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Starogard Gdanski vs Leszno Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 101-94
26-23 30-28 22-26 23-17
Position#3
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#12
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game82.6
Poland1 LigaRound 6· Hala im. Andrzeja Grubby
Other2025-26
Meetings · Starogard Gdanski v Leszno
17 Oct 2026
STAR85
LESZ94
18 Oct 2025
STAR101
LESZ94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Starogard Gdanski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leszno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 76
A12/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
85-77
85
77
+8
85avg 76
H19/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
59-93
59
93
-34
50avg 76
A22/03
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
99-82
99
82
+17
104avg 76
A30/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
63-95
63
95
-32
64avg 76
A05/04
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
79-68
79
68
+11
70avg 76
H21/09
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
88-65
88
65
+23
91avg 76
A26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
96-91
96
91
+5
88avg 76
H01/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
83avg 76
H06/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
77-61
77
61
+16
72avg 76
A12/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
18-14
21-23
17-23
16-21
25-14
25-19
19-23
13-32
15-21
15-19
16-21
22-25
30-21
20-19
27-17
14-27
17-24
16-26
16-18
14-23
18-14
18-24
29-7
18-16
26-7
11-23
33-19
24-24
24-21
29-28
19-18
26-26
14-25
23-7
27-18
13-15
13-17
20-10
31-19
160.0Avg total
81.8Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.072.2158.2+13.8100%
Season at home (3)88.378.3166.7+10.0100%
Season away (2)82.563.0145.5+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.878.2160.0+3.680%
Last 5 (5)86.072.2158.2+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.884.0155.8-12.220%
vs Similar (17)80.581.6162.1-1.241%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.173.9164.0+16.288%
This opponent (Leszno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
Krosno
#6
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
H12/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#15
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
A15/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#2
W
87-66
87
66
+21
no box
A26/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#4
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
H29/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
H07/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
64avg 59
H19/09
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
91-81
91
81
+10
89avg 59
A28/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
64-90
64
90
-26
53avg 59
H01/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
68-83
68
83
-15
56avg 59
A04/10
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
51-76
51
76
-25
34avg 59
H10/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
26-16
16-20
14-15
21-15
24-21
27-18
20-20
29-15
19-16
15-18
24-17
19-26
15-24
15-12
21-18
11-19
22-33
21-18
18-19
15-15
23-22
11-21
17-25
26-16
19-16
27-21
19-28
17-25
18-14
14-25
15-26
15-21
26-24
9-9
18-29
12-24
16-15
7-23
16-14
153.3Avg total
74.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.082.6150.6-14.620%
Season at home (3)60.383.0143.3-22.70%
Season away (2)79.582.0161.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)74.079.3153.3-5.340%
Last 5 (5)68.082.6150.6-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.083.7161.7-5.727%
vs Similar (16)80.184.9165.1-4.838%
vs Weaker (3)87.780.7168.3+7.067%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
Starogard GdanskiLeszno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#15
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A12/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H19/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A22/03
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A30/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A05/04
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/09
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H01/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H06/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A12/10
1 Liga
78.7Avg total
38.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.080.1+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.184.1+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)37.039.076.0-2.053%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.178.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.675.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.241.076.2-5.820%-
vs Similar (17)40.240.680.8-0.465%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.838.281.0+4.562%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Krosno
#6
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H12/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#2
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A26/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#4
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H29/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H07/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/09
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A28/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H01/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A04/10
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H10/10
1 Liga
79.3Avg total
39.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.181.4-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.140.479.6-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)41.341.883.1-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.779.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.475.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.542.482.8-1.945%-
vs Similar (16)39.642.481.9-2.831%-
vs Weaker (3)43.730.073.7+13.7100%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.2
52.3%
52.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.3
34.4%
31.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.915.6
71.2%
70.0%15.6
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.8
47.6%
52.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.0
27.0%
31.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws22.814.0
61.4%
70.0%14.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Starogard Gdanski
WWWWWLWLWW
Leszno
LLLWLLLWWW
#3
League position
#12
+4.8
Net rating
-18.8
110.1
Offensive rating
86.9
105.3
Defensive rating
105.6
52.1%
Effective FG%
45.0%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
22.3%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.4%
3-point %
27.0%
74.0%
Assist %
62.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 86.9Defence105.3 · 105.6Shooting52.1% · 45.0%3-point %34.4% · 27.0%Ball care17.3% · 22.3%Off. rebounds32.3% · 25.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Starogard Gdanski   ■ Leszno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Starogard Gdanski wins
0
Leszno wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25ALancut77-61
06/10/25HGKS Tychy90-76
01/10/25HPelplin96-91
26/09/25AMiners Katowice88-65
21/09/25HR. Rzeszow79-68
05/04/25ABydgoszcz63-95
30/03/25AR. Rzeszow99-82
22/03/25ALancut59-93
19/03/25HSlask Wroclaw II85-77
12/03/25AMKKS Koszalin82-74
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25HMiners Katowice51-76
04/10/25AR. Rzeszow68-83
01/10/25HPoznan64-90
28/09/25AZubry Bialystok91-81
19/09/25HBydgoszcz66-83
07/03/20HGKS Tychy72-89
29/02/20HLancut70-80
26/02/20AWKK Wroclaw87-66
15/02/20APoli. Opolska92-74
12/02/20HKrosno79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.088.382.5
Allowed / game72.278.363.0
Point differential+13.8+10.0+19.5
Avg total158.2166.7145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leszno
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%0%50%
Points / game68.060.379.5
Allowed / game82.683.082.0
Point differential-14.6-22.7-2.5
Avg total150.6143.3161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz440100%91.271.0+20.2
2 Starogard Gdanski550100%86.072.2+13.8
3 GKS Tychy65183%92.086.5+5.5
4 LKS Lodz43175%84.872.5+12.2
5 Spojnia Stargard43175%83.881.2+2.5
6 Pelplin53260%90.688.4+2.2
7 Polonia Warszawa53260%84.683.4+1.2
8 Lancut63350%82.084.3-2.3
9 Poznan52340%80.273.4+6.8
10 WKK Wroclaw52340%79.278.2+1.0
11 R. Rzeszow52340%79.280.4-1.2
12 Inowroclaw52340%76.687.0-10.4
13 Poli. Opolska41325%81.584.8-3.2
14 Kotwica Kolobrzeg41325%69.577.0-7.5
15 Miners Katowice51420%73.684.6-11.0
16 Leszno51420%68.082.6-14.6
17 Zubry Bialystok5050%75.086.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Starogard Gdanski26302223101
Leszno2328261794
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