Leones Quilpue vs Deportes Castro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 102-77

20-23 27-15 29-29 26-10

Position#5

Record13-9

FormLLWWW

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game83.5

Leones Quilpue 🏆

Deportes Castro

Position#8

Record10-12

FormWLWLL

Points / game83.6

Allowed / game84.4

LNB

Other2018-19

Meetings · Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leones Quilpue winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Deportes Castro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leones Quilpue Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osorno

#10

93-87

H24/11

LNB

Las Animas

93-99

-6

H25/11

LNB

Espanol de Talca

#11

98-103

103

-5

A08/12

LNB

Puente Alto

101-91

101

+10

A09/12

LNB

U. De Concepcion

76-101

101

-25

A16/12

LNB

Temuco

86-93

-7

A17/12

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

79-86 OT

-7

H22/12

LNB

Valdivia

107-90

107

+17

H22/12

LNB

Catolica

#12

102-71

102

+31

A05/01

LNB

Catolica

#12

84-67

+17

H06/01

LNB

23-16

22-26

28-27

20-18

21-22

24-22

16-25

32-30

30-23

26-27

20-25

22-28

21-27

24-17

33-18

23-29

16-29

21-18

19-27

20-27

24-17

18-21

22-30

22-25

18-15

19-20

25-22

9-14

28-16

25-26

25-27

29-21

31-16

19-20

15-22

37-13

21-16

28-20

19-16

16-15

180.7Avg total

91.9Scored

88.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	87.0	83.5	170.5	+3.5	59%
Season at home (10)	88.5	80.7	169.2	+7.8	70%
Season away (12)	85.7	85.8	171.5	-0.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	91.9	88.8	180.7	+3.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	91.6	81.4	173.0	+10.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	66.5	83.0	149.5	-16.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	80.9	83.3	164.2	-2.4	40%
vs Weaker (8)	91.0	79.2	170.2	+11.8	88%

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Deportes Castro Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valdivia

106-116 OT

106

116

-10

A24/11

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

83-77

A25/11

LNB

U. De Concepcion

74-80

-6

A08/12

LNB

Temuco

101-111

101

111

-10

A09/12

LNB

Las Animas

68-69

-1

H15/12

LNB

Osorno

#10

85-82

H16/12

LNB

Puente Alto

78-94

-16

A22/12

LNB

Espanol de Talca

#11

80-74

A22/12

LNB

Ancud

84-102

102

-18

H05/01

LNB

Ancud

88-94

-6

A06/01

LNB

15-20

26-25

24-30

32-22

13-20

15-14

30-20

25-23

26-13

12-23

16-27

20-17

27-21

17-27

19-37

38-26

21-16

12-15

23-22

12-16

18-18

22-18

25-21

20-25

17-20

23-27

26-18

12-29

25-17

14-15

20-20

21-22

20-12

11-35

26-27

27-28

24-31

30-18

25-22

9-23

174.6Avg total

84.7Scored

89.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	83.6	84.4	168.0	-0.7	45%
Season at home (10)	81.9	80.8	162.7	+1.1	50%
Season away (12)	85.1	87.3	172.4	-2.2	42%
Last 10 (10)	84.7	89.9	174.6	-5.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	89.2	172.2	-6.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	74.1	81.3	155.4	-7.2	20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	85.5	88.2	173.7	-2.7	40%
vs Weaker (5)	87.2	81.6	168.8	+5.6	80%

This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Leones QuilpueDeportes Castro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.4	20.1	41.6	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	18.9	40.4	+2.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.7	43.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	16.0	40.4	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	20.5	37.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	27.0	19.0	46.0	+8.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.1	19.0	41.0	+3.1	69%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.2	18.5	42.6	+5.7	85%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	23.1	19.5	42.7	+3.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	17.2	37.7	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	20.4	38.4	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.7	44.3	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	9.5	20.5	30.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	29%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.1	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.5	19.4	35.8	-2.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.7	39.9	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.9	20.7	37.6	-3.8	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	60%	-

Leones QuilpueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osorno

#10

45-42

H24/11

LNB

Las Animas

45-44

H25/11

LNB

Espanol de Talca

#11

56-50

A08/12

LNB

Puente Alto

45-44

A09/12

LNB

U. De Concepcion

37-47

-10

A16/12

LNB

Temuco

42-38

A17/12

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

37-35

H22/12

LNB

Valdivia

53-42

+11

H22/12

LNB

Catolica

#12

50-36

+14

A05/01

LNB

Catolica

#12

49-36

+13

H06/01

LNB

87.3Avg total

45.9Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.6	39.1	79.7	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.0	38.8	80.8	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.5	39.3	78.8	+0.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	41.4	87.3	+4.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	37.4	83.6	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	41.0	67.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	39.1	38.4	77.5	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	49.0	40.4	89.4	+8.6	86%	-

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Deportes CastroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valdivia

41-45

-4

A24/11

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

28-34

-6

A25/11

LNB

U. De Concepcion

38-36

A08/12

LNB

Temuco

44-48

-4

A09/12

LNB

Las Animas

33-31

H15/12

LNB

Osorno

#10

40-36

H16/12

LNB

Puente Alto

40-47

-7

A22/12

LNB

Espanol de Talca

#11

39-32

A22/12

LNB

Ancud

31-47

-16

H05/01

LNB

Ancud

54-49

A06/01

LNB

79.3Avg total

38.8Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.4	39.4	79.9	+1.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.6	37.8	78.5	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.3	40.8	81.1	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	40.5	79.3	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	42.2	83.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.1	38.7	74.8	-2.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	41.3	40.5	81.9	+0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.6	37.6	83.2	+8.0	80%	-

This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	20.6	40.6	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.9	46.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.4	44.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	22.5	38.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	21.9	42.1	-1.8	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	21.5	40.3	-2.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	22.2	43.5	-1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	24.4	47.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.6	46.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.9	22.6	44.5	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.0	23.2	42.2	-4.2	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	23.7	45.3	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.6	40.2	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	19.5	44.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.3	23.1	43.4	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.1	18.4	40.6	+3.7	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.7	22.1	42.8	-1.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	22.3	42.6	-2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	23.1	44.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	25.4	43.2	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.5	23.8	45.3	-2.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.5	42.2	83.7	-0.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.2	39.6	80.8	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.7	44.2	85.9	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	45.9	91.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	41.0	84.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	42.0	82.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	41.0	43.5	84.5	-2.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.1	38.6	81.7	+4.6	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.8	44.0	84.8	-3.2	24%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.9	43.4	83.3	-3.5	23%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.5	44.6	86.1	-3.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	47.5	92.5	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	47.0	89.2	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.1	40.1	76.2	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	43.3	46.4	89.7	-3.1	27%	-
vs Weaker (5)	41.6	44.0	85.6	-2.4	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Leones Quilpue wins

Deportes Castro wins

Date	Game	Score
17/11/18	Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue	97-90
15/12/17	Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro	88-83
21/10/17	Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue	59-76
26/11/16	Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro	101-76
08/10/16	Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue	81-92
28/11/15	Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro	122-96
10/10/15	Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue	97-84
28/01/15	Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro	87-94
18/01/15	Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue	102-90
17/01/15	Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue	90-73

Leones Quilpuelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/01/19	H	Catolica	84-67
05/01/19	A	Catolica	102-71
22/12/18	H	Valdivia	107-90
22/12/18	H	CD Puerto Varas	79-86 OT
17/12/18	A	Temuco	86-93
16/12/18	A	U. De Concepcion	76-101
09/12/18	A	Puente Alto	101-91
08/12/18	A	Espanol de Talca	98-103
25/11/18	H	Las Animas	93-99
24/11/18	H	Osorno	93-87

Deportes Castrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/01/19	A	Ancud	88-94
05/01/19	H	Ancud	84-102
22/12/18	A	Espanol de Talca	80-74
22/12/18	A	Puente Alto	78-94
16/12/18	H	Osorno	85-82
15/12/18	H	Las Animas	68-69
09/12/18	A	Temuco	101-111
08/12/18	A	U. De Concepcion	74-80
25/11/18	A	CD Puerto Varas	83-77
24/11/18	A	Valdivia	106-116 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leones Quilpue

LNB 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	59%
Home	WLLWW	70%
Away	LWLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	10	12
Win %	59%	70%	50%
Points / game	87.0	88.5	85.7
Allowed / game	83.5	80.7	85.8
Point differential	+3.5	+7.8	-0.2
Avg total	170.5	169.2	171.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	9%	20%	0%

Deportes Castro

LNB 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	45%
Home	WLLWL	50%
Away	LLLWL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	10	12
Win %	45%	50%	42%
Points / game	83.6	81.9	85.1
Allowed / game	84.4	80.8	87.3
Point differential	-0.7	+1.1	-2.2
Avg total	168.0	162.7	172.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	20%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	25% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	5%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Las Animas	22	18	4	82%	83.2	75.0	+8.3
2	Temuco	22	15	7	68%	86.0	81.7	+4.2
3	Leones Quilpue	22	13	9	59%	87.0	83.5	+3.5
4	Valdivia	22	13	9	59%	83.7	81.0	+2.7
5	Ancud	22	12	10	55%	84.0	85.0	-1.0
6	CD Puerto Varas	22	11	11	50%	78.7	77.8	+0.9
7	U. De Concepcion	22	11	11	50%	77.7	77.0	+0.7
8	Puente Alto	22	10	12	45%	83.1	80.7	+2.4
9	Deportes Castro	22	10	12	45%	83.6	84.4	-0.7
10	Espanol de Talca	22	10	12	45%	85.8	88.4	-2.6
11	Osorno	22	8	14	36%	80.6	85.8	-5.2
12	Catolica	22	1	21	5%	76.7	89.8	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Leones Quilpue	20	27	29	26	102
Deportes Castro	23	15	29	10	77

← all games of the day

Leones Quilpue vs Deportes Castro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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