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Leiden vs QSTA Utd Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 71-68
18-14 21-20 9-20 23-14
Position#12
Record14-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game80.5
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#19
Record3-25
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game90.5
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leiden v QSTA Utd
09 Apr 2025
LEI71
QSTA68
20 Dec 2023
LEI64
QSTA74
30 Sep 2023
LEI102
QSTA58
18 Feb 2023
LEI72
QSTA80
26 Sep 2021
LEI104
QSTA82
21 Nov 2020
LEI v QSTA
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
QSTA Utd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#9
W
85-70
85
70
+15
77avg 69
H18/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
78-75
78
75
+3
77avg 69
A02/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
71-80
71
80
-9
61avg 69
A07/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
95-81
95
81
+14
101avg 69
H15/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
62-98
62
98
-36
50avg 69
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
74-65
74
65
+9
65avg 69
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
88avg 69
H15/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
A21/03
DBL Cup
Leuven Bears
#7
L
63-98
63
98
-35
52avg 69
A29/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
85-81
85
81
+4
82avg 69
H05/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
24-15
17-19
28-15
20-20
27-16
21-23
10-16
11-22
16-19
26-14
18-25
30-16
13-18
19-23
33-24
18-26
5-22
21-26
18-24
23-12
25-22
11-14
15-17
21-18
20-18
20-21
26-17
16-13
20-12
14-25
19-27
7-25
18-22
15-25
23-26
21-24
21-21
11-19
32-17
156.8Avg total
76.9Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.980.5157.4-3.752%
Season at home (14)77.878.7156.5-0.950%
Season away (13)75.882.5158.3-6.654%
Last 10 (10)76.979.9156.8-3.060%
Last 5 (5)75.679.0154.6-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.682.9156.5-9.333%
vs Similar (7)79.978.1158.0+1.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.476.3155.7+3.171%
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QSTA UtdLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUtd
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 63
H26/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
90-103
90
103
-13
76avg 63
A01/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
67-102
67
102
-35
50avg 63
A09/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
85-107
85
107
-22
67avg 63
H16/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
77-85
77
85
-8
65avg 63
H02/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
85-65
85
65
+20
79avg 63
H08/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
86avg 63
H16/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
61avg 63
A28/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
73-106
73
106
-33
54avg 63
H02/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
85-87
85
87
-2
74avg 63
A05/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
26-23
13-13
18-23
24-28
22-19
20-33
24-23
11-25
23-27
21-24
12-26
18-22
24-24
18-29
25-32
19-22
10-22
24-17
24-24
18-19
29-17
18-13
20-16
25-31
22-27
18-19
28-16
16-23
20-27
21-21
16-27
13-29
21-25
17-29
22-23
23-26
20-26
27-15
15-20
174.8Avg total
80.5Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.490.5168.9-12.111%
Season at home (15)77.389.8167.1-12.57%
Season away (13)79.691.3170.9-11.715%
Last 10 (10)80.594.3174.8-13.810%
Last 5 (5)83.292.2175.4-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.392.3168.6-16.00%
vs Similar (6)85.781.0166.7+4.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
LeidenQSTA Utd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A02/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A07/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A21/03
DBL Cup
Leuven Bears
#7
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A29/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H05/04
BNXT League
75.4Avg total
37.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.576.6+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.637.978.4+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)37.937.175.1+0.856%-
Last 10 (10)37.238.275.4-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.475.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.640.677.2-4.040%-
vs Similar (7)41.636.377.9+5.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.633.672.1+5.071%-
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QSTA UtdLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H26/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A01/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A09/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H02/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H08/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H16/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A28/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H02/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A05/04
BNXT League
88.5Avg total
39.7Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.445.784.1-7.321%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.045.482.4-8.419%-
Last 30 away (13)40.246.186.2-5.923%-
Last 10 (10)39.748.888.5-9.110%-
Last 5 (5)41.450.091.4-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.646.684.2-9.013%-
vs Similar (6)41.542.383.8-0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.4
52.7%
52.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
34.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.011.3
75.3%
71.9%11.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
QSTA Utdtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

QSTA Utd: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.4
53.6%
52.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.49.8
31.2%
34.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.411.5
74.7%
71.9%11.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WLLWWLWLWW
QSTA Utd
LLLLWLLLLL
#12
League position
#19
-5.9
Net rating
-18.3
105.7
Offensive rating
104.8
111.5
Defensive rating
123.1
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.4%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
61.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
14.2%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.3%
3-point %
31.2%
70.3%
Assist %
49.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 104.8Defence111.5 · 123.1Shooting51.2% · 50.4%3-point %32.3% · 31.2%Ball care17.7% · 14.2%Off. rebounds30.1% · 23.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Leiden   ■ QSTA Utd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Leiden wins
3
QSTA Utd wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25QSTA Utd v Leiden74-75
20/10/24QSTA Utd v Leiden71-76
20/12/23Leiden v QSTA Utd64-74
16/12/23QSTA Utd v Leiden65-81
10/12/23QSTA Utd v Leiden83-79
30/09/23Leiden v QSTA Utd102-58
18/02/23Leiden v QSTA Utd72-80
21/10/22QSTA Utd v Leiden68-79
17/02/22QSTA Utd v Leiden82-88
26/09/21Leiden v QSTA Utd104-82
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HBAL Weert85-81
29/03/25ALeuven Bears63-98
21/03/25ADonar Groningen69-77
15/03/25HOostende87-74
12/03/25ADonar Groningen74-65
02/03/25ASpirou Charleroi62-98
15/02/25HDen Bosch95-81
07/02/25AOkapi Aalst71-80
02/02/25AZwolle78-75
18/01/25HBelfius Mons85-70
QSTA Utdlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25ABelfius Mons85-87
02/04/25HZwolle73-106
28/03/25AKortrijk73-98
16/03/25HDen Helder100-105 OT
08/03/25HFeyenoord85-65
02/03/25HBAL Weert77-85
16/02/25HLimburg85-107
09/02/25ACircus Brussels67-102
01/02/25AOkapi Aalst90-103
26/01/25HAntwerp Giants70-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeLWWWW50%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %52%50%54%
Points / game76.977.875.8
Allowed / game80.578.782.5
Point differential-3.7-0.9-6.6
Avg total157.4156.5158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)50% (4)100% (5)
Overtime %7%0%15%
QSTA Utd
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL11%
HomeLLWLL7%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %11%7%15%
Points / game78.477.379.6
Allowed / game90.589.891.3
Point differential-12.1-12.5-11.7
Avg total168.9167.1170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)0% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk2923679%96.177.0+19.0
2 Oostende3023777%87.875.8+11.9
3 Mechelen2720774%81.976.0+5.9
4 Limburg2920969%81.075.2+5.8
5 Circus Brussels29191066%78.676.3+2.2
6 Den Bosch29171259%83.680.8+2.8
7 Antwerp Giants29171259%82.180.9+1.2
8 Spirou Charleroi30171357%81.375.6+5.7
9 Belfius Mons30171357%80.278.6+1.6
10 Leiden27141352%76.980.5-3.7
11 Leuven Bears29151452%79.674.9+4.7
12 Okapi Aalst29141548%80.779.7+1.0
13 LWD Basket28131546%81.184.1-3.0
14 Zwolle28111739%81.183.4-2.2
15 Den Helder3092130%73.184.4-11.2
16 Donar Groningen2781930%76.686.0-9.4
17 Feyenoord2872125%79.087.5-8.5
18 BAL Weert2852318%70.484.2-13.8
19 QSTA Utd2832511%78.490.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden182192371
QSTA Utd1420201468
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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