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LePy W vs Espoo Team II W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 59-49
18-13 14-9 19-11 8-16
Position#6
Record12-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game66.1
Allowed / game58.4
LePy W 🏆
Finland
vs
Espoo Team II W
Finland
Position#3
Record16-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game63.0
FinlandI Divisioona WomenI Divisioona Women - Quarter-finals· Leppavaara Sports hall
Women2024-25
Meetings · LePy W v Espoo Team II W
06 Apr 2026
LEPY79
ESPO70
29 Mar 2025
LEPY59
ESPO49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LePy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Espoo Team II W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Turun NMKY W
#8
W
70-69
70
69
+1
63avg 57
H19/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#4
W
64-52
64
52
+12
58avg 57
A24/01
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#11
W
56-55
56
55
+1
38avg 57
H02/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
43avg 57
H13/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
86-34
86
34
+52
79avg 57
A26/02
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
W
101-40
101
40
+61
92avg 57
H02/03
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
54avg 57
A07/03
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
59-62
59
62
-3
51avg 57
H16/03
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
W
59-54
59
54
+5
54avg 57
H23/03
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
L
61-67
61
67
-6
58avg 57
A26/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
15-19
15-18
23-12
7-17
20-11
20-6
17-18
9-17
18-11
15-16
14-11
11-6
13-11
15-17
15-12
17-9
24-8
21-5
24-12
21-8
15-12
26-14
39-6
18-10
22-21
13-16
14-24
22-22
15-9
14-15
8-16
17-13
5-17
19-9
18-15
11-19
17-9
13-23
20-16
122.7Avg total
67.7Scored
55.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)66.158.4124.5+7.857%
Season at home (10)67.457.9125.3+9.570%
Season away (11)65.058.8123.8+6.245%
Last 10 (10)67.755.0122.7+12.770%
Last 5 (5)69.458.8128.2+10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)57.762.1119.8-4.436%
vs Similar (7)58.957.7116.6+1.143%
vs Weaker (12)74.153.8127.9+20.275%
This opponent (Espoo Team II W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espoo Team II WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
W
89-76
89
76
+13
78avg 63
H26/01
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
98-43
98
43
+55
92avg 63
A02/02
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#10
L
58-63
58
63
-5
41avg 63
H09/02
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#12
W
79-63
79
63
+16
65avg 63
A13/02
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#13
W
107-51
107
51
+56
91avg 63
H23/02
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#8
L
75-85
75
85
-10
58avg 63
A28/02
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#4
W
80-48
80
48
+32
68avg 63
H09/03
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#11
W
81-57
81
57
+24
64avg 63
A16/03
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
W
113-51
113
51
+62
96avg 63
H23/03
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#6
W
67-61
67
61
+6
45avg 63
H26/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-9
27-20
23-25
14-22
24-12
26-8
28-9
20-14
16-22
11-13
26-14
5-14
17-15
11-24
27-13
24-11
42-13
14-10
25-13
26-15
18-25
23-19
19-17
15-24
14-16
27-12
16-9
23-11
23-21
13-11
24-12
21-13
26-14
27-19
29-10
31-8
19-11
9-17
23-13
16-20
144.5Avg total
84.7Scored
59.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.463.0141.3+15.473%
Season at home (11)78.161.8139.9+16.373%
Season away (11)78.664.1142.7+14.573%
Last 10 (10)84.759.8144.5+24.980%
Last 5 (5)83.260.4143.6+22.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.373.7136.0-11.30%
vs Similar (6)73.266.8140.0+6.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)78.162.4140.5+15.771%
This opponent (LePy W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +10.5+10.5Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +4.3+4.3
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +10.5+10.5Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +4.3+4.3
LePy WEspoo Team II W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turun NMKY W
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H19/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#4
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A24/01
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#11
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H02/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
24-17
24
17
+7
H13/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
41-17
41
17
+24
A26/02
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H02/03
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A07/03
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/03
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H23/03
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A26/03
I Divisioona Women
58.3Avg total
31.4Scored
26.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.229.061.2+3.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.227.558.8+3.856%-
Last 30 away (14)33.330.864.1+2.536%-
Last 10 (10)31.426.958.3+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)32.628.060.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)29.530.560.0-0.936%-
vs Similar (7)28.928.657.4+0.329%-
vs Weaker (12)36.628.064.6+8.667%-
This opponent (Espoo Team II W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espoo Team II WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H26/01
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
50-20
50
20
+30
A02/02
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#10
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H09/02
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#12
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A13/02
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#13
W
56-23
56
23
+33
H23/02
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A28/02
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#4
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H09/03
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#11
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A16/03
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H23/03
I Divisioona Women
LePy W
#6
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H26/03
I Divisioona Women
72.3Avg total
41.2Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.332.870.1+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.932.270.1+5.764%-
Last 30 away (16)36.833.470.1+3.462%-
Last 10 (10)41.231.172.3+10.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.833.072.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.037.769.7-5.733%-
vs Similar (6)36.330.366.7+6.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.332.971.2+5.562%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 66.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.416.1
38.9%
42.5%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.28.3
27.5%
25.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.29.8
60.5%
65.4%9.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Espoo Team II Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Espoo Team II W: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.521.1
42.6%
42.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.79.0
25.9%
25.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.215.9
65.7%
65.4%15.9
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LePy W
LWLLWWWWWW
Espoo Team II W
WWWWLWWLWW
#6
League position
#3
+16.1
Net rating
+28.0
85.5
Offensive rating
91.4
69.4
Defensive rating
63.3
39.9%
Effective FG%
41.1%
37.1%
Opp. effective FG%
37.1%
26.5%
Turnover %
24.2%
44.1%
Off. rebound %
43.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
27.5%
3-point %
25.9%
73.8%
Assist %
56.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 91.4Defence69.4 · 63.3Shooting39.9% · 41.1%3-point %27.5% · 25.9%Ball care26.5% · 24.2%Off. rebounds44.1% · 43.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ LePy W   ■ Espoo Team II W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
LePy W wins
1
Espoo Team II W wins
DateGameScore
26/03/25Espoo Team II W v LePy W67-61
01/12/24Espoo Team II W v LePy W44-81
21/01/24Espoo Team II W v LePy W53-63
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25AEspoo Team II W61-67
23/03/25HTapiolan Honka II W59-54
16/03/25HPyrinto II W59-62
07/03/25ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W67-71
02/03/25HOulun NMKY W101-40
26/02/25AHyPo W86-34
13/02/25HLahti Basketball W54-46
02/02/25HLappeenranta W56-55
24/01/25APuhuttaret W64-52
19/01/25HTurun NMKY W70-69
Espoo Team II Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25HLePy W67-61
23/03/25HJyvaskyla BA W113-51
16/03/25ALappeenranta W81-57
09/03/25HPuhuttaret W80-48
28/02/25ATurun NMKY W75-85
23/02/25HFeeniks Basket W107-51
13/02/25APeKa II W79-63
09/02/25HPantterit W58-63
02/02/25AHyPo W98-43
26/01/25HTapiolan Honka II W89-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayWWWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%70%45%
Points / game66.167.465.0
Allowed / game58.457.958.8
Point differential+7.8+9.5+6.2
Avg total124.5125.3123.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%30%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Espoo Team II W
I Divisioona Women 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%73%73%
Points / game78.478.178.6
Allowed / game63.061.864.1
Point differential+15.4+16.3+14.5
Avg total141.3139.9142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%55%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W2118386%77.963.4+14.5
2 Tapiolan Honka II W2117481%80.965.9+15.0
3 Espoo Team II W2216673%78.463.0+15.4
4 Pyrinto II W2215768%70.563.1+7.3
5 Puhuttaret W2214864%70.564.5+5.9
6 LePy W2112957%66.158.4+7.8
7 Lahti Basketball W2011955%72.861.1+11.7
8 Turun NMKY W22111150%77.771.8+5.9
9 Jyvaskyla BA W22111150%67.869.1-1.3
10 Pantterit W21101148%63.964.7-0.9
11 Lappeenranta W2181338%62.365.8-3.5
12 PeKa II W2171433%67.672.5-4.9
13 Oulun NMKY W2051525%69.483.8-14.4
14 Feeniks Basket W2251723%60.777.4-16.7
15 HyPo W210210%51.990.5-38.6
16 Kataja W1010%18.0105.0-87.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LePy W181419859
Espoo Team II W139111649
← all games of the day
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