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Leuven Bears vs Den Bosch Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#5
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#7
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Den Bosch
06 Mar 2027
LEUV v DBO
upcoming
16 Apr 2026
LEUV88
DBO85
01 Mar 2025
LEUV80
DBO91
21 May 2023
LEUV80
DBO70
23 Mar 2022
LEUV84
DBO65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Den Bosch win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H16/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A19/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A23/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#6
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H17/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#9
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H24/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
26-14
16-21
27-28
19-22
11-18
17-11
11-15
22-15
11-16
19-16
17-26
21-25
16-28
24-23
25-21
20-17
15-16
10-10
24-18
15-11
16-18
21-15
25-21
20-15
25-17
16-18
8-15
13-11
17-29
23-22
25-19
16-22
26-13
12-23
18-11
11-11
14-14
17-22
25-17
145.9Avg total
73.3Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.569.8141.2+1.875%
Season at home (3)69.366.0135.3+3.3100%
Season away (1)78.081.0159.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)73.372.6145.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)72.668.8141.4+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.184.0162.1-5.940%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.274.4148.6-0.250%
vs Weaker (10)83.672.8156.4+10.870%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A24/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A28/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H01/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
64-109
64
109
-45
A06/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
107-57
107
57
+50
H09/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#10
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A04/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
W
79-50
79
50
+29
H09/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
86-125
86
125
-39
H17/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A23/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#13
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H30/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
21-19
14-28
15-21
23-18
16-25
22-14
20-10
21-25
18-25
18-22
18-21
16-32
18-24
15-23
15-30
27-17
19-15
24-6
37-19
11-16
23-15
15-16
10-23
19-9
14-12
18-16
28-13
22-29
28-25
12-35
24-36
18-32
18-19
19-8
25-12
21-20
27-20
31-18
16-28
160.9Avg total
79.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.880.4160.2-0.660%
Season at home (3)86.787.0173.7-0.367%
Season away (2)69.570.5140.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)79.881.1160.9-1.350%
Last 5 (5)79.880.4160.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)91.591.2182.7+0.350%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.086.1166.1-6.143%
vs Weaker (17)83.475.4158.8+7.971%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
Leuven BearsDen Bosch
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H16/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A19/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#11
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#9
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H24/10
BNXT League
70.7Avg total
35.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.177.6+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.935.978.8+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)38.038.376.3-0.360%-
Last 10 (10)35.335.470.7-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.266.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.042.983.9-1.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.533.370.8+4.270%-
vs Weaker (10)42.835.278.0+7.690%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A24/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A28/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H01/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A06/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H09/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A04/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H09/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H17/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A23/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H30/10
BNXT League
81.4Avg total
40.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.784.0+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.940.884.7+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.442.883.1-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.281.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.479.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.843.793.5+6.267%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.043.185.1-1.157%-
vs Weaker (17)39.640.580.1-0.835%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.2
53.8%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.8
30.6%
32.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.412.7
62.3%
71.1%12.7
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.3
54.7%
53.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.0
33.6%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
71.1%12.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WWLWWWLLLW
Den Bosch
WWLWLWLLWL
#5
League position
#7
+3.4
Net rating
-1.5
88.1
Offensive rating
91.2
84.6
Defensive rating
92.7
50.8%
Effective FG%
52.9%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.6%
3-point %
33.6%
60.4%
Assist %
63.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.1 · 91.2Defence84.6 · 92.7Shooting50.8% · 52.9%3-point %30.6% · 33.6%Ball care17.9% · 18.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Den Bosch
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Leuven Bears wins
4
Den Bosch wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HLeiden67-64
17/10/26HKortrijk72-69
06/10/26ADonar Groningen78-81
03/10/26HSpirou Charleroi69-65
09/05/26ABAL Weert77-65
06/05/26HZwolle69-61
02/05/26HKortrijk86-97
23/04/26ASpirou Charleroi69-73
19/04/26ADen Bosch58-66
16/04/26HDen Bosch88-85
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HMechelen95-86
23/10/26ACB Liege80-71
17/10/26HAntwerp Giants86-125
09/10/26HRotterdam79-50
04/10/26AZwolle59-70
09/05/26HBelfius Mons107-57
06/05/26ADen Helder64-109
01/05/26HLeiden75-93
28/04/26ADonar Groningen81-67
24/04/26AAntwerp Giants72-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game71.569.378.0
Allowed / game69.866.081.0
Point differential+1.8+3.3-3.0
Avg total141.2135.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Den Bosch
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game79.886.769.5
Allowed / game80.487.070.5
Point differential-0.6-0.3-1.0
Avg total160.2173.7140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants440100%111.882.5+29.2
2 Brussels Basketball54180%81.468.2+13.2
3 Okapi Aalst43175%95.087.0+8.0
4 Limburg43175%94.086.2+7.8
5 Leuven Bears43175%71.569.8+1.8
6 Spirou Charleroi53260%79.865.6+14.2
7 Den Bosch53260%79.880.4-0.6
8 Oostende42250%79.877.8+2.0
9 Leiden42250%73.273.0+0.2
10 Zwolle42250%69.875.8-6.0
11 Donar Groningen42250%79.889.5-9.8
12 Rotterdam52340%76.280.8-4.6
13 Mechelen52340%89.095.2-6.2
14 Kortrijk4040%83.589.5-6.0
15 CB Liege5050%75.492.4-17.0
16 Belfius Mons4040%64.290.2-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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