PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Leszno vs Krosno Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 90-81
Projected total 171.5
Scheduled
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game74.3
Leszno
Poland
Vs
78%
22%
■ LESZ 78%■ KROS 22%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Krosno
Poland
Position#13
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game87.7
Poland1 LigaRound 10· Hala Sportowa Trapez
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leszno v Krosno
22 Nov 2026
LESZ v KROS
upcoming
12 Feb 2020
LESZ79
KROS71
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Leszno host Krosno in the 1 Liga. Pythia makes Leszno the favourite at 78% and projects 90-81, about 171 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Leszno are 9-0 this season (89.2 scored, 74.3 allowed a game), form WWWWW; Krosno are 2-7 this season (83.7 scored, 87.7 allowed a game), form LLWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leszno win
78.3%fair 1.28
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Krosno win
21.7%fair 4.60
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 77
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
W
80-71
80
71
+9
73avg 77
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 77
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
98-72
98
72
+26
96avg 77
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
99-77
99
77
+22
96avg 77
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
96avg 77
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
84-59
84
59
+25
87avg 77
H25/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 77
A31/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
W
100-89
100
89
+11
no box
H07/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
67-66
67
66
+1
no box
A15/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
16-33
21-19
27-16
17-22
33-15
17-14
13-20
28-21
23-19
19-15
21-19
23-20
23-25
24-16
28-11
29-18
19-21
34-21
17-17
21-30
24-8
25-29
24-18
20-15
23-15
18-17
23-12
29-19
16-21
20-8
25-28
29-27
24-24
31-22
16-16
22-21
12-12
14-24
19-9
164.4Avg total
88.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.274.3163.6+14.9100%
Season at home (5)90.874.0164.8+16.8100%
Season away (4)87.274.8162.0+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.276.2164.4+12.090%
Last 5 (5)87.075.0162.0+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.487.2169.6-4.840%
vs Similar (10)77.080.3157.3-3.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.073.5160.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Krosno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrosno
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
66-88
66
88
-22
56avg 75
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Bytom
#15
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
75avg 75
A19/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
L
98-107
98
107
-9
93avg 75
H26/09
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 75
A04/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 75
A09/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
67avg 75
H18/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 75
A24/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
W
92-73
92
73
+19
90avg 75
H31/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
L
78-95
78
95
-17
no box
A05/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
H14/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
19-21
17-19
14-24
17-17
27-18
19-29
14-13
20-28
25-19
21-38
32-22
23-31
28-15
21-15
25-28
23-23
16-23
27-15
14-30
22-13
16-20
18-23
16-21
21-16
25-20
7-22
20-24
25-24
24-21
24-15
19-13
18-31
20-20
13-20
27-24
16-17
25-25
20-20
17-22
169.6Avg total
81.9Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.787.7171.3-4.022%
Season at home (4)85.085.2170.2-0.225%
Season away (5)82.689.6172.2-7.020%
Last 10 (10)81.987.7169.6-5.820%
Last 5 (5)78.682.2160.8-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)81.691.0172.6-9.48%
vs Similar (4)87.089.0176.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (1)97.089.0186.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
65.8%
Under 164.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5
Over 169.5
54.1%
Under 169.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174.5
Over 174.5
42.0%
Under 174.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Leszno total 82.5
Over 82.5
77.7%
Under 82.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leszno total 86.5
Over 86.5
64.2%
Under 86.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leszno total 90.5
Over 90.5
48.6%
Under 90.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krosno total 79.5
Over 79.5
56.3%
Under 79.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krosno total 83.5
Over 83.5
40.9%
Under 83.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krosno total 87.5
Over 87.5
27.0%
Under 87.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Leszno -3
LESZ -3
71.7%
KROS +3
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
LESZ
No market prices yet.
KROS
No market prices yet.
Spread Leszno 0
LESZ 0
78.3%
KROS 0
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
LESZ
No market prices yet.
KROS
No market prices yet.
Spread Leszno +3
LESZ +3
84.5%
KROS -3
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
LESZ
No market prices yet.
KROS
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -2.3-2.3
LesznoKrosno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H25/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A31/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H07/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A15/11
1 Liga
85.7Avg total
44.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.882.3+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.281.1+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)41.042.583.5-1.560%-
Last 10 (10)44.641.185.7+3.590%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.482.4+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.343.583.8-3.250%-
vs Similar (10)39.340.980.2-1.630%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.838.182.9+6.7100%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Bytom
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A19/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/09
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A04/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H18/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A24/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H31/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A05/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H14/11
1 Liga
85.2Avg total
42.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.386.6-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.344.086.3-1.746%-
Last 30 away (17)42.244.686.8-2.429%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.685.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.483.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)41.245.186.2-3.928%-
vs Similar (4)47.039.286.2+7.875%-
vs Weaker (1)51.046.097.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.9
55.7%
53.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.2
36.7%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.716.6
73.1%
70.8%16.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.3
56.4%
53.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.2
33.3%
33.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.614.2
72.4%
70.8%14.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leszno
WWWWWWWWWL
Krosno
LLWLLLWLLL
#1
League position
#13
+12.5
Net rating
-5.2
102.8
Offensive rating
96.2
90.3
Defensive rating
101.4
55.4%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
13.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.7%
3-point %
33.3%
68.8%
Assist %
58.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 96.2Defence90.3 · 101.4Shooting55.4% · 53.4%3-point %36.7% · 33.3%Ball care13.1% · 16.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Leszno   ■ Krosno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leszno wins
1
Krosno wins
DateGameScore
12/02/20Leszno v Krosno79-71
06/11/19Krosno v Leszno78-71
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26APoli. Opolska67-66
07/11/26HPoznan100-89
31/10/26ABytom90-76
25/10/26HGKS Tychy84-59
17/10/26AStarogard Gdanski94-85
10/10/26HPolonia Warszawa99-77
03/10/26AR. Rzeszow98-72
30/09/26HPelplin91-74
26/09/26HWKK Wroclaw80-71
15/04/26ALKS Lodz79-93
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HInowroclaw78-84
05/11/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg78-95
31/10/26HLancut92-73
24/10/26ALKS Lodz73-82
18/10/26HSpojnia Stargard72-77
09/10/26APelplin80-91
04/10/26APoli. Opolska97-89
26/09/26HPoznan98-107
19/09/26ABytom85-91 OT
06/05/26HSlask Wroclaw66-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leszno
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.290.887.2
Allowed / game74.374.074.8
Point differential+14.9+16.8+12.5
Avg total163.6164.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Krosno
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game83.785.082.6
Allowed / game87.785.289.6
Point differential-4.0-0.2-7.0
Avg total171.3170.2172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno990100%89.274.3+14.9
2 Spojnia Stargard97278%90.786.2+4.4
3 LKS Lodz96367%89.381.2+8.1
4 Poznan96367%91.985.2+6.7
5 Inowroclaw96367%80.278.3+1.9
6 Lancut95456%87.685.0+2.6
7 Pelplin95456%92.893.4-0.7
8 WKK Wroclaw95456%82.283.4-1.2
9 Polonia Warszawa95456%88.292.6-4.3
10 GKS Tychy94544%79.679.1+0.4
11 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%89.689.1+0.4
12 R. Rzeszow93633%81.888.2-6.4
13 Krosno92722%83.787.7-4.0
14 Starogard Gdanski92722%87.793.8-6.1
15 Bytom92722%82.789.0-6.3
16 Poli. Opolska91811%79.289.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.