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LePy W vs Tapiolan Honka II W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 59-54
17-13 5-17 19-9 18-15
Position#6
Record11-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game58.2
LePy W 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#2
Record16-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game66.2
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Leppavaara Sports hall
Women2024-25
Meetings · LePy W v Tapiolan Honka II W
04 Apr 2025
LEPY51
TAPI67
23 Mar 2025
LEPY59
TAPI54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LePy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tapiolan Honka II W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
PeKa II W
#12
W
91-58
91
58
+33
88avg 58
H19/12
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#13
W
75-58
75
58
+17
67avg 58
A12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#8
W
70-69
70
69
+1
63avg 58
H19/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#4
W
64-52
64
52
+12
58avg 58
A24/01
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#11
W
56-55
56
55
+1
38avg 58
H02/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
43avg 58
H13/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
86-34
86
34
+52
79avg 58
A26/02
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
W
101-40
101
40
+61
92avg 58
H02/03
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
54avg 58
A07/03
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
59-62
59
62
-3
51avg 58
H16/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
21-14
19-16
22-8
27-21
17-13
22-14
9-10
17-20
15-19
15-18
23-12
7-17
20-11
20-6
17-18
9-17
18-11
15-16
14-11
11-6
13-11
15-17
15-12
17-9
24-8
21-5
24-12
21-8
15-12
26-14
39-6
18-10
22-21
13-16
14-24
22-22
15-9
14-15
8-16
126.8Avg total
72.3Scored
54.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)66.858.2124.9+8.658%
Season at home (9)68.358.3126.7+10.067%
Season away (10)65.458.0123.4+7.450%
Last 10 (10)72.354.5126.8+17.880%
Last 5 (5)73.450.6124.0+22.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)57.263.2120.4-6.030%
vs Similar (7)58.957.7116.6+1.143%
vs Weaker (13)73.354.5127.8+18.877%
This opponent (Tapiolan Honka II W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tapiolan Honka II WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Turun NMKY W
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
73avg 73
H20/12
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#4
W
71-59
71
59
+12
64avg 73
A10/01
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#11
W
74-69 OT
74
69
+5
67avg 73
H19/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
62avg 73
A26/01
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
W
99-65
99
65
+34
99avg 73
H02/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
82-70
82
70
+12
75avg 73
A09/02
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
81avg 73
H16/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 73
A23/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
114-40
114
40
+74
117avg 73
H02/03
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
76-81
76
81
-5
62avg 73
H16/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
21-23
16-17
22-25
15-21
31-18
11-10
14-10
22-10
13-20
17-17
12-17
9-25
20-27
25-23
22-14
23-19
18-15
26-12
32-19
19-22
13-20
25-15
25-13
16-16
21-20
35-15
18-25
18-22
16-23
18-13
20-9
30-4
26-17
28-15
30-4
18-22
11-20
17-16
30-23
152.7Avg total
83.5Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.566.2148.7+16.484%
Season at home (10)84.464.6149.0+19.890%
Season away (9)80.467.9148.3+12.678%
Last 10 (10)83.569.2152.7+14.380%
Last 5 (5)86.866.8153.6+20.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.787.7157.3-18.00%
vs Similar (8)73.674.9148.5-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.861.6146.4+23.2100%
This opponent (LePy W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +6.6+6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +6.6+6.6
LePy WTapiolan Honka II W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PeKa II W
#12
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H19/12
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#13
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A12/01
I Divisioona Women
Turun NMKY W
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H19/01
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#4
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A24/01
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#11
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H02/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
24-17
24
17
+7
H13/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
41-17
41
17
+24
A26/02
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H02/03
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A07/03
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/03
I Divisioona Women
63.7Avg total
35.8Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.729.762.4+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.628.159.7+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)34.031.465.4+2.643%-
Last 10 (10)35.827.963.7+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.623.258.8+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)30.231.761.9-1.540%-
vs Similar (7)28.928.657.4+0.329%-
vs Weaker (13)36.728.765.4+8.069%-
This opponent (Tapiolan Honka II W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tapiolan Honka II WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turun NMKY W
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H20/12
I Divisioona Women
Puhuttaret W
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A10/01
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H19/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A26/01
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H02/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A09/02
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H16/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A23/02
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
56-21
56
21
+35
H02/03
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H16/03
I Divisioona Women
75.7Avg total
38.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.034.974.9+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.131.571.6+8.688%-
Last 30 away (14)39.938.978.7+1.057%-
Last 10 (10)38.237.575.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.274.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.039.771.7-7.733%-
vs Similar (8)35.139.874.9-4.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.332.275.5+11.289%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.417.3
41.8%
42.5%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.0
29.0%
25.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.910.4
65.4%
65.4%10.4
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tapiolan Honka II Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tapiolan Honka II W: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.724.7
47.8%
42.5%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.8
30.4%
25.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.910.1
67.8%
65.4%10.1
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LePy W
LLWWWWWWWW
Tapiolan Honka II W
LWWWWWLWWW
#6
League position
#2
+22.9
Net rating
+16.6
93.3
Offensive rating
93.9
70.4
Defensive rating
77.2
42.5%
Effective FG%
47.0%
38.9%
Opp. effective FG%
39.8%
23.6%
Turnover %
24.8%
43.3%
Off. rebound %
37.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.19
29.0%
3-point %
30.4%
68.1%
Assist %
68.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 93.9Defence70.4 · 77.2Shooting42.5% · 47.0%3-point %29.0% · 30.4%Ball care23.6% · 24.8%Off. rebounds43.3% · 37.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ LePy W   ■ Tapiolan Honka II W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
LePy W wins
1
Tapiolan Honka II W wins
DateGameScore
24/11/24Tapiolan Honka II W v LePy W71-45
25/11/23Tapiolan Honka II W v LePy W59-65 OT
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HPyrinto II W59-62
07/03/25ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W67-71
02/03/25HOulun NMKY W101-40
26/02/25AHyPo W86-34
13/02/25HLahti Basketball W54-46
02/02/25HLappeenranta W56-55
24/01/25APuhuttaret W64-52
19/01/25HTurun NMKY W70-69
12/01/25AFeeniks Basket W75-58
19/12/24HPeKa II W91-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W76-81
02/03/25HHyPo W114-40
23/02/25APyrinto II W72-67
16/02/25HOulun NMKY W90-76
09/02/25ALahti Basketball W82-70
02/02/25HJyvaskyla BA W99-65
26/01/25AEspoo Team II W76-89
19/01/25HLappeenranta W74-69 OT
10/01/25APuhuttaret W71-59
20/12/24HTurun NMKY W81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game66.868.365.4
Allowed / game58.258.358.0
Point differential+8.6+10.0+7.4
Avg total124.9126.7123.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tapiolan Honka II W
I Divisioona Women 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL84%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %84%90%78%
Points / game82.584.480.4
Allowed / game66.264.667.9
Point differential+16.4+19.8+12.6
Avg total148.7149.0148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%60%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W1917289%79.963.4+16.5
2 Tapiolan Honka II W1916384%82.566.2+16.4
3 Espoo Team II W2014670%77.263.6+13.6
4 Pyrinto II W2013765%70.064.0+6.0
5 Puhuttaret W2013765%70.665.0+5.7
6 LePy W1911858%66.858.2+8.6
7 Turun NMKY W2011955%79.272.2+7.0
8 Jyvaskyla BA W2011955%69.167.2+1.9
9 Lahti Basketball W1910953%73.061.4+11.6
10 Pantterit W2091145%64.065.0-0.9
11 Lappeenranta W2071335%62.165.9-3.8
12 PeKa II W2071335%67.872.8-5.0
13 Oulun NMKY W2051525%69.483.8-14.4
14 Feeniks Basket W2041620%60.078.8-18.9
15 HyPo W190190%52.391.4-39.2
16 Kataja W1010%18.0105.0-87.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LePy W175191859
Tapiolan Honka II W131791554
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