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Leiden vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 75-77
13-16 22-18 17-19 23-24
Position#4
Record15-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game66.6
vs
Position#5
Record14-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeBNXT League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Leiden v Mechelen
06 Feb 2027
LEI v MECH
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
LEI59
MECH75
07 Dec 2024
LEI69
MECH81
29 Mar 2023
LEI75
MECH77
29 Apr 2022
LEI84
MECH67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#4
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A20/01
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#4
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H22/01
DBL Cup
Feyenoord
#17
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A28/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A04/02
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
95-49
95
49
+46
H11/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#14
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H18/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#5
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A04/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#5
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A12/03
DBL Cup
Oostende
#2
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H18/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A24/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
18-21
9-14
18-17
15-19
30-17
10-13
21-14
24-25
13-17
20-20
18-18
18-13
13-13
24-14
17-18
20-12
24-11
28-9
23-17
11-19
28-19
15-22
18-20
19-17
19-18
23-24
18-21
19-19
21-16
13-18
19-17
13-14
20-19
21-20
26-22
18-22
20-17
19-18
16-13
145.0Avg total
75.7Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.266.6144.8+11.771%
Season at home (10)83.766.3150.0+17.480%
Season away (11)73.366.8140.1+6.564%
Last 10 (10)75.769.3145.0+6.460%
Last 5 (5)75.275.0150.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.572.5141.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.580.5159.0-2.025%
vs Weaker (23)78.064.7142.7+13.383%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A13/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H15/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H21/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A28/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A04/02
BNXT League
Liege
#13
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H11/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H18/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#4
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H04/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A17/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
101-62
101
62
+39
H25/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
15-24
11-24
17-20
23-26
23-25
19-20
25-27
22-24
25-16
22-21
22-14
19-17
21-12
22-19
18-19
15-21
16-18
20-20
17-13
24-16
19-23
22-24
19-22
22-16
19-22
21-14
20-19
17-19
18-19
24-23
21-18
19-15
21-19
18-23
16-14
32-12
22-13
21-14
26-23
158.9Avg total
82.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.878.0161.7+5.867%
Season at home (11)88.879.5168.3+9.473%
Season away (10)78.276.3154.5+1.960%
Last 10 (10)82.576.4158.9+6.160%
Last 5 (5)84.273.6157.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.186.4162.6-10.329%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.379.9165.2+5.473%
vs Weaker (11)87.274.2161.4+13.073%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
LeidenMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A20/01
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H22/01
DBL Cup
Feyenoord
#17
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A28/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A04/02
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H11/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H18/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A04/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A12/03
DBL Cup
Oostende
#2
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H18/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/03
BNXT League
72.5Avg total
38.1Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.134.374.3+5.869%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.632.373.9+9.379%-
Last 30 away (15)38.736.174.8+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)38.134.472.5+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.073.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.532.569.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.839.077.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (22)40.234.274.5+6.068%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A13/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H15/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H21/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A28/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A04/02
BNXT League
Liege
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H11/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H18/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H04/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A17/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
54-25
54
25
+29
H25/03
BNXT League
79.7Avg total
42.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.039.182.2+3.966%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.839.784.5+5.167%-
Last 30 away (14)41.138.579.6+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)42.437.379.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.877.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.643.783.3-4.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.940.583.5+2.464%-
vs Weaker (11)45.434.880.2+10.591%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
54.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
34.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
72.3%11.5
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leiden wins
2
Mechelen wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Mechelen v Leiden80-79
29/04/22Leiden v Mechelen84-67
04/03/22Mechelen v Leiden98-93
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/23ALimburg73-70
18/03/23HOostende80-75
12/03/23AZwolle72-70
04/03/23AMechelen79-80
18/02/23HQSTA Utd72-80
11/02/23HAmsterdam95-49
04/02/23ABAL Weert72-58
28/01/23AFeyenoord75-80
22/01/23HDonar Groningen76-63
20/01/23ADonar Groningen63-68
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/23HZwolle101-62
17/03/23ADen Bosch74-71
04/03/23HLeiden80-79
18/02/23HSpirou Charleroi82-71
11/02/23HLiege84-85
04/02/23ALeuven Bears68-72
28/01/23ABelfius Mons80-67
21/01/23HLeuven Bears91-75
15/01/23HOkapi Aalst90-98
13/01/23AAntwerp Giants75-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%80%64%
Points / game78.283.773.3
Allowed / game66.666.366.8
Point differential+11.7+17.4+6.5
Avg total144.8150.0140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%73%60%
Points / game83.888.878.2
Allowed / game78.079.576.3
Point differential+5.8+9.4+1.9
Avg total161.7168.3154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch2219386%86.367.3+19.0
2 Oostende2217577%87.475.8+11.6
3 Antwerp Giants2216673%79.571.0+8.5
4 Leiden2115671%78.266.6+11.7
5 Mechelen2114767%83.878.0+5.8
6 Donar Groningen22121055%75.270.7+4.5
7 Spirou Charleroi22121055%80.676.6+4.0
8 Limburg22121055%83.580.3+3.2
9 Leuven Bears22121055%77.874.8+3.0
10 Okapi Aalst22121055%82.380.3+2.0
11 QSTA Utd21111052%80.780.7+0.0
12 Zwolle22111150%79.178.2+0.9
13 LWD Basket22111150%80.079.8+0.1
14 Belfius Mons21101148%81.083.0-1.9
15 Liege22101245%78.983.5-4.6
16 Feyenoord2291341%74.574.8-0.2
17 Circus Brussels2261627%74.987.0-12.1
18 BAL Weert2241818%68.883.0-14.2
19 Den Helder2241818%70.887.3-16.5
20 Amsterdam221215%64.388.4-24.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden1322172375
Mechelen1618192477
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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