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Balkan vs Chernomorets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-95
18-22 14-30 24-20 15-23
Position#4
Record15-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game78.4
Balkan
Bulgaria
vs
Chernomorets 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#2
Record20-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game75.2
BulgariaNBLRound 4· Arena Botevgrad
Other2023-24
Meetings · Balkan v Chernomorets
15 May 2024
BAL94
CHER78
13 May 2024
BAL82
CHER79
25 Mar 2024
BAL71
CHER95
20 Jan 2024
BAL85
CHER77
29 May 2023
BAL87
CHER64
27 May 2023
BAL87
CHER74
05 Apr 2023
BAL92
CHER88
19 Nov 2022
BAL83
CHER78
18 Apr 2022
BAL92
CHER70
13 Dec 2021
BAL49
CHER59
11 Mar 2021
BAL84
CHER71
27 Feb 2021
BAL92
CHER86
11 Nov 2020
BAL79
CHER87
06 Oct 2019
BAL83
CHER70
07 Nov 2015
BAL137
CHER56
17 Jan 2015
BAL109
CHER54
06 Dec 2013
BAL85
CHER70
29 Mar 2013
BAL85
CHER70
17 Nov 2012
BAL82
CHER84
21 Jan 2012
BAL90
CHER86
15 Oct 2011
BAL79
CHER87
01 Apr 2011
BAL97
CHER88
11 Dec 2010
BAL90
CHER75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chernomorets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
63avg 70
A27/01
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
75-101
75
101
-26
69avg 70
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#12
W
97-60
97
60
+37
94avg 70
H03/02
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
50avg 70
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
88avg 70
A12/02
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
86-85
86
85
+1
77avg 70
H16/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 70
A05/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
95-79
95
79
+16
88avg 70
A09/03
NBL
Cherno More
#7
W
88-69
88
69
+19
74avg 70
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
42avg 70
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
15-20
29-13
15-15
15-25
24-29
14-24
22-23
27-14
22-20
31-14
17-12
23-24
15-18
13-34
12-14
24-25
25-16
14-19
25-18
26-22
23-24
20-24
17-15
18-22
20-25
21-17
22-26
24-25
26-21
23-19
22-14
15-18
23-15
28-16
22-20
15-20
20-16
15-18
10-22
160.8Avg total
80.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.478.4160.8+4.062%
Season at home (11)85.777.4163.1+8.491%
Season away (13)79.679.3158.9+0.338%
Last 10 (10)80.880.0160.8+0.860%
Last 5 (5)82.079.8161.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.786.0158.7-13.318%
vs Similar (7)82.686.0168.6-3.443%
vs Weaker (11)82.874.4157.2+8.573%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 78
A28/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 78
H03/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 78
H10/02
NBL
Levski
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
89avg 78
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 78
A03/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
81-89
81
89
-8
68avg 78
A06/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
78-68
78
68
+10
72avg 78
H09/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#8
W
92-66
92
66
+26
90avg 78
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
73avg 78
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
W
86-62
86
62
+24
82avg 78
A17/03
Bulgarian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
23-17
22-20
22-18
23-26
23-17
27-22
20-20
19-21
18-18
28-17
20-27
19-21
30-25
21-11
20-22
25-20
18-18
16-17
19-25
26-15
20-28
18-30
17-16
20-18
18-19
29-12
11-19
12-19
22-12
27-12
31-23
20-22
17-8
17-19
21-24
22-9
16-11
23-13
25-29
160.6Avg total
84.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.575.2159.8+9.380%
Season at home (12)87.273.7160.8+13.5100%
Season away (13)82.176.7158.8+5.462%
Last 10 (10)84.276.4160.6+7.880%
Last 5 (5)82.471.6154.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)109.0105.0214.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (6)78.875.8154.7+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.775.3161.0+10.486%
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
BalkanChernomorets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A27/01
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H03/02
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A12/02
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H16/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A05/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A09/03
NBL
Cherno More
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
83.9Avg total
41.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.082.0-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.841.082.8+0.864%-
Last 30 away (16)38.342.981.2-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.383.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.683.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.745.080.7-9.318%-
vs Similar (7)42.142.684.7-0.443%-
vs Weaker (11)42.939.582.5+3.473%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A28/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H03/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H10/02
NBL
Levski
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A03/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A06/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H09/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
W
38-20
38
20
+18
A17/03
Bulgarian Cup
77.6Avg total
40.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.236.477.5+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.234.676.8+7.673%-
Last 30 away (15)40.138.178.3+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.877.6+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.270.8+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.044.086.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (6)38.738.276.8+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.135.877.9+6.468%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.6
53.3%
54.3%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.1
29.8%
31.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.812.3
69.1%
71.1%12.3
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.023.9
61.3%
54.3%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.7
30.1%
31.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.312.5
61.6%
71.1%12.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
LWWLWWLWLW
Chernomorets
WWWWLLWWWW
#4
League position
#2
+1.1
Net rating
+10.3
104.8
Offensive rating
110.0
103.7
Defensive rating
99.7
49.9%
Effective FG%
54.9%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.5%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.8%
3-point %
30.1%
55.6%
Assist %
60.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 110.0Defence103.7 · 99.7Shooting49.9% · 54.9%3-point %29.8% · 30.1%Ball care15.4% · 18.5%Off. rebounds27.3% · 33.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Balkan   ■ Chernomorets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Balkan wins
3
Chernomorets wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Balkan v Chernomorets85-77
18/11/23Chernomorets v Balkan90-81
01/06/23Chernomorets v Balkan75-83
29/05/23Balkan v Chernomorets87-64
27/05/23Balkan v Chernomorets87-74
05/04/23Balkan v Chernomorets92-88
23/01/23Chernomorets v Balkan93-83
19/11/22Balkan v Chernomorets83-78
18/04/22Balkan v Chernomorets92-70
31/01/22Chernomorets v Balkan83-78
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HSpartak Pleven60-76
15/03/24HCherno More88-69
09/03/24ACherno More95-79
05/03/24ASpartak Pleven81-90
16/02/24HAcademic Plovdiv86-85
12/02/24ACSKA Sofia88-78
07/02/24ABilbao63-90
03/02/24HBeroe97-60
31/01/24HGottingen75-101
27/01/24AYambol75-72
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24ASpartak Pleven86-62
16/03/24HRilski Sportist75-73
15/03/24HCSKA Sofia92-66
09/03/24HCSKA Sofia78-68
06/03/24ACherno More81-89
03/03/24ARilski Sportist78-80
16/02/24ALevski90-79
10/02/24HShumen85-83
03/02/24HAcademic Plovdiv93-85
28/01/24ACSKA Sofia84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayWWWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %62%91%38%
Points / game82.485.779.6
Allowed / game78.477.479.3
Point differential+4.0+8.4+0.3
Avg total160.8163.1158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %80%100%62%
Points / game84.587.282.1
Allowed / game75.273.776.7
Point differential+9.3+13.5+5.4
Avg total159.8160.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%58%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist2621581%84.774.7+9.9
2 Chernomorets2520580%84.575.2+9.3
3 Spartak Pleven2619773%87.879.1+8.7
4 Balkan2415962%82.478.4+4.0
5 CSKA Sofia25131252%84.680.0+4.5
6 Yambol26111542%79.483.8-4.3
7 Cherno More26111542%81.788.1-6.3
8 Shumen26101638%83.582.8+0.7
9 Levski2691735%74.277.5-3.3
10 Academic Plovdiv2691735%79.884.8-5.1
11 Minyor2681831%74.782.7-7.9
12 Beroe2681831%80.589.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan1814241571
Chernomorets2230202395
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