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Leiden vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 69-81
8-19 24-23 18-24 19-15
Position#12
Record7-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#3
Record7-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game77.6
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leiden v Mechelen
06 Feb 2027
LEI v MECH
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
LEI59
MECH75
07 Dec 2024
LEI69
MECH81
29 Mar 2023
LEI75
MECH77
29 Apr 2022
LEI84
MECH67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
66-86
66
86
-20
46avg 69
H05/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
79-67
79
67
+12
76avg 69
H12/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
77avg 69
H18/10
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 69
A20/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
50-73
50
73
-23
34avg 69
H26/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
92-86
92
86
+6
93avg 69
H02/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
74-108
74
108
-34
66avg 69
A08/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
88-65
88
65
+23
87avg 69
A16/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
66-75
66
75
-9
49avg 69
H29/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
84avg 69
A01/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
16-19
14-23
13-20
30-17
17-10
18-23
14-17
19-20
33-26
20-24
15-24
21-14
21-15
18-19
16-23
12-15
17-18
12-18
9-22
30-20
20-21
14-25
28-20
21-24
17-27
25-24
11-33
19-13
24-14
31-21
14-17
15-17
21-13
16-25
14-20
11-20
21-18
21-22
28-21
159.0Avg total
77.3Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.181.5159.5-3.454%
Season at home (8)75.280.5155.8-5.238%
Season away (5)82.683.0165.6-0.480%
Last 10 (10)77.381.7159.0-4.450%
Last 5 (5)83.085.2168.2-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.287.0153.2-20.811%
vs Similar (10)80.879.2160.0+1.670%
vs Weaker (10)78.369.9148.2+8.490%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#1
L
85-108
85
108
-23
76avg 75
A11/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
57avg 75
H18/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 75
H20/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 75
A27/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
72-67
72
67
+5
70avg 75
H02/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
79-68
79
68
+11
74avg 75
H09/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#13
W
93-78
93
78
+15
no box
H13/11
Belgian Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
82-70
82
70
+12
76avg 75
A17/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 75
A29/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
87-65
87
65
+22
89avg 75
H01/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
24-29
17-31
23-26
24-19
21-20
14-17
17-23
16-16
25-18
13-16
23-22
28-26
24-22
20-29
13-12
15-19
21-13
24-20
12-15
17-18
20-16
20-17
22-17
–
–
–
–
14-24
27-10
19-28
22-8
20-32
19-20
25-25
20-18
21-24
20-10
31-17
15-14
161.1Avg total
82.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.277.6157.8+2.758%
Season at home (6)80.570.0150.5+10.583%
Season away (6)80.085.2165.2-5.233%
Last 10 (10)82.079.1161.1+2.960%
Last 5 (5)85.075.2160.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.386.7165.0-8.333%
vs Similar (12)79.380.8160.1-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.072.1156.1+11.979%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
LeidenMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H12/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H18/10
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A20/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H26/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H02/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A08/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A16/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H29/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/12
BNXT League
77.3Avg total
40.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.974.7+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.537.177.6+3.565%-
Last 30 away (13)34.136.870.8-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.577.3+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.477.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.343.077.3-8.711%-
vs Similar (10)39.137.076.1+2.160%-
vs Weaker (10)38.133.571.6+4.670%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H18/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A27/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H02/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/11
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A17/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A29/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H01/12
BNXT League
81.7Avg total
41.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.238.179.3+3.166%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.934.877.7+8.285%-
Last 30 away (16)39.840.880.6-1.050%-
Last 10 (9)41.939.881.7+2.178%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.276.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.742.779.3-6.033%-
vs Similar (12)40.238.478.6+1.858%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.136.979.9+6.279%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.9
52.8%
52.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.3
32.7%
34.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws14.910.0
67.1%
71.9%10.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.9
56.0%
52.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.3
34.4%
34.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.017.6
76.5%
71.9%17.6
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WLWLWLWLWL
Mechelen
WLWWWWLWLL
#12
League position
#3
-5.0
Net rating
+5.3
101.0
Offensive rating
111.0
106.0
Defensive rating
105.6
51.3%
Effective FG%
54.4%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.8%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.7%
3-point %
34.4%
59.6%
Assist %
57.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 111.0Defence106.0 · 105.6Shooting51.3% · 54.4%3-point %32.7% · 34.4%Ball care17.8% · 19.8%Off. rebounds24.7% · 32.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Leiden   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leiden wins
3
Mechelen wins
DateGameScore
29/03/23Leiden v Mechelen75-77
04/03/23Mechelen v Leiden80-79
29/04/22Leiden v Mechelen84-67
04/03/22Mechelen v Leiden98-93
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24ALWD Basket95-92 OT
29/11/24HDen Helder66-75
16/11/24ABAL Weert88-65
08/11/24AKortrijk74-108
02/11/24HFeyenoord92-86
26/10/24HSpirou Charleroi50-73
20/10/24AQSTA Utd76-71
18/10/24HZwolle87-94
12/10/24HOkapi Aalst79-67
05/10/24HLimburg66-86
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HBAL Weert87-65
29/11/24ADen Bosch84-95
17/11/24AQSTA Utd82-70
13/11/24HBelfius Mons93-78
09/11/24HBelfius Mons79-68
02/11/24HLeuven Bears72-67
27/10/24ALWD Basket85-89
20/10/24HSpirou Charleroi77-72
18/10/24HAntwerp Giants76-79
11/10/24AKortrijk85-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW54%
HomeWLLWL38%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %54%38%80%
Points / game78.175.282.6
Allowed / game81.580.583.0
Point differential-3.4-5.2-0.4
Avg total159.5155.8165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %15%0%40%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game80.280.580.0
Allowed / game77.670.085.2
Point differential+2.7+10.5-5.2
Avg total157.8150.5165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1210283%89.276.2+13.1
2 Kortrijk129375%94.479.9+14.5
3 Limburg129375%81.373.2+8.2
4 LWD Basket128467%83.280.3+2.9
5 Mechelen127558%80.277.6+2.7
6 Circus Brussels127558%77.577.9-0.4
7 Antwerp Giants116555%79.379.7-0.5
8 Leiden137654%78.181.5-3.4
9 Spirou Charleroi126650%79.373.8+5.6
10 Leuven Bears126650%77.973.2+4.7
11 Belfius Mons126650%80.780.7+0.0
12 Zwolle126650%82.885.8-3.1
13 Feyenoord115645%79.883.5-3.6
14 Okapi Aalst125742%81.078.7+2.3
15 Den Helder135838%72.781.8-9.2
16 Den Bosch114736%79.584.0-4.5
17 Donar Groningen113827%74.281.5-7.3
18 QSTA Utd1221017%77.986.8-8.8
19 BAL Weert1221017%73.286.6-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden824181969
Mechelen1923241581
← all games of the day
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