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LePy W vs Turun NMKY W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 70-69
17-20 15-19 15-18 23-12
Position#6
Record5-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game61.5
LePy W 🏆
Finland
vs
Turun NMKY W
Finland
Position#8
Record7-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game71.6
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Leppavaara Sports hall
Women2024-25
Meetings · LePy W v Turun NMKY W
19 Jan 2025
LEPY70
TURU69
17 Dec 2023
LEPY55
TURU64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LePy W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Turun NMKY W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
47-64
47
64
-17
33avg 53
A20/10
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
W
77-61
77
61
+16
65avg 53
A03/11
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
49avg 53
H10/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
57-67
57
67
-10
47avg 53
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
L
45-71
45
71
-26
33avg 53
A24/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
W
81-44
81
44
+37
83avg 53
A01/12
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
45avg 53
H08/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#10
L
55-58
55
58
-3
48avg 53
A15/12
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#12
W
91-58
91
58
+33
88avg 53
H19/12
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#13
W
75-58
75
58
+17
67avg 53
A12/01
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
15-15
3-21
16-14
18-11
14-21
22-13
23-16
18-21
10-15
17-15
15-23
17-16
13-16
12-20
15-15
13-20
8-19
15-10
9-22
23-8
28-13
17-19
13-4
12-14
17-19
15-19
14-15
18-17
13-15
12-12
12-14
29-20
21-14
19-16
22-8
27-21
17-13
22-14
9-10
126.8Avg total
64.6Scored
62.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)64.761.5126.2+3.345%
Season at home (4)68.863.2132.0+5.550%
Season away (7)62.460.4122.9+2.043%
Last 10 (10)64.662.2126.8+2.440%
Last 5 (5)72.057.0129.0+15.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)56.163.6119.7-7.530%
vs Similar ◀ (9)58.762.6121.2-3.922%
vs Weaker (11)72.159.2131.3+12.973%
This opponent (Turun NMKY W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Turun NMKY WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Espoo Team II W
#3
L
56-82
56
82
-26
46avg 60
A03/11
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
52avg 60
H10/11
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#13
W
84-52
84
52
+32
78avg 60
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#10
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
67avg 60
H24/11
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
59-83
59
83
-24
39avg 60
H29/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
96-62
96
62
+34
82avg 60
A08/12
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
86-69
86
69
+17
82avg 60
H15/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
65avg 60
A20/12
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
L
79-89 OT
79
89
-10
64avg 60
A10/01
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
104-48
104
48
+56
100avg 60
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
18-16
4-25
14-24
16-14
12-16
19-19
22-25
18-12
22-10
17-7
27-23
15-14
20-21
15-14
19-20
20-23
16-15
6-25
17-20
22-11
19-13
31-20
24-18
20-13
21-22
26-18
19-16
11-22
23-21
17-16
25-22
26-8
12-20
15-21
11-15
25-21
24-6
25-16
30-5
151.2Avg total
79.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.171.6151.7+8.554%
Season at home (7)82.971.3154.1+11.657%
Season away (6)76.872.0148.8+4.850%
Last 10 (10)79.072.2151.2+6.840%
Last 5 (5)88.269.8158.0+18.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)62.867.8130.6-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (7)70.766.6137.3+4.157%
vs Weaker (9)80.065.0145.0+15.067%
This opponent (LePy W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
LePy WTurun NMKY W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A20/10
I Divisioona Women
Oulun NMKY W
#14
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A03/11
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H10/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A24/11
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#3
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A01/12
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H08/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#10
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A15/12
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#12
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H19/12
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#13
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A12/01
I Divisioona Women
66.6Avg total
34.4Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.632.865.4-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.230.661.8+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)33.934.868.6-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)34.432.266.6+2.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.030.871.8+10.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)28.834.763.5-5.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)30.631.462.0-0.933%-
vs Weaker (11)37.832.270.0+5.664%-
This opponent (Turun NMKY W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Turun NMKY WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espoo Team II W
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A03/11
I Divisioona Women
PeKa II W
#12
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H10/11
I Divisioona Women
Feeniks Basket W
#13
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A17/11
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H24/11
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H29/11
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A08/12
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H15/12
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A20/12
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#9
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A10/01
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H12/01
I Divisioona Women
69.5Avg total
38.0Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.665.6+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.633.869.4+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)29.931.361.2-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.031.569.5+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.631.472.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.534.565.0-4.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.933.667.4+0.357%-
vs Weaker (9)36.128.965.0+7.267%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 64.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.114.0
38.8%
42.5%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.58.0
27.1%
25.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.112.2
67.4%
65.4%12.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Turun NMKY Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turun NMKY W: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.319.5
43.0%
42.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.69.8
26.8%
25.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.310.3
56.3%
65.4%10.3
They take 81.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LePy W
WWLLWLLLWL
Turun NMKY W
WLLWWLLWLL
#6
League position
#8
+2.6
Net rating
+8.2
82.1
Offensive rating
91.8
79.6
Defensive rating
83.6
39.6%
Effective FG%
41.8%
41.2%
Opp. effective FG%
41.8%
28.7%
Turnover %
24.1%
39.9%
Off. rebound %
44.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
27.1%
3-point %
26.8%
69.1%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence82.1 · 91.8Defence79.6 · 83.6Shooting39.6% · 41.8%3-point %27.1% · 26.8%Ball care28.7% · 24.1%Off. rebounds39.9% · 44.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ LePy W   ■ Turun NMKY W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
LePy W wins
1
Turun NMKY W wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23LePy W v Turun NMKY W55-64
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25AFeeniks Basket W75-58
19/12/24HPeKa II W91-58
15/12/24APantterit W55-58
08/12/24HJyvaskyla BA W58-67
01/12/24AEspoo Team II W81-44
24/11/24ATapiolan Honka II W45-71
17/11/24APyrinto II W57-67
10/11/24HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W60-74
03/11/24AOulun NMKY W77-61
20/10/24ALahti Basketball W47-64
Turun NMKY Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HHyPo W104-48
10/01/25AJyvaskyla BA W79-89 OT
20/12/24ATapiolan Honka II W76-81
15/12/24HLahti Basketball W86-69
08/12/24APyrinto II W96-62
29/11/24HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W59-83
24/11/24HPantterit W81-82 OT
17/11/24AFeeniks Basket W84-52
10/11/24HPeKa II W69-74
03/11/24AEspoo Team II W56-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%50%43%
Points / game64.768.862.4
Allowed / game61.563.260.4
Point differential+3.3+5.5+2.0
Avg total126.2132.0122.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Turun NMKY W
I Divisioona Women 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW54%
HomeLLLWW57%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%57%50%
Points / game80.182.976.8
Allowed / game71.671.372.0
Point differential+8.5+11.6+4.8
Avg total151.7154.1148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tapiolan Honka II W1211192%79.964.1+15.8
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W1210283%78.962.5+16.4
3 Jyvaskyla BA W139469%71.865.5+6.3
4 Puhuttaret W128467%74.565.1+9.4
5 Espoo Team II W117464%73.067.0+6.0
6 Pyrinto II W138562%70.861.7+9.2
7 Lahti Basketball W116555%74.863.2+11.6
8 Turun NMKY W137654%80.171.6+8.5
9 LePy W115645%64.761.5+3.3
10 Pantterit W125742%65.966.2-0.2
11 Lappeenranta W125742%64.266.8-2.5
12 PeKa II W124833%65.973.5-7.6
13 Oulun NMKY W124833%68.380.7-12.3
14 Feeniks Basket W1321115%58.880.2-21.5
15 HyPo W120120%55.889.4-33.6
16 Kataja W1010%18.0105.0-87.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LePy W1715152370
Turun NMKY W2019181269
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