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Leones De Ponce vs Cangrejeros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-79
18-19 15-19 24-22 12-19
Position#5
Record6-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#2
Record9-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game86.5
Puerto RicoBSN· Auditorio Juan Pachín Vicéns
Other2025
Meetings · Leones De Ponce v Cangrejeros
02 May 2025
LEON69
CANG79
12 Jul 2024
LEON85
CANG82
01 Jul 2024
LEON92
CANG90
24 May 2023
LEON91
CANG92
28 Apr 2022
LEON79
CANG81
30 Sep 2021
LEON98
CANG92
21 Apr 2016
LEON82
CANG90
18 Mar 2016
LEON73
CANG92
09 Jul 2015
LEON83
CANG61
05 Jul 2015
LEON83
CANG76
01 Jul 2015
LEON67
CANG65
25 Apr 2015
LEON82
CANG77
12 Mar 2015
LEON88
CANG84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leones De Ponce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cangrejeros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leones De PoncePuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPonce
Date
Competition
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
76avg 78
A02/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
60avg 78
H06/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
84avg 78
A08/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 78
A10/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
61-72
61
72
-11
53avg 78
H13/04
BSN
San German
#8
L
84-86
84
86
-2
74avg 78
A20/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
70avg 78
H24/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
87-77
87
77
+10
82avg 78
H27/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
94-88
94
88
+6
87avg 78
A29/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
93-71
93
71
+22
90avg 78
H01/05
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
18-19
24-27
26-12
24-20
21-16
20-19
19-27
29-22
13-17
24-24
25-31
22-28
17-9
21-19
17-18
23-12
8-20
17-26
13-14
18-20
14-25
25-23
27-18
14-28
25-21
24-23
19-27
27-22
30-19
11-19
19-17
18-22
19-27
32-19
25-20
31-14
14-13
21-21
27-23
166.6Avg total
83.9Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.285.7169.8-1.546%
Season at home (6)80.883.3164.2-2.550%
Season away (7)87.087.7174.7-0.743%
Last 10 (10)83.982.7166.6+1.260%
Last 5 (5)88.084.2172.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.790.0179.7-0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (25)84.984.6169.6+0.348%
vs Weaker (2)82.075.5157.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Cangrejeros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CangrejerosPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCangrejeros
Date
Competition
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
68-81
68
81
-13
50avg 84
A03/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
69-76
69
76
-7
57avg 84
H05/04
BSN
San German
#8
W
101-91
101
91
+10
98avg 84
H12/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
93-92
93
92
+1
84avg 84
H14/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
71-92
71
92
-21
62avg 84
A16/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
W
91-78
91
78
+13
86avg 84
A20/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
79avg 84
A23/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
W
78-71
78
71
+7
65avg 84
H26/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
93-112
93
112
-19
86avg 84
H27/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
W
104-92
104
92
+12
101avg 84
A30/04
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
16-20
25-19
16-18
19-24
17-22
9-22
24-8
18-21
28-24
30-24
25-22
16-19
26-25
29-24
22-24
22-33
16-11
12-27
21-21
31-24
18-13
20-22
22-19
15-20
30-17
19-21
17-31
25-19
19-20
21-15
13-17
22-29
23-21
26-32
22-30
25-18
27-30
25-16
27-28
172.3Avg total
84.9Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.186.5172.6-0.360%
Season at home (9)86.284.1170.3+2.178%
Season away (6)86.090.0176.0-4.033%
Last 10 (10)84.987.4172.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)89.488.4177.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.780.3156.0-4.733%
vs Similar ◀ (18)92.189.6181.7+2.556%
vs Weaker (9)90.989.4180.3+1.456%
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
Leones De PonceCangrejeros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leones De PonceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A02/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H06/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A08/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A10/04
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H13/04
BSN
San German
#8
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A20/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H24/04
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H27/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A29/04
BSN
Capitanes de Arecibo
#6
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H01/05
BSN
80.3Avg total
40.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.882.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.439.482.8+3.959%-
Last 30 away (13)37.144.982.0-7.823%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.080.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.284.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.043.383.3-3.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)40.141.882.0-1.744%-
vs Weaker (2)48.039.087.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Cangrejeros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CangrejerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A03/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H05/04
BSN
San German
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H12/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H14/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A16/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A20/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A23/04
BSN
Vaqueros de Bayamon
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H26/04
BSN
Gigantes de Carolina
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H27/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A30/04
BSN
85.8Avg total
42.4Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.744.087.7-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.342.385.6+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)44.145.789.8-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.485.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.289.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.740.078.7-1.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)44.245.189.3-0.844%-
vs Weaker (9)44.343.287.6+1.144%-
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leones De Poncetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones De Ponce: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.523.8
53.5%
53.8%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.5
31.4%
36.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.713.2
74.6%
75.6%13.2
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cangrejerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cangrejeros: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.5
52.1%
53.8%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.2
35.2%
36.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.011.6
68.2%
75.6%11.6
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leones De Ponce
WWWLLLWLWW
Cangrejeros
WLWLWLWWLL
#5
League position
#2
+1.8
Net rating
-2.8
109.1
Offensive rating
108.6
107.3
Defensive rating
111.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.0%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.4%
3-point %
35.2%
52.4%
Assist %
59.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 108.6Defence107.3 · 111.4Shooting51.2% · 52.4%3-point %31.4% · 35.2%Ball care13.7% · 14.0%Off. rebounds26.5% · 25.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Leones De Ponce   ■ Cangrejeros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Leones De Ponce wins
4
Cangrejeros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/25HCapitanes de Arecibo93-71
29/04/25ACapitanes de Arecibo94-88
27/04/25HAguada Santeros87-77
24/04/25HCapitanes de Arecibo82-99
20/04/25ASan German84-86
13/04/25HIndios de Mayaguez61-72
10/04/25AAguada Santeros77-74
08/04/25ACapitanes de Arecibo91-94
06/04/25HCriollos de Caguas84-82
02/04/25AIndios de Mayaguez86-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25AMets de Guaynabo104-92
27/04/25HGigantes de Carolina93-112
26/04/25HVaqueros de Bayamon78-71
23/04/25AVaqueros de Bayamon81-89
20/04/25AMets de Guaynabo91-78
16/04/25ACriollos de Caguas71-92
14/04/25HOsos de Manati93-92
12/04/25HSan German101-91
05/04/25HGigantes de Carolina69-76
03/04/25AVaqueros de Bayamon68-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leones De Ponce
BSN 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW46%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game84.280.887.0
Allowed / game85.783.387.7
Point differential-1.5-2.5-0.7
Avg total169.8164.2174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Cangrejeros
BSN 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLWWWL78%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %60%78%33%
Points / game86.186.286.0
Allowed / game86.584.190.0
Point differential-0.3+2.1-4.0
Avg total172.6170.3176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%22%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vaqueros de Bayamon1613381%88.279.6+8.6
2 Indios de Mayaguez1711665%85.182.5+2.6
3 Cangrejeros159660%86.186.5-0.3
4 Capitanes de Arecibo1710759%85.485.4+0.0
5 Gigantes de Carolina137654%89.689.0+0.6
6 Criollos de Caguas168850%87.886.0+1.8
7 Piratas de Quebradillas157847%84.785.9-1.2
8 Leones De Ponce136746%84.285.7-1.5
9 Mets de Guaynabo167944%91.793.8-2.1
10 San German134931%85.691.5-5.8
11 Osos de Manati123925%92.294.9-2.7
12 Aguada Santeros1331023%83.385.8-2.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leones De Ponce1815241269
Cangrejeros1919221979
← all games of the day
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