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Leuven Bears vs Den Bosch Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Den Bosch
06 Mar 2027
LEUV v DBO
upcoming
16 Apr 2026
LEUV88
DBO85
01 Mar 2025
LEUV80
DBO91
21 May 2023
LEUV80
DBO70
23 Mar 2022
LEUV84
DBO65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Den Bosch win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 66
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
69-61
69
61
+8
68avg 66
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
70avg 66
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
W
69-65
69
65
+4
45avg 66
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 66
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
72-69
72
69
+3
72avg 66
H17/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
55avg 66
H24/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
54-66
54
66
-12
45avg 66
A31/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
A08/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
68-91
68
91
-23
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
16-28
24-23
25-21
20-17
15-16
10-10
24-18
15-11
16-18
21-15
25-21
20-15
25-17
16-18
8-15
13-11
17-29
23-22
25-19
16-22
26-13
12-23
18-11
11-11
14-14
17-22
25-17
21-16
12-15
18-18
3-17
14-15
33-31
17-19
17-21
25-25
11-23
12-20
20-23
146.6Avg total
72.1Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.974.6144.4-4.743%
Season at home (4)69.072.2141.2-3.275%
Season away (3)71.077.7148.7-6.70%
Last 10 (10)72.174.5146.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)68.475.2143.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.081.6157.6-5.638%
vs Similar (11)74.275.1149.3-0.945%
vs Weaker (6)83.375.2158.5+8.267%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosch
Date
Competition
Leiden
#10
L
75-93
75
93
-18
76avg 77
H01/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
64-109
64
109
-45
52avg 77
A06/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
107-57
107
57
+50
116avg 77
H09/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
L
59-70
59
70
-11
42avg 77
A04/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
79-50
79
50
+29
80avg 77
H09/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
86-125
86
125
-39
76avg 77
H17/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
80-71
80
71
+9
73avg 77
A23/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
W
95-86
95
86
+9
94avg 77
H30/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
H08/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
100-102
100
102
-2
no box
A14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
18-25
18-22
18-21
16-32
18-24
15-23
15-30
27-17
19-15
24-6
37-19
11-16
23-15
15-16
10-23
19-9
14-12
18-16
28-13
22-29
28-25
12-35
24-36
18-32
18-19
19-8
25-12
21-20
27-20
31-18
16-28
15-14
31-33
19-17
21-17
30-22
25-31
27-18
18-31
167.5Avg total
83.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.683.6167.1+0.057%
Season at home (4)86.585.5172.0+1.075%
Season away (3)79.781.0160.7-1.333%
Last 10 (10)83.184.4167.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)89.493.0182.4-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)91.895.5187.3-3.733%
vs Similar (8)79.488.6168.0-9.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.473.1156.5+10.475%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
Leuven BearsDen Bosch
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H24/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A08/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/11
BNXT League
73.3Avg total
36.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.877.7+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.136.878.9+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.638.976.5-1.360%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.273.3-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.073.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.941.682.5-0.754%-
vs Similar (11)36.534.971.4+1.555%-
vs Weaker (6)43.735.078.7+8.7100%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H01/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A06/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H09/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A04/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H09/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H17/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A23/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H30/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H08/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A14/11
BNXT League
85.6Avg total
42.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.084.3+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.241.384.6+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)41.142.983.9-1.843%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.585.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.049.096.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.746.095.7+3.767%-
vs Similar (8)42.944.086.9-1.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.139.678.7-0.431%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.9
54.5%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.2
28.7%
32.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.111.7
61.3%
71.0%11.7
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.3
54.7%
53.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.0
33.6%
32.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
71.0%12.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
LLLWWLWWWL
Den Bosch
LWWWLWLWLL
#12
League position
#7
+1.6
Net rating
-1.5
84.4
Offensive rating
91.2
82.7
Defensive rating
92.7
50.1%
Effective FG%
52.9%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
19.4%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.7%
3-point %
33.6%
57.8%
Assist %
63.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence84.4 · 91.2Defence82.7 · 92.7Shooting50.1% · 52.9%3-point %28.7% · 33.6%Ball care19.4% · 18.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Den Bosch
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Leuven Bears wins
5
Den Bosch wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMechelen68-91
08/11/26ADen Bosch81-86
31/10/26AOostende54-66
24/10/26HLeiden67-64
17/10/26HKortrijk72-69
06/10/26ADonar Groningen78-81
03/10/26HSpirou Charleroi69-65
09/05/26ABAL Weert77-65
06/05/26HZwolle69-61
02/05/26HKortrijk86-97
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOkapi Aalst100-102
08/11/26HLeuven Bears86-81
30/10/26HMechelen95-86
23/10/26ACB Liege80-71
17/10/26HAntwerp Giants86-125
09/10/26HRotterdam79-50
04/10/26AZwolle59-70
09/05/26HBelfius Mons107-57
06/05/26ADen Helder64-109
01/05/26HLeiden75-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game69.969.071.0
Allowed / game74.672.277.7
Point differential-4.7-3.2-6.7
Avg total144.4141.2148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Den Bosch
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game83.686.579.7
Allowed / game83.685.581.0
Point differential+0.0+1.0-1.3
Avg total167.1172.0160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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