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Leszno vs Starogard Gdanski Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game74.3
Leszno
Poland
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Starogard Gdanski
Poland
Position#14
Record2-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game93.8
Poland1 LigaRound 20· Hala Sportowa Trapez
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leszno v Starogard Gdanski
30 Jan 2027
LESZ v STAR
upcoming
08 Feb 2026
LESZ72
STAR97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leszno win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Starogard Gdanski win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 78
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
W
80-71
80
71
+9
73avg 78
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 78
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
98-72
98
72
+26
96avg 78
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
99-77
99
77
+22
96avg 78
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
96avg 78
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
84-59
84
59
+25
87avg 78
H25/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 78
A31/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
W
100-89
100
89
+11
no box
H07/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
67-66
67
66
+1
no box
A15/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
16-33
21-19
27-16
17-22
33-15
17-14
13-20
28-21
23-19
19-15
21-19
23-20
23-25
24-16
28-11
29-18
19-21
34-21
17-17
21-30
24-8
25-29
24-18
20-15
23-15
18-17
23-12
29-19
16-21
20-8
25-28
29-27
24-24
31-22
16-16
22-21
12-12
14-24
19-9
164.4Avg total
88.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.274.3163.6+14.9100%
Season at home (5)90.874.0164.8+16.8100%
Season away (4)87.274.8162.0+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.276.2164.4+12.090%
Last 5 (5)87.075.0162.0+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.487.2169.6-4.840%
vs Similar (10)77.080.3157.3-3.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.073.5160.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 79
A23/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
L
76-90
76
90
-14
72avg 79
A26/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
83-101
83
101
-18
75avg 79
H30/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
102-89
102
89
+13
97avg 79
H03/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
74avg 79
A11/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
85-94
85
94
-9
82avg 79
H17/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
L
88-104
88
104
-16
81avg 79
A24/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
L
77-79
77
79
-2
72avg 79
H31/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
97-94
97
94
+3
no box
A08/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
101-108
101
108
-7
no box
H14/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
26-28
13-19
15-15
16-20
16-22
22-23
22-25
12-20
29-29
25-27
17-25
29-27
26-26
26-19
21-17
27-22
18-24
11-20
24-19
30-21
8-24
29-25
18-24
22-24
30-25
16-27
20-28
18-22
20-28
23-11
16-18
24-20
34-20
15-31
24-23
35-26
20-30
16-25
30-27
179.0Avg total
86.8Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.793.8181.4-6.122%
Season at home (5)89.694.2183.8-4.620%
Season away (4)85.293.2178.5-8.025%
Last 10 (10)86.892.2179.0-5.430%
Last 5 (5)89.695.8185.4-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.589.3172.8-5.817%
vs Similar (7)80.483.1163.6-2.743%
vs Weaker (11)91.682.8174.5+8.873%
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
LesznoStarogard Gdanski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H25/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A31/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H07/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A15/11
1 Liga
85.7Avg total
44.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.882.3+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.281.1+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)41.042.583.5-1.560%-
Last 10 (10)44.641.185.7+3.590%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.482.4+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.343.583.8-3.250%-
vs Similar (10)39.340.980.2-1.630%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.838.182.9+6.7100%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A23/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A26/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H30/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H03/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A11/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A24/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H31/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A08/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H14/11
1 Liga
93.9Avg total
46.5Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.542.486.8+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.144.689.6+0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)43.839.983.6+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)46.547.493.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)48.248.096.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)43.244.187.2-0.933%-
vs Similar (7)43.341.184.4+2.157%-
vs Weaker (11)46.641.387.9+5.473%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.9
55.7%
53.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.2
36.7%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.716.6
73.1%
70.8%16.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.0
56.8%
53.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
33.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.714.2
65.4%
70.8%14.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leszno
WWWWWWWWWL
Starogard Gdanski
LWLLLLWLLW
#1
League position
#14
+12.5
Net rating
-3.8
102.8
Offensive rating
94.7
90.3
Defensive rating
98.6
55.4%
Effective FG%
56.2%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
13.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.7%
3-point %
36.8%
68.8%
Assist %
68.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 94.7Defence90.3 · 98.6Shooting55.4% · 56.2%3-point %36.7% · 36.8%Ball care13.1% · 17.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Leszno   ■ Starogard Gdanski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leszno wins
2
Starogard Gdanski wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Starogard Gdanski v Leszno85-94
08/02/26Leszno v Starogard Gdanski72-97
18/10/25Starogard Gdanski v Leszno101-94
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26APoli. Opolska67-66
07/11/26HPoznan100-89
31/10/26ABytom90-76
25/10/26HGKS Tychy84-59
17/10/26AStarogard Gdanski94-85
10/10/26HPolonia Warszawa99-77
03/10/26AR. Rzeszow98-72
30/09/26HPelplin91-74
26/09/26HWKK Wroclaw80-71
15/04/26ALKS Lodz79-93
Starogard Gdanskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPelplin101-108
08/11/26APolonia Warszawa97-94
31/10/26HR. Rzeszow77-79
24/10/26AWKK Wroclaw88-104
17/10/26HLeszno85-94
11/10/26AInowroclaw80-85
03/10/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg102-89
30/09/26HLKS Lodz83-101
26/09/26ALancut76-90
23/05/26ASpojnia Stargard79-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leszno
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.290.887.2
Allowed / game74.374.074.8
Point differential+14.9+16.8+12.5
Avg total163.6164.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL22%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game87.789.685.2
Allowed / game93.894.293.2
Point differential-6.1-4.6-8.0
Avg total181.4183.8178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno990100%89.274.3+14.9
2 Spojnia Stargard97278%90.786.2+4.4
3 LKS Lodz96367%89.381.2+8.1
4 Poznan96367%91.985.2+6.7
5 Inowroclaw96367%80.278.3+1.9
6 Lancut95456%87.685.0+2.6
7 Pelplin95456%92.893.4-0.7
8 WKK Wroclaw95456%82.283.4-1.2
9 Polonia Warszawa95456%88.292.6-4.3
10 GKS Tychy94544%79.679.1+0.4
11 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%89.689.1+0.4
12 R. Rzeszow93633%81.888.2-6.4
13 Krosno92722%83.787.7-4.0
14 Starogard Gdanski92722%87.793.8-6.1
15 Bytom92722%82.789.0-6.3
16 Poli. Opolska91811%79.289.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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