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Levski vs Chernomorets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 May 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 74-88
17-25 23-26 19-24 15-13
Position#7
Record14-19
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#2
Record26-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game75.3
BulgariaNBLNBL - Quarter-finals· Triaditsa Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Levski v Chernomorets
01 May 2024
LEV74
CHER88
16 Feb 2024
LEV79
CHER90
01 Apr 2023
LEV94
CHER104
18 Jan 2023
LEV80
CHER70
19 Mar 2022
LEV80
CHER69
25 Oct 2021
LEV77
CHER57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Levski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chernomorets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LevskiBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLevski
Date
Competition
Beroe
#12
W
90-59
90
59
+31
92avg 69
H06/03
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
53avg 69
H09/03
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
68avg 69
A23/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
72-71
72
71
+1
67avg 69
A29/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
81-73
81
73
+8
78avg 69
H04/04
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
115-70
115
70
+45
125avg 69
A10/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
67-89
67
89
-22
52avg 69
A13/04
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
92avg 69
H19/04
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
75avg 69
H23/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
59-73
59
73
-14
50avg 69
A29/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
23-4
25-19
19-20
16-24
21-23
20-12
11-20
11-17
24-17
26-18
19-27
12-17
24-11
16-21
20-22
18-14
19-20
17-20
27-19
25-22
30-18
29-18
31-12
15-26
17-23
11-22
24-18
22-19
20-19
19-23
27-18
19-28
22-21
20-14
15-13
16-21
13-23
18-10
12-19
155.9Avg total
80.4Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)75.677.4153.0-1.842%
Season at home (16)75.577.6153.1-2.138%
Season away (17)75.877.2153.0-1.547%
Last 10 (10)80.475.5155.9+4.970%
Last 5 (5)82.678.8161.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)70.582.6153.1-12.10%
vs Similar (18)74.278.4152.6-4.250%
vs Weaker (4)86.869.0155.8+17.850%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
73avg 79
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
W
86-62
86
62
+24
82avg 79
A17/03
Bulgarian Cup
Balkan
#4
W
95-71
95
71
+24
92avg 79
A25/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 79
H01/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 79
H07/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
89-59
89
59
+30
94avg 79
H10/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
94-78
94
78
+16
97avg 79
A13/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
89-90
89
90
-1
86avg 79
H19/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
67avg 79
A23/04
NBL
Levski
#7
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 79
H29/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
17-8
17-19
21-24
22-9
16-11
23-13
25-29
22-18
30-14
20-24
23-15
25-27
29-23
14-14
19-16
17-19
20-24
22-20
29-24
26-16
21-18
17-13
25-12
22-20
23-20
26-21
23-17
33-25
27-20
12-26
17-19
15-23
24-14
17-20
20-24
21-16
23-13
10-18
19-12
159.2Avg total
85.2Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)85.075.3160.3+9.679%
Season at home (17)86.674.1160.6+12.594%
Season away (16)83.276.7159.9+6.662%
Last 10 (10)85.274.0159.2+11.280%
Last 5 (5)84.273.4157.6+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)81.277.8159.0+3.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.975.5161.4+10.383%
This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
LevskiChernomorets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#12
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H06/03
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H09/03
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A23/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A29/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/04
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A10/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A13/04
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H19/04
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H23/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A29/04
NBL
77.3Avg total
39.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.076.7-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.378.7+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)35.938.874.7-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.377.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.083.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.944.081.9-6.112%-
vs Similar (18)36.138.474.6-2.339%-
vs Weaker (4)44.231.876.0+12.5100%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
W
38-20
38
20
+18
A17/03
Bulgarian Cup
Balkan
#4
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A25/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H01/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H07/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H10/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A13/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H19/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A23/04
NBL
Levski
#7
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H29/04
NBL
81.3Avg total
45.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.279.5+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.436.679.9+6.875%-
Last 30 away (14)41.138.079.1+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)45.336.081.3+9.390%-
Last 5 (5)47.037.084.0+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)40.038.778.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.337.180.4+6.170%-
This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Levskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Levski: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.1
51.2%
54.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.6
28.8%
31.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.914.4
65.8%
71.1%14.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.221.5
61.1%
54.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.7
31.5%
31.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.715.3
73.9%
71.1%15.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Levski
LWWLWWWWLW
Chernomorets
WLLWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#2
+5.7
Net rating
+14.8
100.9
Offensive rating
109.5
95.1
Defensive rating
94.7
48.1%
Effective FG%
55.0%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.8%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.8%
3-point %
31.5%
80.8%
Assist %
67.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 109.5Defence95.1 · 94.7Shooting48.1% · 55.0%3-point %28.8% · 31.5%Ball care17.4% · 18.8%Off. rebounds28.6% · 27.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Levski   ■ Chernomorets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Levski wins
4
Chernomorets wins
DateGameScore
29/04/24Chernomorets v Levski73-59
16/02/24Levski v Chernomorets79-90
09/12/23Chernomorets v Levski84-72
01/04/23Levski v Chernomorets94-104
22/03/23Chernomorets v Levski73-77
18/01/23Levski v Chernomorets80-70
03/11/22Chernomorets v Levski70-81
19/03/22Levski v Chernomorets80-69
07/03/22Chernomorets v Levski69-96
25/10/21Levski v Chernomorets77-57
Levskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/24AChernomorets59-73
23/04/24HMinyor84-83 OT
19/04/24HYambol88-79
13/04/24AShumen67-89
10/04/24ABeroe115-70
04/04/24HAcademic Plovdiv81-73
29/03/24AMinyor72-71
23/03/24AYambol80-79
09/03/24HShumen68-79
06/03/24HBeroe90-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/24HLevski73-59
23/04/24ASpartak Pleven76-81
19/04/24HBalkan89-90
13/04/24ACSKA Sofia94-78
10/04/24HCherno More89-59
07/04/24HRilski Sportist88-87
01/04/24HSpartak Pleven87-80
25/03/24ABalkan95-71
17/03/24ASpartak Pleven86-62
16/03/24HRilski Sportist75-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Levski
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL42%
HomeWLWWW38%
AwayWWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %42%38%47%
Points / game75.675.575.8
Allowed / game77.477.677.2
Point differential-1.8-2.1-1.5
Avg total153.0153.1153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)33% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW79%
HomeWWWLW94%
AwayLLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %79%94%62%
Points / game85.086.683.2
Allowed / game75.374.176.7
Point differential+9.6+12.5+6.6
Avg total160.3160.6159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets3326779%85.075.3+9.6
2 Rilski Sportist3325876%85.975.1+10.8
3 Spartak Pleven3324973%88.079.2+8.8
4 Balkan34221265%81.978.4+3.5
5 CSKA Sofia34161847%83.683.0+0.6
6 Shumen33151845%85.083.2+1.8
7 Levski33141942%75.677.4-1.8
8 Academic Plovdiv32131941%81.984.4-2.5
9 Yambol32122038%79.584.7-5.2
10 Minyor32112134%77.481.5-4.1
11 Cherno More33112233%81.489.9-8.5
12 Beroe3282425%80.594.6-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Levski1723191574
Chernomorets2526241388
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