Levski vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 79-88

15-21 17-24 21-21 26-22

Position#6

Record13-13

FormLLLLW

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game77.8

Levski

Beroe 🏆

Position#7

Record12-15

FormWLWLL

Points / game85.4

Allowed / game89.9

NBLRound 30

Other2022-23

Meetings · Levski v Beroe

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Levski winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Beroe winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Levski

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Spartak Pleven

85-86

-1

H11/03

NBL

Peja

0-20

-20

A16/03

BIBL

Beroe

85-78

H21/03

Bulgarian Cup

Chernomorets

77-73

A22/03

Bulgarian Cup

CSKA Sofia

86-81

H24/03

Bulgarian Cup

Balkan

68-77

-9

A29/03

NBL

Chernomorets

94-104

104

-10

H01/04

NBL

Milenijum

0-20

-20

A03/04

BIBL

CSKA Sofia

72-77

-5

A05/04

NBL

Cherno More

#10

91-73

+18

A08/04

NBL

24-20

24-15

20-23

17-28

–

23-14

22-20

18-15

22-29

25-11

17-27

18-19

17-16

20-27

24-15

24-14

18-25

15-24

24-19

20-19

9-15

17-26

21-25

33-29

23-24

–

20-21

18-21

17-12

17-23

25-19

17-14

26-19

23-21

134.7Avg total

65.8Scored

68.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	79.1	77.8	156.9	+1.2	50%
Season at home (12)	85.3	78.2	163.6	+7.1	67%
Season away (14)	73.7	77.5	151.2	-3.8	36%
Last 10 (10)	65.8	68.9	134.7	-3.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	65.0	70.2	135.2	-5.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	67.7	79.6	147.4	-11.9	9%
vs Similar (7)	65.1	70.7	135.9	-5.6	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	83.0	72.0	155.0	+11.0	82%

This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Beroe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Yambol

102-86

102

+16

H11/03

NBL

Spartak Pleven

81-105

105

-24

A15/03

NBL

Shumen

#11

98-103

103

-5

H18/03

NBL

Bashkimi

20-0

+20

A18/03

BIBL

Levski

78-85

-7

A21/03

Bulgarian Cup

Budivelnyk

20-0

+20

A23/03

BIBL

Milenijum

93-99

-6

A29/03

BIBL

Balkan

83-82

A01/04

NBL

Rilski Sportist

100-114

100

114

-14

H05/04

NBL

CSKA Sofia

71-104

104

-33

A08/04

NBL

19-22

28-21

32-23

23-20

26-27

14-23

16-36

25-19

31-27

31-24

19-34

17-18

–

14-23

20-22

15-18

29-22

–

32-24

24-21

11-18

16-19

24-31

27-32

25-24

24-27

9-21

27-27

21-26

14-30

152.4Avg total

74.6Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	85.4	89.9	175.3	-4.4	44%
Season at home (14)	89.4	88.0	177.4	+1.4	50%
Season away (13)	81.2	91.9	173.2	-10.7	38%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	77.8	152.4	-3.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	79.8	153.2	-6.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	76.8	89.7	166.5	-12.9	29%
vs Similar (4)	86.5	87.5	174.0	-1.0	50%
vs Weaker (8)	85.4	78.1	163.5	+7.2	62%

This opponent (Levski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LevskiBeroe

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.1	20.2	41.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.4	42.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.5	21.5	39.0	-4.0	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.7	18.4	41.1	+4.4	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.4	22.9	43.3	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-2.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.2	23.3	43.5	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (7)	22.1	25.0	47.1	-2.9	29%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	25.2	47.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.7	24.3	44.0	-4.7	13%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.2	21.0	44.2	+2.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.2	54%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.8	40.1	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.4	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.0	21.1	37.1	-5.1	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.8	18.0	40.8	+4.8	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.5	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	22.5	22.9	45.4	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	22.5	46.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.7	23.5	44.2	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (7)	24.4	24.3	48.7	+0.1	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	25.2	51.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.3	22.6	42.9	-2.3	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	26.2	24.2	50.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.8	23.0	48.8	+2.8	33%	-

LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Spartak Pleven

48-35

+13

H11/03

NBL

Beroe

45-34

+11

H21/03

Bulgarian Cup

Chernomorets

42-38

A22/03

Bulgarian Cup

CSKA Sofia

44-42

H24/03

Bulgarian Cup

Balkan

39-43

-4

A29/03

NBL

Chernomorets

38-51

-13

H01/04

NBL

CSKA Sofia

38-42

-4

A05/04

NBL

Cherno More

#10

42-33

A08/04

NBL

81.8Avg total

42.0Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	40.2	39.4	79.6	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	39.5	80.9	+1.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.8	39.2	78.0	-0.5	42%	-
Last 10 (8)	42.0	39.8	81.8	+2.2	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	42.2	82.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.0	41.7	76.7	-6.7	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.3	39.5	79.8	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	44.5	37.7	82.3	+6.8	82%	-

This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Yambol

47-43

H11/03

NBL

Spartak Pleven

40-50

-10

A15/03

NBL

Shumen

#11

62-51

+11

H18/03

NBL

Levski

34-45

-11

A21/03

Bulgarian Cup

Balkan

56-45

+11

A01/04

NBL

Rilski Sportist

51-63

-12

H05/04

NBL

CSKA Sofia

36-48

-12

A08/04

NBL

95.9Avg total

46.6Scored

49.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	42.9	45.8	88.7	-2.9	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.4	45.1	89.5	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (11)	40.9	46.7	87.6	-5.8	27%	-
Last 10 (7)	46.6	49.3	95.9	-2.7	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	50.4	98.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	40.0	46.9	86.9	-6.9	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	47.0	44.5	91.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	49.0	44.0	93.0	+5.0	50%	-

This opponent (Levski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.9	17.2	36.2	+1.7	61%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	17.2	36.5	+2.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.4	17.3	35.8	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	18.6	42.6	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	60%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.0	17.2	34.2	-0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	18.8	14.6	33.5	+4.2	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.3	22.3	41.6	-3.1	42%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	21.9	42.7	-1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.2	22.9	40.1	-5.7	18%	-
Last 10 (7)	19.9	25.6	45.4	-5.7	29%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.0	42.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.3	22.7	41.1	-4.4	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	21.5	39.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.3	22.7	46.0	+0.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.4	22.0	41.3	-2.6	36%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	22.6	43.9	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.7	21.2	37.8	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.2	22.6	40.9	-4.4	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.2	23.5	42.7	-4.3	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	22.5	41.2	-3.8	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.6	19.6	39.3	+0.0	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	21.9	22.7	44.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	22.1	43.9	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.1	23.4	45.5	-1.3	45%	-
Last 10 (7)	21.1	22.1	43.3	-1.0	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.2	43.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.1	23.7	44.8	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.8	21.5	43.2	+0.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	21.0	43.7	+1.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.3	39.2	77.5	-0.9	39%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.7	39.8	80.4	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.1	38.5	73.6	-3.4	17%	-
Last 10 (8)	40.2	41.4	81.6	-1.1	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	40.2	82.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	39.5	43.9	83.4	-4.4	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.7	39.7	75.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	38.5	34.3	72.7	+4.2	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	41.2	45.0	86.2	-3.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	44.1	86.6	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	39.3	46.3	85.5	-7.0	27%	-
Last 10 (7)	41.0	47.7	88.7	-6.7	29%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	47.2	85.4	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	39.5	46.4	85.9	-6.9	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.5	43.0	82.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	46.0	43.7	89.7	+2.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Levskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Levski: 56.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀25%

🏀🏀🏀64%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers14.0 pts a game · 25% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 64% of the points

🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

51%

29%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	28.0	7.0	25.0%	54.8%	14.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.0	12.0	37.5%	32.1%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	7.0	6.0	85.7%	71.4%	6.0

They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.0	32.0	64.0%	54.8%	64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	6.0	20.0%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	12.0	80.0%	71.4%	12.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.0	32.0	64.0%	54.8%	64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	6.0	20.0%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	12.0	80.0%	71.4%	12.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Levski wins

Beroe wins

Date	Game	Score
21/03/23	Levski v Beroe	85-78
04/02/23	Beroe v Levski	78-71
11/01/23	Beroe v Levski	85-82
03/12/22	Levski v Beroe	104-74
06/11/22	Levski v Beroe	85-88
05/05/22	Beroe v Levski	79-87
02/05/22	Levski v Beroe	116-74
22/04/22	Levski v Beroe	86-68
07/02/22	Beroe v Levski	56-82
18/12/21	Levski v Beroe	97-85

Levskilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/23	A	Cherno More	91-73
05/04/23	A	CSKA Sofia	72-77
03/04/23	A	Milenijum	0-20
01/04/23	H	Chernomorets	94-104
29/03/23	A	Balkan	68-77
24/03/23	H	CSKA Sofia	86-81
22/03/23	A	Chernomorets	77-73
21/03/23	H	Beroe	85-78
16/03/23	A	Peja	0-20
11/03/23	H	Spartak Pleven	85-86

Beroelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/23	A	CSKA Sofia	71-104
05/04/23	H	Rilski Sportist	100-114
01/04/23	A	Balkan	83-82
29/03/23	A	Milenijum	93-99
23/03/23	A	Budivelnyk	20-0
21/03/23	A	Levski	78-85
18/03/23	A	Bashkimi	20-0
18/03/23	H	Shumen	98-103
15/03/23	A	Spartak Pleven	81-105
11/03/23	H	Yambol	102-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Levski

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	50%
Home	WWWLL	67%
Away	WLLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	50%	67%	36%
Points / game	79.1	85.3	73.7
Allowed / game	77.8	78.2	77.5
Point differential	+1.2	+7.1	-3.8
Avg total	156.9	163.6	151.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	58%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Beroe

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	44%
Home	LWWLL	50%
Away	LWLWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	44%	50%	38%
Points / game	85.4	89.4	81.2
Allowed / game	89.9	88.0	91.9
Point differential	-4.4	+1.4	-10.7
Avg total	175.3	177.4	173.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	21%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	25% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rilski Sportist	28	24	4	86%	90.8	77.0	+13.7
2	Balkan	27	20	7	74%	85.9	76.0	+9.9
3	CSKA Sofia	27	19	8	70%	84.0	78.6	+5.4
4	Chernomorets	27	16	11	59%	86.4	82.3	+4.1
5	Spartak Pleven	27	15	12	56%	84.4	81.3	+3.1
6	Levski	26	13	13	50%	79.1	77.8	+1.2
7	Beroe	27	12	15	44%	85.4	89.9	-4.4
8	Academic Plovdiv	26	10	16	38%	79.9	84.7	-4.8
9	Yambol	27	7	20	26%	79.0	87.5	-8.5
10	Cherno More	27	6	21	22%	84.7	92.3	-7.7
11	Shumen	27	6	21	22%	76.1	88.8	-12.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Levski	15	17	21	26	79
Beroe	21	24	21	22	88

← all games of the day

Levski vs Beroe Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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