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Leszno vs Pelplin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-86
19-23 27-22 27-23 22-18
Position#12
Record2-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game83.5
Leszno 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game83.5
Poland1 LigaRound 9· Hala Sportowa Trapez
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leszno v Pelplin
30 Sep 2026
LESZ91
PELP74
09 Nov 2025
LESZ95
PELP86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leszno winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
Lancut
#4
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
H29/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
H07/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
64avg 65
H19/09
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
91-81
91
81
+10
89avg 65
A28/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
64-90
64
90
-26
53avg 65
H01/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
68-83
68
83
-15
56avg 65
A04/10
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
51-76
51
76
-25
34avg 65
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
94-101
94
101
-7
88avg 65
A18/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
88-67
88
67
+21
85avg 65
H26/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
64-87
64
87
-23
49avg 65
A02/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
15-24
15-12
21-18
11-19
22-33
21-18
18-19
15-15
23-22
11-21
17-25
26-16
19-16
27-21
19-28
17-25
18-14
14-25
15-26
15-21
26-24
9-9
18-29
12-24
16-15
7-23
16-14
23-26
28-30
26-22
17-23
22-18
20-15
25-11
21-23
16-20
10-25
19-23
19-19
156.5Avg total
72.8Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.283.5156.8-10.225%
Season at home (4)67.279.0146.2-11.825%
Season away (4)79.288.0167.2-8.825%
Last 10 (10)72.883.7156.5-10.920%
Last 5 (5)73.082.8155.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.981.7162.6-0.836%
vs Similar (17)79.285.1164.2-5.935%
vs Weaker (2)92.089.0181.0+3.050%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
78-114
78
114
-36
73avg 78
A13/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
95-107
95
107
-12
87avg 78
H16/04
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
82-59
82
59
+23
78avg 78
A21/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
107-102
107
102
+5
103avg 78
H27/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
81avg 78
A01/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
38avg 78
H04/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
89-105
89
105
-16
77avg 78
A11/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
82avg 78
H19/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
A25/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
94-77
94
77
+17
86avg 78
H02/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
19-27
13-31
17-25
31-21
19-30
21-24
24-32
16-17
25-14
18-10
23-18
26-27
18-23
27-24
36-28
24-24
21-24
28-29
18-19
29-20
14-18
16-17
25-25
21-26
24-28
29-24
15-27
17-11
19-22
21-26
26-13
26-20
21-16
12-22
11-19
21-17
26-17
26-28
21-15
176.2Avg total
87.3Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.583.5171.0+4.062%
Season at home (4)92.082.8174.8+9.2100%
Season away (4)83.084.2167.2-1.225%
Last 10 (10)87.388.9176.2-1.650%
Last 5 (5)84.082.2166.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.593.0174.5-11.538%
vs Similar (17)86.885.4172.1+1.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)81.869.8151.6+12.080%
This opponent (Leszno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
LesznoPelplin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lancut
#4
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H29/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H07/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/09
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A28/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H01/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A04/10
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A18/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H26/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A02/11
1 Liga
80.1Avg total
37.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.381.6-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.239.878.9-0.654%-
Last 30 away (17)41.242.583.6-1.335%-
Last 10 (10)37.342.880.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.681.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.041.583.5+0.555%-
vs Similar (17)38.842.581.3-3.829%-
vs Weaker (2)44.029.573.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A13/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H16/04
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A21/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H27/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A01/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H04/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A11/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H19/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A25/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H02/11
1 Liga
87.9Avg total
44.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.986.4+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.340.986.1+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.844.886.6-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.387.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.082.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.447.291.6-2.950%-
vs Similar (17)43.843.186.9+0.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.635.476.0+5.260%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.4
51.0%
52.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.96.9
27.6%
31.9%20.6
🏀 Free throws23.815.4
64.7%
70.0%15.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.8
54.7%
52.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.8
35.1%
31.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws25.618.3
71.5%
70.0%18.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leszno
LWLLLLWLLL
Pelplin
WLWLWLWWLL
#12
League position
#7
-13.2
Net rating
-4.0
93.4
Offensive rating
112.8
106.6
Defensive rating
116.8
47.1%
Effective FG%
54.0%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
21.0%
Turnover %
17.2%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.40
27.6%
3-point %
35.1%
61.9%
Assist %
65.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 112.8Defence106.6 · 116.8Shooting47.1% · 54.0%3-point %27.6% · 35.1%Ball care21.0% · 17.2%Off. rebounds27.5% · 30.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Leszno   ■ Pelplin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leszno wins
0
Pelplin wins
DateGameScore
29/12/15Pelplin v Leszno64-72
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25ALancut64-87
26/10/25HGKS Tychy88-67
18/10/25AStarogard Gdanski94-101
10/10/25HMiners Katowice51-76
04/10/25AR. Rzeszow68-83
01/10/25HPoznan64-90
28/09/25AZubry Bialystok91-81
19/09/25HBydgoszcz66-83
07/03/20HGKS Tychy72-89
29/02/20HLancut70-80
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HPoli. Opolska94-77
25/10/25ALancut70-77
19/10/25HLKS Lodz83-72
11/10/25AGKS Tychy89-105
04/10/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg84-80
01/10/25AStarogard Gdanski91-96
27/09/25HSpojnia Stargard107-102
21/09/25AMiners Katowice82-59
16/04/25HBydgoszcz95-107
13/04/25ABydgoszcz78-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leszno
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game73.267.279.2
Allowed / game83.579.088.0
Point differential-10.2-11.8-8.8
Avg total156.8146.2167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pelplin
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game87.592.083.0
Allowed / game83.582.884.2
Point differential+4.0+9.2-1.2
Avg total171.0174.8167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Starogard Gdanski98189%86.676.0+10.6
2 Bydgoszcz87188%88.277.2+11.0
3 Polonia Warszawa97278%88.784.6+4.1
4 LKS Lodz75271%82.475.3+7.1
5 GKS Tychy96367%86.985.4+1.4
6 Pelplin85362%87.583.5+4.0
7 Spojnia Stargard74357%82.981.3+1.6
8 Lancut95456%83.683.1+0.4
9 Kotwica Kolobrzeg84450%77.476.0+1.4
10 WKK Wroclaw94544%78.378.3+0.0
11 R. Rzeszow73443%78.379.6-1.3
12 Poznan83538%77.575.4+2.1
13 Inowroclaw93633%76.885.4-8.7
14 Miners Katowice82625%78.185.0-6.9
15 Leszno82625%73.283.5-10.2
16 Poli. Opolska81712%79.486.5-7.1
17 Zubry Bialystok7070%74.685.6-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leszno1927272295
Pelplin2322231886
← all games of the day
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