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Levski vs Chernomorets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-90
21-19 25-30 11-21 22-20
Position#7
Record6-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#2
Record18-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game74.5
BulgariaNBLRound 22· Triaditsa Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Levski v Chernomorets
01 May 2024
LEV74
CHER88
16 Feb 2024
LEV79
CHER90
01 Apr 2023
LEV94
CHER104
18 Jan 2023
LEV80
CHER70
19 Mar 2022
LEV80
CHER69
25 Oct 2021
LEV77
CHER57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Levski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chernomorets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LevskiBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLevski
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#11
L
75-79
75
79
-4
69avg 65
H16/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
75-79
75
79
-4
72avg 65
A22/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
67-68
67
68
-1
57avg 65
H28/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
67-81
67
81
-14
59avg 65
A08/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
72-62
72
62
+10
67avg 65
H13/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
61-76
61
76
-15
49avg 65
A17/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 65
A20/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
55avg 65
A27/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 65
H04/02
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
60-59
60
59
+1
51avg 65
A11/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
17-18
15-20
18-23
21-22
20-23
20-23
14-11
17-17
17-14
11-19
22-18
17-18
15-20
15-21
20-22
20-17
12-15
23-13
17-17
6-20
29-14
15-25
11-17
14-24
25-17
15-20
19-20
18-25
18-22
14-27
20-14
22-24
16-27
14-15
13-20
11-12
15-10
17-18
17-19
144.4Avg total
68.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.577.5150.0-5.029%
Season at home (10)71.877.8149.6-6.020%
Season away (11)73.177.2150.3-4.136%
Last 10 (10)68.575.9144.4-7.420%
Last 5 (5)65.878.0143.8-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.780.3151.0-9.614%
vs Similar (13)71.879.5151.3-7.823%
vs Weaker (9)84.076.6160.6+7.456%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Beroe
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 78
H16/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
67-69
67
69
-2
53avg 78
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
91-70
91
70
+21
89avg 78
H29/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
80-82
80
82
-2
69avg 78
A06/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
100-66
100
66
+34
95avg 78
A14/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
71avg 78
H17/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 78
A20/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 78
A28/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 78
H03/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 78
H10/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
23-17
17-17
23-22
6-24
14-14
26-12
21-19
22-10
25-16
32-21
12-23
25-25
18-13
23-16
14-28
26-23
20-12
36-13
18-18
22-14
13-22
24-25
24-15
23-19
13-24
16-19
25-23
17-24
23-17
22-20
22-18
23-26
23-17
27-22
20-20
19-21
18-18
28-17
20-27
161.5Avg total
84.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.074.5159.6+10.586%
Season at home (11)88.074.2162.2+13.8100%
Season away (10)81.874.9156.7+6.970%
Last 10 (10)84.676.9161.5+7.770%
Last 5 (5)84.481.6166.0+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.984.6166.5-2.850%
vs Similar (5)79.075.0154.0+4.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.875.6162.5+11.288%
This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
LevskiChernomorets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H16/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A22/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H28/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A08/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H13/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A17/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A20/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A27/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H04/02
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A11/02
NBL
73.2Avg total
35.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.076.1-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.441.378.7-3.936%-
Last 30 away (16)36.937.073.9-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.773.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.073.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.641.779.3-4.129%-
vs Similar (13)34.838.873.5-4.023%-
vs Weaker (9)41.438.880.2+2.767%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H16/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H29/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A06/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A14/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H17/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A28/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H03/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H10/02
NBL
77.0Avg total
39.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.177.4+3.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.535.477.9+7.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.138.876.9-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.477.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.479.2-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.838.976.6-1.125%-
vs Similar (5)37.838.276.0-0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.335.978.2+6.459%-
This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Levskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Levski: 67.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.0
50.3%
54.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.96.0
23.2%
31.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.511.4
65.1%
71.1%11.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.424.4
58.9%
54.3%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.1
27.0%
31.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.113.5
64.0%
71.1%13.5
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Levski
WLLLLWLLLL
Chernomorets
WWWLWWLWLW
#7
League position
#2
-10.7
Net rating
+9.8
91.1
Offensive rating
109.6
101.8
Defensive rating
99.8
44.0%
Effective FG%
51.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
23.2%
3-point %
27.0%
70.0%
Assist %
57.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.1 · 109.6Defence101.8 · 99.8Shooting44.0% · 51.8%3-point %23.2% · 27.0%Ball care18.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds26.8% · 36.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Levski   ■ Chernomorets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Levski wins
2
Chernomorets wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Chernomorets v Levski84-72
01/04/23Levski v Chernomorets94-104
22/03/23Chernomorets v Levski73-77
18/01/23Levski v Chernomorets80-70
03/11/22Chernomorets v Levski70-81
19/03/22Levski v Chernomorets80-69
07/03/22Chernomorets v Levski69-96
25/10/21Levski v Chernomorets77-57
Levskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24AMinyor60-59
04/02/24HSpartak Pleven65-86
27/01/24ARilski Sportist70-88
20/01/24AYambol73-81
17/01/24AShumen61-76
13/01/24HAcademic Plovdiv72-62
08/01/24ACSKA Sofia67-81
28/12/23HBeroe67-68
22/12/23ABalkan75-79
16/12/23HCherno More75-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HShumen85-83
03/02/24HAcademic Plovdiv93-85
28/01/24ACSKA Sofia84-79
20/01/24ABalkan77-85
17/01/24HCherno More83-76
14/01/24AYambol100-66
06/01/24AMinyor80-82
29/12/23HSpartak Pleven91-70
23/12/23ARilski Sportist67-69
16/12/23HBeroe86-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Levski
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%20%36%
Points / game72.571.873.1
Allowed / game77.577.877.2
Point differential-5.0-6.0-4.1
Avg total150.0149.6150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)20% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %86%100%70%
Points / game85.088.081.8
Allowed / game74.574.274.9
Point differential+10.5+13.8+6.9
Avg total159.6162.2156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%55%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets2118386%85.074.5+10.5
2 Rilski Sportist2217577%83.474.6+8.8
3 Spartak Pleven2216673%86.878.9+7.9
4 Balkan2113862%81.777.5+4.2
5 CSKA Sofia2112957%85.078.9+6.1
6 Cherno More2191243%82.786.5-3.9
7 Beroe2181338%81.186.5-5.4
8 Yambol2281436%78.185.0-6.8
9 Academic Plovdiv2171433%78.784.5-5.8
10 Minyor2171433%74.083.1-9.1
11 Shumen2271532%82.684.5-2.0
12 Levski2161529%72.577.5-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Levski2125112279
Chernomorets1930212090
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