs Similar (8)	79.9	75.5	155.4	+4.4	88%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	81.5	66.8	148.3	+14.8	92%

This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BAL Weert

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

53-90

-37

A07/10

DBL

Amsterdam

71-91

-20

A11/10

DBL

Leiden

65-82

-17

H14/10

DBL

LWD Basket

69-75

-6

A20/10

DBL

Zwolle

71-91

-20

H28/10

DBL

Dordrecht

52-70

-18

A04/11

DBL

Rotterdam

71-89

-18

H08/11

DBL

Den Helder

91-102

102

-11

H11/11

DBL

Donar Groningen

60-105

105

-45

H18/11

DBL

Amsterdam

91-78

+13

H22/11

DBL

14-18

11-29

15-25

13-18

17-23

23-28

18-18

13-22

20-15

16-17

11-29

18-21

17-17

17-16

25-28

10-14

20-22

19-23

14-18

18-28

14-13

13-16

15-17

10-24

14-18

22-13

24-31

11-27

13-24

21-27

31-20

26-31

13-18

15-34

17-23

15-30

12-26

23-21

31-6

25-25

156.7Avg total

69.4Scored

87.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	69.4	87.3	156.7	-17.9	10%
Season at home (6)	74.8	91.2	166.0	-16.3	17%
Season away (4)	61.2	81.5	142.8	-20.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	69.4	87.3	156.7	-17.9	10%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	88.8	161.8	-15.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	66.8	83.6	150.4	-16.8	7%
vs Similar (3)	79.7	84.7	164.3	-5.0	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LeidenBAL Weert

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	17.1	36.9	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.9	16.5	34.4	+1.4	75%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.5	17.8	39.4	+3.7	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.3	18.5	34.8	-2.2	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.4	20.7	38.1	-3.3	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	19.4	34.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.2	19.8	33.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	16.6	19.3	35.9	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.3	21.0	39.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.2	36.9	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	19.5	36.7	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.1	19.1	35.2	-3.0	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.0	46%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.1	20.3	36.4	-4.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	15.5	21.1	36.5	-5.6	18%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	22.4	40.4	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	15.6	20.8	36.4	-5.1	19%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.0	16.3	36.3	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Helder

38-38

A27/10

DBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

30-25

H31/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Den Bosch

45-37

A04/11

DBL

Sakarya BB

#11

34-36

-2

H07/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Zwolle

46-45

H10/11

DBL

CSM Oradea

#37

40-31

A14/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Amsterdam

46-34

+12

A16/11

DBL

Amsterdam

48-44

H18/11

DBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

37-36

A20/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Dordrecht

45-38

H22/11

DBL

77.3Avg total

40.9Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	37.1	75.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	35.9	74.1	+2.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	38.3	76.2	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	36.4	77.3	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	36.6	79.8	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.0	35.6	69.6	-1.6	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.4	39.2	76.6	-1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	40.5	36.8	77.2	+3.7	62%	-

This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

25-47

-22

A07/10

DBL

Amsterdam

40-51

-11

A11/10

DBL

Leiden

36-32

H14/10

DBL

LWD Basket

34-33

A20/10

DBL

Zwolle

39-45

-6

H28/10

DBL

Dordrecht

27-29

-2

A04/11

DBL

Rotterdam

36-31

H08/11

DBL

Den Helder

34-51

-17

H11/11

DBL

Donar Groningen

28-52

-24

H18/11

DBL

Amsterdam

35-47

-12

H22/11

DBL

75.2Avg total

33.4Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.8	39.8	72.6	-6.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	31.8	39.5	71.3	-7.8	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.2	40.1	74.3	-5.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.4	41.8	75.2	-8.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	42.0	74.0	-10.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	32.2	40.0	72.3	-7.8	22%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.3	37.3	75.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.5	37.8	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	16.5	37.5	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.4	23.6	39.0	-8.2	12%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	16.9	38.8	+5.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.8	13.8	36.6	+8.9	92%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.6	21.5	39.2	-3.9	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.4	43.0	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.3	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.9	37.2	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.2	20.2	39.5	-1.0	62%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.3	16.2	34.5	+2.2	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.3	22.9	39.2	-6.5	13%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.1	24.3	41.4	-7.2	12%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.3	21.0	36.3	-5.7	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	24.0	39.9	-8.1	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	27.4	44.8	-10.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	15.6	22.4	38.0	-6.7	11%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.7	27.3	50.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	35.6	74.8	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	34.5	74.7	+5.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	36.8	75.0	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	39.4	79.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	35.0	74.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.6	43.9	78.5	-9.2	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.5	36.2	78.8	+6.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	41.1	30.0	71.1	+11.1	92%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	43.9	79.2	-8.7	17%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.0	45.0	82.0	-8.0	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	32.9	42.5	75.5	-9.6	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	45.5	81.5	-9.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	46.8	87.8	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	34.6	43.6	78.1	-9.0	15%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.3	47.3	88.7	-6.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Leiden wins

BAL Weert wins

Date	Game	Score
14/10/18	BAL Weert v Leiden	65-82
03/04/18	BAL Weert v Leiden	46-75
03/02/18	Leiden v BAL Weert	74-70
16/12/17	BAL Weert v Leiden	73-76
14/10/17	Leiden v BAL Weert	101-78

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/11/18	H	Dordrecht	91-66
20/11/18	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	61-87
18/11/18	H	Amsterdam	93-72
16/11/18	A	Amsterdam	93-61
14/11/18	A	CSM Oradea	76-72
10/11/18	H	Zwolle	82-87
07/11/18	H	Sakarya BB	99-97 OT
04/11/18	A	Den Bosch	91-83
31/10/18	H	s.Oliver Wurzburg	65-75
27/10/18	A	Den Helder	78-73

BAL Weertlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/11/18	H	Amsterdam	91-78
18/11/18	H	Donar Groningen	60-105
11/11/18	H	Den Helder	91-102
08/11/18	H	Rotterdam	71-89
04/11/18	A	Dordrecht	52-70
28/10/18	H	Zwolle	71-91
20/10/18	A	LWD Basket	69-75
14/10/18	H	Leiden	65-82
11/10/18	A	Amsterdam	71-91
07/10/18	A	Donar Groningen	53-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden

DBL 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	88%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	88%	75%	100%
Points / game	87.2	88.5	86.0
Allowed / game	71.4	72.2	70.5
Point differential	+15.9	+16.2	+15.5
Avg total	158.6	160.8	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	75%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BAL Weert

DBL 2018-19

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	10%
Home	LLLLW	17%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	10%	17%	0%
Points / game	69.4	74.8	61.2
Allowed / game	87.3	91.2	81.5
Point differential	-17.9	-16.3	-20.2
Avg total	156.7	166.0	142.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zwolle	11	11	0	100%	88.0	65.9	+22.1
2	Donar Groningen	9	8	1	89%	90.1	64.4	+25.7
3	Leiden	8	7	1	88%	87.2	71.4	+15.9
4	Den Bosch	8	6	2	75%	86.4	67.2	+19.1
5	Dordrecht	9	5	4	56%	68.7	70.4	-1.8
6	LWD Basket	11	4	7	36%	70.5	84.6	-14.1
7	Den Helder	11	3	8	27%	73.2	82.5	-9.4
8	Rotterdam	11	3	8	27%	67.5	78.5	-11.0
9	Amsterdam	12	2	10	17%	72.5	87.5	-15.0
10	BAL Weert	10	1	9	10%	69.4	87.3	-17.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Leiden	30	32	20	18	100
BAL Weert	19	18	19	17	73

← all games of the day

Leiden vs BAL Weert Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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