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Capitanes de Arecibo vs Leones De Ponce Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 94-91
22-29 17-13 24-24 31-25
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#5
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game90.6
Puerto RicoBSN· Coliseo Manuel Petaca Iguina
Other2025
Meetings · Capitanes de Arecibo v Leones De Ponce
28 Apr 2025
CAPI88
LEON94
07 Apr 2025
CAPI94
LEON91
14 May 2024
CAPI101
LEON97
26 Apr 2024
CAPI87
LEON77
26 Apr 2023
CAPI110
LEON107
16 Apr 2023
CAPI99
LEON80
27 Jun 2022
CAPI109
LEON79
02 Jun 2022
CAPI102
LEON90
04 Oct 2021
CAPI83
LEON78
13 Sep 2021
CAPI91
LEON84
18 Nov 2020
CAPI104
LEON78
14 May 2020
CAPI v LEON
upcoming
01 Jun 2019
CAPI94
LEON103
26 Apr 2019
CAPI105
LEON80
02 Sep 2018
CAPI104
LEON95
29 Aug 2018
CAPI99
LEON76
26 Aug 2018
CAPI115
LEON117
23 Aug 2018
CAPI102
LEON90
12 Jul 2018
CAPI92
LEON86
10 May 2018
CAPI86
LEON91
11 Jul 2017
CAPI104
LEON100
08 Jul 2017
CAPI105
LEON103
05 Jul 2017
CAPI92
LEON78
18 May 2017
CAPI92
LEON81
26 Apr 2017
CAPI77
LEON86
15 May 2016
CAPI103
LEON97
12 May 2016
CAPI98
LEON84
07 May 2016
CAPI88
LEON72
29 Mar 2016
CAPI96
LEON90
21 Jul 2015
CAPI81
LEON91
17 Jul 2015
CAPI76
LEON63
12 Jul 2015
CAPI80
LEON79
23 May 2015
CAPI90
LEON83
16 Mar 2015
CAPI86
LEON61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capitanes de Arecibo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leones De Ponce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capitanes de AreciboPuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArecibo
Date
Competition
Osos de Manati
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
76avg 87
A25/07
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
L
87-89
87
89
-2
78avg 87
H28/07
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
66-72
66
72
-6
57avg 87
A20/03
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
78-77
78
77
+1
68avg 87
H22/03
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 87
A26/03
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
91avg 87
H28/03
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
97-93
97
93
+4
96avg 87
A30/03
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
73-68
73
68
+5
63avg 87
A02/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
L
84-101
84
101
-17
70avg 87
H04/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
91-89
91
89
+2
87avg 87
A06/04
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
13-23
17-17
29-24
23-26
22-23
26-21
16-19
25-18
21-9
11-24
9-21
17-17
19-18
22-26
20-16
16-19
27-20
16-22
18-18
31-13
24-17
18-27
22-33
26-29
27-13
22-23
22-28
15-17
18-14
25-21
15-16
20-26
19-20
25-28
20-27
19-24
16-24
30-22
26-19
167.7Avg total
83.0Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.683.6166.2-1.062%
Season at home (3)85.789.3175.0-3.767%
Season away (5)80.880.2161.0+0.660%
Last 10 (10)83.084.7167.7-1.750%
Last 5 (5)88.088.2176.2-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (28)89.292.8182.0-3.646%
vs Weaker (2)93.089.5182.5+3.5100%
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones De PoncePuerto RicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPonce
Date
Competition
Criollos de Caguas
#3
W
86-66
86
66
+20
86avg 77
H04/08
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
L
77-87 OT
77
87
-10
70avg 77
A06/08
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
W
97-81
97
81
+16
92avg 77
H08/08
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
L
75-82 OT
75
82
-7
63avg 77
A10/08
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
L
70-75
70
75
-5
60avg 77
H12/08
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
78-99
78
99
-21
60avg 77
H23/03
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
82avg 77
A27/03
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
76avg 77
A31/03
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
76avg 77
A02/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
60avg 77
H06/04
BSN
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
20-22
23-18
13-9
15-23
19-13
17-18
22-19
18-21
23-18
30-20
26-22
17-21
9-28
24-11
21-11
23-13
15-18
21-26
11-18
24-20
22-34
17-22
15-23
23-22
13-23
20-19
25-17
21-24
25-18
16-25
24-25
18-26
18-19
24-27
26-12
24-20
21-16
20-19
19-27
167.4Avg total
83.0Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.090.6175.6-5.640%
Season at home (2)81.090.5171.5-9.550%
Season away (3)87.790.7178.3-3.033%
Last 10 (10)83.084.4167.4-1.440%
Last 5 (5)85.090.6175.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.790.0179.7-0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (27)85.486.0171.4-0.648%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
Capitanes de AreciboLeones De Ponce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capitanes de AreciboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osos de Manati
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A25/07
BSN
Osos de Manati
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H28/07
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A20/03
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H22/03
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/03
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H28/03
BSN
Aguada Santeros
#11
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A30/03
BSN
Piratas de Quebradillas
#4
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A02/04
BSN
Mets de Guaynabo
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H04/04
BSN
Osos de Manati
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A06/04
BSN
81.6Avg total
42.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.744.788.4-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.941.988.7+5.071%-
Last 30 away (16)41.047.188.1-6.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.581.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.482.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (28)43.645.188.7-1.454%-
vs Weaker (2)45.039.084.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Leones De Ponce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones De PonceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Criollos de Caguas
#3
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H04/08
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A06/08
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/08
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A10/08
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#3
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H12/08
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H23/03
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A27/03
BSN
Cangrejeros
#2
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A31/03
BSN
Indios de Mayaguez
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A02/04
BSN
Criollos de Caguas
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H06/04
BSN
81.4Avg total
39.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.583.4-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.540.584.0+2.971%-
Last 30 away (13)37.545.282.7-7.623%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.681.4-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.486.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.043.383.3-3.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (27)41.042.483.4-1.456%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capitanes de Arecibo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capitanes de Arecibotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capitanes de Arecibo: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.9
52.0%
53.8%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.0
34.5%
36.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.0
68.8%
75.6%11.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leones De Poncetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones De Ponce: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.122.1
47.9%
53.8%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.2
33.8%
36.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.116.2
76.8%
75.6%16.2
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capitanes de Arecibo
WLWWWLWLLL
Leones De Ponce
WWLLLLLWLW
#6
League position
#5
-2.7
Net rating
-2.1
106.8
Offensive rating
107.2
109.5
Defensive rating
109.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
48.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.8%
Turnover %
12.6%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.5%
3-point %
33.8%
55.7%
Assist %
51.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 107.2Defence109.5 · 109.3Shooting51.9% · 48.8%3-point %34.5% · 33.8%Ball care16.8% · 12.6%Off. rebounds29.6% · 25.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Capitanes de Arecibo   ■ Leones De Ponce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25AOsos de Manati91-89
04/04/25HMets de Guaynabo84-101
02/04/25APiratas de Quebradillas73-68
30/03/25AAguada Santeros97-93
28/03/25HOsos de Manati95-90
26/03/25AIndios de Mayaguez77-79
22/03/25HPiratas de Quebradillas78-77
20/03/25ACangrejeros66-72
28/07/24HOsos de Manati87-89
25/07/24AOsos de Manati82-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HCriollos de Caguas84-82
02/04/25AIndios de Mayaguez86-84
31/03/25ACangrejeros86-92
27/03/25ACriollos de Caguas91-96 OT
23/03/25HIndios de Mayaguez78-99
12/08/24HCriollos de Caguas70-75
10/08/24ACriollos de Caguas75-82 OT
08/08/24HCriollos de Caguas97-81
06/08/24ACriollos de Caguas77-87 OT
04/08/24HCriollos de Caguas86-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capitanes de Arecibo
BSN 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game82.685.780.8
Allowed / game83.689.380.2
Point differential-1.0-3.7+0.6
Avg total166.2175.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leones De Ponce
BSN 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game85.081.087.7
Allowed / game90.690.590.7
Point differential-5.6-9.5-3.0
Avg total175.6171.5178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vaqueros de Bayamon76186%82.975.6+7.3
2 Piratas de Quebradillas75271%82.079.1+2.9
3 Gigantes de Carolina64267%90.387.2+3.2
4 Mets de Guaynabo64267%94.591.3+3.2
5 Capitanes de Arecibo85362%82.683.6-1.0
6 Cangrejeros74357%82.982.9+0.0
7 Indios de Mayaguez84450%83.585.1-1.6
8 Leones De Ponce52340%85.090.6-5.6
9 Osos de Manati62433%92.094.7-2.7
10 San German51420%84.083.6+0.4
11 Criollos de Caguas61517%87.890.0-2.2
12 Aguada Santeros5050%75.882.4-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Capitanes de Arecibo2217243194
Leones De Ponce2913242591
← all games of the day
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