PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Leonis Roma vs Casale Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 107-109
28-23 26-37 21-32 32-17
Position#12
Record12-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#7
Record15-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game79.3
ItalyA2 - WestRound 28
Other2018-19
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leonis Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casale Monferrato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leonis RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#11
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A27/01
A2 - West
Virtus Roma
#2
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H31/01
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
L
82-108
82
108
-26
A03/02
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H09/02
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
W
88-60
88
60
+28
A17/02
A2 - West
Bergamo
#4
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H23/02
A2 - West
Biella
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A10/03
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H16/03
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
L
85-112
85
112
-27
A24/03
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A31/03
A2 - West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
12-17
20-24
26-24
8-22
28-30
16-25
21-17
18-18
17-32
27-29
20-29
17-18
20-30
19-15
29-27
15-16
23-10
28-24
22-10
17-9
26-18
19-15
34-28
16-24
29-17
13-17
23-20
24-22
20-26
17-21
25-9
21-21
16-27
26-27
22-37
18-20
17-20
11-13
9-18
165.8Avg total
80.7Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.981.1159.0-3.244%
Season at home (13)80.576.9157.4+3.569%
Season away (14)75.585.0160.5-9.521%
Last 10 (10)80.785.1165.8-4.440%
Last 5 (5)80.681.8162.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.484.8161.2-8.325%
vs Similar (9)81.277.2158.4+4.067%
vs Weaker (2)74.569.5144.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casale MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#13
L
98-107
98
107
-9
A27/01
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H30/01
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A03/02
A2 - West
Virtus Roma
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H10/02
A2 - West
Tortona
#14
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A17/02
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A24/02
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H10/03
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H17/03
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A24/03
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
W
102-84
102
84
+18
H31/03
A2 - West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
20-33
27-29
29-19
24-29
29-13
20-20
23-13
20-25
19-19
16-16
18-19
23-18
21-20
12-15
20-24
10-18
21-16
18-14
13-22
14-24
19-16
25-23
12-26
26-25
27-26
18-23
24-15
22-17
25-21
16-26
25-17
20-20
21-22
23-19
24-20
19-14
35-28
30-19
18-23
168.0Avg total
84.8Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.379.3162.6+4.056%
Season at home (14)84.072.9156.9+11.179%
Season away (13)82.586.3168.8-3.831%
Last 10 (10)84.883.2168.0+1.650%
Last 5 (5)88.684.8173.4+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.378.3148.7-8.00%
vs Similar (14)81.379.9161.2+1.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.578.7164.2+6.869%
This opponent (Leonis Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
Leonis RomaCasale Monferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leonis RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#11
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A27/01
A2 - West
Virtus Roma
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H31/01
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A03/02
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H09/02
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A17/02
A2 - West
Bergamo
#4
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H23/02
A2 - West
Biella
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A10/03
A2 - West
Virtus Cassino
#16
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H16/03
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/03
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A31/03
A2 - West
80.2Avg total
38.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)37.140.677.7-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.140.078.1-1.946%-
Last 30 away (14)36.341.177.4-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.280.2-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.881.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.942.678.5-6.819%-
vs Similar (9)39.437.376.8+2.178%-
vs Weaker (2)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casale MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#13
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A27/01
A2 - West
Trapani
#10
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H30/01
A2 - West
NPC Rieti
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A03/02
A2 - West
Virtus Roma
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/02
A2 - West
Tortona
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/02
A2 - West
Capo d'Orlando
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A24/02
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H10/03
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/03
A2 - West
Agrigento
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A24/03
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H31/03
A2 - West
86.7Avg total
43.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.981.9+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.837.179.9+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.783.9-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)43.743.086.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.688.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.036.370.3-2.333%-
vs Similar (14)43.441.685.0+1.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.238.981.2+3.346%-
This opponent (Leonis Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Leonis Roma wins
1
Casale Monferrato wins
DateGameScore
22/12/18Casale Monferrato v Leonis Roma80-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/19ANPC Rieti55-71
24/03/19ACapo d'Orlando85-112
16/03/19HVirtus Cassino86-78
10/03/19ABiella81-78
23/02/19HBergamo96-70
17/02/19ALegnano88-60
09/02/19HTreviglio85-90
03/02/19AScafati82-108
31/01/19HVirtus Roma73-94
27/01/19AAgrigento76-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/19HScafati102-84
24/03/19AAgrigento88-81
17/03/19HLegnano88-81
10/03/19HTreviglio95-89
24/02/19ACapo d'Orlando70-89
17/02/19ATortona62-70
10/02/19HVirtus Roma76-77
03/02/19ANPC Rieti73-79
30/01/19HTrapani96-75
27/01/19ASiena98-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leonis Roma
A2 - West 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL44%
HomeLLLWW69%
AwayLWWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%69%21%
Points / game77.980.575.5
Allowed / game81.176.985.0
Point differential-3.2+3.5-9.5
Avg total159.0157.4160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Casale Monferrato
A2 - West 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%79%31%
Points / game83.384.082.5
Allowed / game79.372.986.3
Point differential+4.0+11.1-3.8
Avg total162.6156.9168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%57%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Capo d'Orlando2618869%87.281.1+6.1
2 Virtus Roma2618869%82.578.3+4.2
3 Bergamo27171063%82.677.4+5.1
4 NPC Rieti27171063%72.772.0+0.6
5 Treviglio27161159%83.180.4+2.6
6 Latina27161159%89.187.1+2.0
7 Casale Monferrato27151256%83.379.3+4.0
8 Biella27151256%77.774.1+3.6
9 Scafati27141352%83.484.0-0.6
10 Agrigento27141352%78.479.6-1.2
11 Trapani27131448%85.084.6+0.5
12 Leonis Roma27121544%77.981.1-3.2
13 Tortona27111641%76.776.3+0.3
14 Siena25101540%72.678.2-5.5
15 Legnano2762122%73.981.6-7.7
16 Virtus Cassino272257%74.385.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leonis Roma28262132107
Casale Monferrato23373217109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.