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Leuven Bears vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 90-75
28-20 17-17 23-13 22-25
Position#7
Record18-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game74.1
Leuven Bears 🏆
vs
Okapi Aalst
Position#13
Record14-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst
17 Jan 2027
LEUV v OKAP
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
LEUV90
OKAP106
26 Apr 2025
LEUV90
OKAP75
27 Mar 2024
LEUV71
OKAP63
14 Nov 2023
LEUV84
OKAP60
15 May 2023
LEUV101
OKAP65
07 Jan 2023
LEUV88
OKAP69
25 May 2022
LEUV74
OKAP66
07 Jan 2022
LEUV103
OKAP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
L
58-67
58
67
-9
44avg 72
A09/03
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#3
L
90-93
90
93
-3
85avg 72
H12/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
71-76
71
76
-5
54avg 72
A16/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
86-61
86
61
+25
81avg 72
A21/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
98-63
98
63
+35
104avg 72
H29/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
54-73
54
73
-19
36avg 72
A01/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
76-72
76
72
+4
65avg 72
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
86-55
86
55
+31
90avg 72
A12/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
72-69
72
69
+3
57avg 72
A17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
88avg 72
H21/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
15-13
13-16
17-16
20-28
21-24
22-22
27-19
14-12
24-19
13-24
20-21
19-14
25-18
23-10
19-19
25-7
22-18
25-15
26-23
15-22
15-13
15-27
9-11
25-10
24-21
10-23
17-18
17-13
29-17
31-11
9-14
11-17
22-23
15-15
24-14
24-16
23-21
22-17
18-22
148.3Avg total
77.8Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.874.1153.9+5.756%
Season at home (16)83.174.1157.2+9.169%
Season away (16)76.574.2150.7+2.344%
Last 10 (10)77.870.5148.3+7.360%
Last 5 (5)75.069.0144.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.383.3151.7-15.00%
vs Similar (11)80.476.5156.9+3.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.374.9157.3+7.467%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#14
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 74
A16/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
65-79
65
79
-14
58avg 74
H01/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
63-91
63
91
-28
53avg 74
A12/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
68-82
68
82
-14
63avg 74
H15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
65avg 74
A21/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 74
H23/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
64avg 74
A29/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
82-85
82
85
-3
79avg 74
H02/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 74
H12/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
59avg 74
A18/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
23-26
28-23
18-22
13-18
19-17
21-21
12-23
17-18
11-17
22-32
13-24
20-21
19-25
18-24
11-12
14-20
23-27
22-21
17-16
25-21
19-27
17-20
11-21
20-15
16-12
10-22
22-19
29-24
14-19
18-19
21-23
21-22
22-26
12-19
25-20
19-24
10-16
28-22
9-18
157.8Avg total
73.6Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.280.0160.2+0.245%
Season at home (17)81.879.9161.7+1.947%
Season away (14)78.280.1158.3-1.943%
Last 10 (10)73.684.2157.8-10.610%
Last 5 (5)76.083.0159.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.784.5159.2-9.736%
vs Similar (10)81.281.2162.4+0.040%
vs Weaker (8)88.275.8164.0+12.575%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.9-3.9
Leuven BearsOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A09/03
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H12/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A16/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A21/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H29/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A01/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A12/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H21/04
BNXT League
75.1Avg total
40.3Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.838.678.4+1.345%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.038.479.4+2.653%-
Last 30 away (14)38.638.777.3-0.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.334.875.1+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.034.675.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.743.076.7-9.30%-
vs Similar (11)39.341.180.4-1.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.535.877.3+5.760%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#14
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A16/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A12/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A21/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A29/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H12/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A18/04
BNXT League
78.4Avg total
36.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.780.2+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.140.182.2+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)38.639.277.9-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)36.941.578.4-4.610%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.280.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.541.478.8-3.936%-
vs Similar (10)42.439.481.8+3.050%-
vs Weaker (8)41.937.879.6+4.162%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.3
49.3%
52.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.8
31.8%
34.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.515.6
69.3%
71.9%15.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.0
46.0%
52.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.8
34.1%
34.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.417.0
75.9%
71.9%17.0
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WWWWLWWLLL
Okapi Aalst
LLLWLLLLLL
#7
League position
#13
+9.1
Net rating
-13.1
104.3
Offensive rating
97.8
95.2
Defensive rating
110.8
48.6%
Effective FG%
48.3%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.2%
Turnover %
21.1%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.8%
3-point %
34.1%
59.4%
Assist %
57.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 97.8Defence95.2 · 110.8Shooting48.6% · 48.3%3-point %31.8% · 34.1%Ball care17.2% · 21.1%Off. rebounds30.7% · 25.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Leuven Bears wins
2
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
14/09/24Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears51-64
27/03/24Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst71-63
17/02/24Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears76-86
14/11/23Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst84-60
15/05/23Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst101-65
12/05/23Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears81-75
07/01/23Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst88-69
22/10/22Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears83-74
25/05/22Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst74-66
21/05/22Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears71-73
Leuven Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/25HAntwerp Giants87-76
17/04/25ASpirou Charleroi72-69
12/04/25AQSTA Utd86-55
05/04/25HFeyenoord76-72
01/04/25AOostende54-73
29/03/25HLeiden98-63
21/03/25ALimburg86-61
16/03/25AZwolle71-76
12/03/25HMechelen90-93
09/03/25AOostende58-67
Okapi Aalstlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/25ALimburg66-80
12/04/25HZwolle80-87
02/04/25HAntwerp Giants82-85
29/03/25AFeyenoord80-74 OT
23/03/25HSpirou Charleroi72-89
21/03/25AOostende76-84
15/03/25HCircus Brussels68-82
12/03/25AKortrijk63-91
01/03/25HMechelen65-79
16/02/25ADonar Groningen84-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeLLWWW69%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %56%69%44%
Points / game79.883.176.5
Allowed / game74.174.174.2
Point differential+5.7+9.1+2.3
Avg total153.9157.2150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)75% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeLLLLL47%
AwayLLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %45%47%43%
Points / game80.281.878.2
Allowed / game80.079.980.1
Point differential+0.2+1.9-1.9
Avg total160.2161.7158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%24%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk3225778%94.376.5+17.8
2 Mechelen3123874%81.575.0+6.5
3 Oostende3324973%86.275.5+10.6
4 Limburg33231070%80.774.9+5.7
5 Circus Brussels32211166%78.175.9+2.2
6 Antwerp Giants33201361%83.181.1+2.1
7 Leuven Bears32181456%79.874.1+5.7
8 Den Bosch32181456%83.581.0+2.5
9 Belfius Mons32181456%80.078.0+1.9
10 Leiden32171553%77.179.4-2.3
11 Spirou Charleroi34181653%79.675.2+4.4
12 LWD Basket32161650%81.283.4-2.3
13 Okapi Aalst31141745%80.280.0+0.2
14 Zwolle32122038%82.485.0-2.5
15 Den Helder32112134%73.583.2-9.7
16 Donar Groningen31102132%76.685.0-8.4
17 Feyenoord3382524%78.487.4-9.0
18 BAL Weert3262619%70.684.0-13.4
19 QSTA Utd3342912%76.588.8-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears2817232290
Okapi Aalst2017132575
← all games of the day
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