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Mechelen vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-79
17-19 18-19 24-23 21-18
Position#5
Record11-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#4
Record13-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game65.2
EuropeBNXT League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Mechelen v Leiden
21 Nov 2026
MECH v LEI
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
MECH68
LEI78
07 May 2025
MECH70
LEI68
04 Mar 2023
MECH80
LEI79
04 Mar 2022
MECH98
LEI93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H17/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A26/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H07/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A13/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H15/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H21/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A28/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A04/02
BNXT League
Liege
#13
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H11/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H18/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
21-21
20-15
24-21
17-18
12-26
15-20
19-15
16-17
27-17
23-28
19-17
32-16
15-24
11-24
17-20
23-26
23-25
19-20
25-27
22-24
25-16
22-21
22-14
19-17
21-12
22-19
18-19
15-21
16-18
20-20
17-13
24-16
19-23
22-24
19-22
22-16
19-22
21-14
20-19
158.4Avg total
80.3Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.679.2162.7+4.461%
Season at home (9)88.481.4169.9+7.067%
Season away (9)78.776.9155.6+1.856%
Last 10 (10)80.378.1158.4+2.250%
Last 5 (5)81.074.0155.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.489.3166.7-11.914%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.881.1166.8+4.767%
vs Weaker (10)85.875.4161.2+10.470%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#7
W
100-66
100
66
+34
H21/12
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A26/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H07/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A13/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#4
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A20/01
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#4
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H22/01
DBL Cup
Feyenoord
#17
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A28/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A04/02
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
95-49
95
49
+46
H11/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#14
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H18/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
23-15
23-18
27-17
20-28
26-12
16-19
12-20
25-14
19-16
19-13
13-22
18-21
9-21
25-16
24-17
18-16
18-21
9-14
18-17
15-19
30-17
10-13
21-14
24-25
13-17
20-20
18-18
18-13
13-13
24-14
17-18
20-12
24-11
28-9
23-17
11-19
28-19
15-22
18-20
146.2Avg total
77.9Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.465.2143.6+13.272%
Season at home (9)84.165.3149.4+18.878%
Season away (9)72.765.0137.7+7.767%
Last 10 (10)77.968.3146.2+9.660%
Last 5 (5)78.066.0144.0+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.276.2153.5+1.075%
vs Similar ◀ (3)78.775.3154.0+3.333%
vs Weaker (22)78.464.5142.9+13.982%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
MechelenLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H17/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A26/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A13/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H15/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H21/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#11
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A28/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A04/02
BNXT League
Liege
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H11/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H18/02
BNXT League
79.7Avg total
40.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.340.083.3+3.366%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.941.286.1+3.767%-
Last 30 away (14)41.638.780.4+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.979.7+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.077.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.045.185.1-5.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.240.584.8+3.875%-
vs Weaker (10)44.535.880.3+8.790%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H21/12
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A26/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H07/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A13/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A20/01
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H22/01
DBL Cup
Feyenoord
#17
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A28/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A04/02
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H11/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H18/02
BNXT League
74.4Avg total
39.9Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.834.975.6+5.969%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.532.975.4+9.787%-
Last 30 away (14)38.937.075.9+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.934.574.4+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.072.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.538.278.8+2.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)43.340.083.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker (21)40.034.274.2+5.967%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
54.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
34.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
72.3%11.5
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mechelen wins
1
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
29/04/22Leiden v Mechelen84-67
04/03/22Mechelen v Leiden98-93
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HSpirou Charleroi82-71
11/02/23HLiege84-85
04/02/23ALeuven Bears68-72
28/01/23ABelfius Mons80-67
21/01/23HLeuven Bears91-75
15/01/23HOkapi Aalst90-98
13/01/23AAntwerp Giants75-84
07/01/23HLimburg85-79
26/12/22AOostende63-79
17/12/22HCircus Brussels85-71
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HQSTA Utd72-80
11/02/23HAmsterdam95-49
04/02/23ABAL Weert72-58
28/01/23AFeyenoord75-80
22/01/23HDonar Groningen76-63
20/01/23ADonar Groningen63-68
13/01/23ALWD Basket76-75
07/01/23HZwolle76-65
26/12/22ADen Bosch74-79
21/12/22HLWD Basket100-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW61%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWLLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game83.688.478.7
Allowed / game79.281.476.9
Point differential+4.4+7.0+1.8
Avg total162.7169.9155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Leiden
BNXT League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL72%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%78%67%
Points / game78.484.172.7
Allowed / game65.265.365.0
Point differential+13.2+18.8+7.7
Avg total143.6149.4137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch1918195%88.666.4+22.3
2 Oostende1814478%88.376.9+11.3
3 Leiden1813572%78.465.2+13.2
4 Antwerp Giants1913668%79.973.2+6.8
5 Zwolle1811761%82.175.9+6.1
6 Mechelen1811761%83.679.2+4.4
7 LWD Basket1811761%80.977.0+3.9
8 Limburg1911858%84.881.6+3.3
9 Spirou Charleroi1810856%80.475.7+4.7
10 QSTA Utd1810856%81.980.4+1.5
11 Donar Groningen1910953%77.171.4+5.6
12 Feyenoord1991047%75.875.4+0.5
13 Leuven Bears1881044%76.476.6-0.2
14 Okapi Aalst1881044%78.880.9-2.1
15 Belfius Mons1871139%81.685.5-3.9
16 Liege1971237%78.085.1-7.1
17 BAL Weert1841422%67.982.4-14.5
18 Den Helder1841422%70.286.3-16.1
19 Circus Brussels1941521%74.688.5-13.9
20 Amsterdam191185%62.487.9-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen1718242180
Leiden1919231879
← all games of the day
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