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Leszno vs LKS Lodz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-73
26-18 16-23 19-14 25-18
Position#12
Record6-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game81.4
Leszno 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#2
Record12-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game76.8
Poland1 LigaRound 16· Hala Sportowa Trapez
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leszno v LKS Lodz
05 Dec 2026
LESZ v LKS
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
LESZ86
LKS 73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leszno winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LKS Lodz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
Miners Katowice
#16
L
51-76
51
76
-25
34avg 68
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
94-101
94
101
-7
88avg 68
A18/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
88-67
88
67
+21
85avg 68
H26/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
64-87
64
87
-23
49avg 68
A02/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
92avg 68
H09/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
83-57
83
57
+26
76avg 68
H15/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
91-101
91
101
-10
78avg 68
A22/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
64-74
64
74
-10
51avg 68
H30/11
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
88-87
88
87
+1
79avg 68
H13/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
70-67
70
67
+3
56avg 68
A20/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
16-15
7-23
16-14
23-26
28-30
26-22
17-23
22-18
20-15
25-11
21-23
16-20
10-25
19-23
19-19
19-23
27-22
27-23
22-18
29-9
11-21
20-16
23-11
28-24
21-31
21-21
21-25
17-21
17-14
16-19
14-20
15-15
26-21
27-23
20-28
12-15
16-21
19-16
23-15
159.1Avg total
78.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.981.4158.4-4.543%
Season at home (8)74.977.5152.4-2.650%
Season away (6)79.786.7166.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)78.880.3159.1-1.550%
Last 5 (5)79.277.2156.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)82.581.6164.1+0.854%
vs Similar (15)76.183.9159.9-7.827%
vs Weaker (2)92.089.0181.0+3.050%
This opponent (LKS Lodz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LKS LodzPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLodz
Date
Competition
Pelplin
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
56avg 82
A19/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
74avg 82
H26/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
85-74
85
74
+11
86avg 82
A02/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
89-62
89
62
+27
82avg 82
H09/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
90-85
90
85
+5
61avg 82
A15/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
88-85
88
85
+3
87avg 82
H23/11
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
87avg 82
A30/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
96-68
96
68
+28
98avg 82
H06/12
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
105-84
105
84
+21
107avg 82
A13/12
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
98-77
98
77
+21
94avg 82
H20/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
22-19
26-21
13-26
14-22
27-21
15-23
25-14
18-22
23-9
29-25
15-18
13-13
22-15
27-20
27-14
27-25
21-22
16-24
26-14
17-22
30-25
24-20
17-18
30-15
23-19
15-31
25-22
29-18
26-11
19-15
22-24
32-23
39-26
19-11
15-24
20-21
27-20
25-17
26-19
168.2Avg total
89.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.376.8165.1+11.586%
Season at home (7)87.976.4164.3+11.486%
Season away (7)88.777.1165.9+11.686%
Last 10 (10)89.778.5168.2+11.290%
Last 5 (5)96.080.2176.2+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)90.385.7176.0+4.7100%
vs Similar (13)83.984.2168.1-0.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.076.9165.9+12.186%
This opponent (Leszno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +7.3+7.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
LesznoLKS Lodz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miners Katowice
#16
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A18/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H26/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A02/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H09/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H15/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A22/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H30/11
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H13/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/12
1 Liga
79.5Avg total
38.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.881.1-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.939.878.6-0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)41.541.783.2-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.079.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.840.982.8+0.962%-
vs Similar (15)38.442.280.6-3.827%-
vs Weaker (2)44.029.573.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (LKS Lodz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LKS LodzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelplin
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A19/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H26/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A02/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H09/11
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A15/11
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H23/11
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A30/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H06/12
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
71-49
71
49
+22
A13/12
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H20/12
1 Liga
85.6Avg total
47.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.240.084.2+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.239.584.7+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)43.340.583.7+2.860%-
Last 10 (10)47.138.585.6+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)54.640.094.6+14.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.344.087.3-0.733%-
vs Similar (13)42.441.283.6+1.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.138.084.1+8.171%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.5
50.0%
52.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.6
28.9%
31.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.116.4
68.0%
70.0%16.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LKS Lodztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LKS Lodz: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.5
55.6%
52.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.3
33.3%
31.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws25.619.0
74.2%
70.0%19.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leszno
WWLLWWLWLL
LKS Lodz
WWWWWWWWWL
#12
League position
#2
-1.4
Net rating
+14.9
100.1
Offensive rating
116.4
101.5
Defensive rating
101.4
47.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.39
28.9%
3-point %
33.3%
55.7%
Assist %
72.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 116.4Defence101.5 · 101.4Shooting47.3% · 53.0%3-point %28.9% · 33.3%Ball care16.7% · 15.4%Off. rebounds28.4% · 32.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Leszno   ■ LKS Lodz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Leszno wins
0
LKS Lodz wins
No previous meetings.
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg70-67
13/12/25HSpojnia Stargard88-87
30/11/25HWKK Wroclaw64-74
22/11/25AInowroclaw91-101
15/11/25HPolonia Warszawa83-57
09/11/25HPelplin95-86
02/11/25ALancut64-87
26/10/25HGKS Tychy88-67
18/10/25AStarogard Gdanski94-101
10/10/25HMiners Katowice51-76
LKS Lodzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HLancut98-77
13/12/25AGKS Tychy105-84
06/12/25HStarogard Gdanski96-68
30/11/25AMiners Katowice93-87
23/11/25HR. Rzeszow88-85
15/11/25APoznan90-85
09/11/25HZubry Bialystok89-62
02/11/25ABydgoszcz85-74
26/10/25HPoli. Opolska81-80
19/10/25APelplin72-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leszno
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW43%
HomeWWWLW50%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game76.974.979.7
Allowed / game81.477.586.7
Point differential-4.5-2.6-7.0
Avg total158.4152.4166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LKS Lodz
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%86%86%
Points / game88.387.988.7
Allowed / game76.876.477.1
Point differential+11.5+11.4+11.6
Avg total165.1164.3165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%43%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LKS Lodz1412286%88.376.8+11.5
2 Bydgoszcz1512380%87.575.5+12.1
3 Starogard Gdanski1512380%86.779.6+7.1
4 Pelplin1510567%87.882.6+5.2
5 Spojnia Stargard149564%84.479.8+4.6
6 Lancut159660%85.185.5-0.4
7 GKS Tychy158753%84.385.9-1.6
8 Polonia Warszawa158753%81.184.7-3.6
9 R. Rzeszow147750%81.681.1+0.5
10 Poznan157847%81.880.6+1.2
11 Leszno146843%76.981.4-4.5
12 WKK Wroclaw156940%79.782.3-2.5
13 Inowroclaw145936%79.986.4-6.5
14 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1551033%78.479.1-0.7
15 Poli. Opolska1551033%82.784.3-1.7
16 Miners Katowice1531220%79.286.3-7.1
17 Zubry Bialystok151147%77.290.4-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leszno2616192586
LKS Lodz1823141873
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