PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Leuven Bears vs Spirou Charleroi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 91-95 (OT)
22-27 23-19 14-16 23-20 9-13
Position#13
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#11
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 2· Sportoase
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Spirou Charleroi
03 Oct 2026
LEUV69
SCH65
07 Feb 2026
LEUV84
SCH65
04 Oct 2025
LEUV91
SCH95
01 Dec 2024
LEUV73
SCH69
14 Oct 2023
LEUV82
SCH58
27 May 2023
LEUV82
SCH83
01 Oct 2022
LEUV83
SCH81
07 May 2022
LEUV90
SCH77
03 May 2022
LEUV80
SCH63
16 Feb 2022
LEUV87
SCH92
01 Nov 2021
LEUV77
SCH63
22 Jan 2021
LEUV84
SCH73
10 Jan 2020
LEUV88
SCH79
09 Nov 2019
LEUV83
SCH91
29 Mar 2019
LEUV64
SCH68
06 Oct 2018
LEUV66
SCH76
06 May 2018
LEUV85
SCH89
14 Feb 2018
LEUV83
SCH85
28 Jan 2017
LEUV72
SCH92
05 Nov 2016
LEUV88
SCH95
10 Oct 2015
LEUV88
SCH92
17 Jan 2015
LEUV73
SCH80
05 Apr 2014
LEUV80
SCH75
12 Oct 2013
LEUV68
SCH75
16 Mar 2013
LEUV87
SCH82
18 Nov 2012
LEUV88
SCH79
17 May 2012
LEUV88
SCH73
24 Mar 2012
LEUV61
SCH85
21 Jan 2012
LEUV78
SCH68
16 Apr 2011
LEUV67
SCH89
13 Oct 2010
LEUV80
SCH102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spirou Charleroi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
72-69
72
69
+3
57avg 74
A17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
88avg 74
H21/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
90-75
90
75
+15
88avg 74
H26/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
73-67
73
67
+6
64avg 74
A30/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
75-73
75
73
+2
69avg 74
H03/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
92-58
92
58
+34
90avg 74
A10/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 74
A13/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 74
H15/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 74
A17/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
69-71
69
71
-2
57avg 74
A26/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
22-23
15-15
24-14
24-16
23-21
22-17
18-22
28-20
17-17
23-13
22-25
20-25
19-20
20-10
14-12
20-18
14-18
21-18
20-19
23-19
22-12
28-12
19-15
20-27
24-21
18-19
20-19
20-20
27-24
29-24
14-15
20-23
13-24
17-27
29-13
13-19
18-14
19-10
19-28
155.4Avg total
80.9Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)80.974.5155.4+6.470%
Last 5 (5)82.477.0159.4+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.574.2141.8-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.278.9161.1+3.250%
vs Weaker (14)83.470.9154.4+12.579%
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCharleroi
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
L
77-83
77
83
-6
76avg 73
H28/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 73
H02/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
85-76
85
76
+9
78avg 73
A06/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
62-74
62
74
-12
46avg 73
H13/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
62avg 73
H17/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
59-82
59
82
-23
52avg 73
A20/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
78-60
78
60
+18
74avg 73
H25/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
89-75
89
75
+14
85avg 73
H03/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
65-69
65
69
-4
50avg 73
A10/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
98-84
98
84
+14
87avg 73
H27/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
16-19
20-22
15-26
16-16
19-17
21-18
23-32
26-16
16-23
26-21
17-16
19-19
20-16
13-22
10-17
17-11
23-22
15-15
14-24
12-35
19-18
13-16
15-13
17-19
17-14
21-16
23-11
27-16
23-20
20-13
19-26
8-18
18-13
14-18
25-20
32-16
26-26
15-17
25-25
151.9Avg total
76.1Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)98.084.0182.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)98.084.0182.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.175.8151.9+0.340%
Last 5 (5)77.874.0151.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.185.2158.4-12.125%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.378.4160.7+3.950%
vs Weaker (11)79.171.3150.4+7.873%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
Leuven BearsSpirou Charleroi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H21/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H26/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A30/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H03/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A10/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A13/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A26/09
BNXT League
79.6Avg total
39.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.577.3+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.037.680.6+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)37.137.474.5-0.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.879.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.680.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.039.072.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.941.581.4-1.642%-
vs Weaker (14)41.733.675.4+8.171%-
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H02/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H17/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A20/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H03/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A10/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H27/09
BNXT League
76.7Avg total
39.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.077.3+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.775.3+4.073%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.379.3-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.076.7+2.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.078.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.143.078.1-7.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.638.279.8+3.460%-
vs Weaker (11)39.733.573.2+6.382%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.0
54.2%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.5
34.3%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.115.4
73.0%
72.4%15.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spirou Charleroitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spirou Charleroi: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.3
54.0%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.79.3
28.4%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.110.8
63.2%
72.4%10.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
LLWLWWWWWW
Spirou Charleroi
WLWWLLLWLL
#13
League position
#11
+8.4
Net rating
+1.2
111.3
Offensive rating
99.8
102.9
Defensive rating
98.6
53.0%
Effective FG%
48.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.0%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.3%
3-point %
28.4%
56.0%
Assist %
65.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 99.8Defence102.9 · 98.6Shooting53.0% · 48.4%3-point %34.3% · 28.4%Ball care17.8% · 20.0%Off. rebounds32.1% · 32.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Spirou Charleroi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25AKortrijk69-71
17/05/25AKortrijk79-87
15/05/25HKortrijk90-83
13/05/25AKortrijk82-86
10/05/25ABAL Weert92-58
03/05/25HDonar Groningen75-73
30/04/25AKortrijk73-67
26/04/25HOkapi Aalst90-75
21/04/25HAntwerp Giants87-76
17/04/25ASpirou Charleroi72-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25HLWD Basket98-84
10/05/25ADonar Groningen65-69
03/05/25HMechelen89-75
25/04/25HQSTA Utd78-60
20/04/25AKortrijk59-82
17/04/25HLeuven Bears69-72
13/04/25HLWD Basket62-74
06/04/25AZwolle85-76
02/04/25HCircus Brussels79-83
28/03/25HDen Helder77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game69.0-69.0
Allowed / game71.0-71.0
Point differential-2.0--2.0
Avg total140.0-140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Spirou Charleroi
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game98.098.0-
Allowed / game84.084.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total182.0182.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leiden220100%97.066.0+31.0
2 Antwerp Giants110100%90.070.0+20.0
3 Zwolle110100%88.068.0+20.0
4 Donar Groningen220100%89.074.0+15.0
5 Spirou Charleroi110100%98.084.0+14.0
6 Oostende220100%98.587.5+11.0
7 Okapi Aalst110100%89.085.0+4.0
8 Kortrijk110100%71.069.0+2.0
9 Belfius Mons21150%88.588.5+0.0
10 Brussels Basketball21150%85.086.5-1.5
11 Leuven Bears1010%69.071.0-2.0
12 Limburg2020%84.591.0-6.5
13 LWD Basket2020%87.099.0-12.0
14 Den Helder2020%77.090.0-13.0
15 BAL Weert2020%62.584.0-21.5
16 Rotterdam2020%68.099.5-31.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Leuven Bears22231423991
Spirou Charleroi271916201395
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.