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Beroe vs Levski Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-86
16-31 24-14 21-19 15-22
Position#12
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Levski 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#7
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game65.0
BulgariaNBLRound 3· Municipal Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Beroe v Levski
13 Mar 2027
BERO v LEV
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
BERO92
LEV76
19 Nov 2025
BERO89
LEV76
12 Apr 2025
BERO84
LEV76
25 Jan 2025
BERO83
LEV71
10 Apr 2024
BERO70
LEV115
23 Oct 2023
BERO76
LEV86
04 Feb 2023
BERO78
LEV71
11 Jan 2023
BERO85
LEV82
05 May 2022
BERO79
LEV87
07 Feb 2022
BERO56
LEV82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Levski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
71-104
71
104
-33
no box
A08/04
NBL
Levski
#6
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
A14/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A22/04
NBL
Cherno More
#10
W
104-75
104
75
+29
no box
H26/04
NBL
Peja
#2
L
82-124
82
124
-42
no box
A28/04
BIBL
Milenijum
#5
W
100-87
100
87
+13
no box
H30/04
BIBL
Balkan
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A02/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
H05/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
58avg 74
H09/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
92-76
92
76
+16
90avg 74
A14/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-21
27-27
21-26
14-30
21-15
24-17
21-21
22-26
15-30
14-22
21-29
19-15
26-18
32-21
29-19
17-17
20-35
20-34
16-40
26-15
27-23
27-25
24-25
22-14
22-22
16-18
15-33
25-16
15-27
14-21
21-19
22-24
4-17
22-24
26-29
22-16
20-19
19-17
30-19
23-21
173.7Avg total
83.0Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.081.0164.0+2.050%
Season at home (1)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
Season away (1)92.076.0168.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.090.7173.7-7.740%
Last 5 (5)83.285.8169.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.391.2168.5-13.925%
vs Similar (2)96.085.0181.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker (7)86.378.7165.0+7.657%
This opponent (Levski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LevskiBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLevski
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#10
W
91-73
91
73
+18
no box
A08/04
NBL
Beroe
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
H14/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
96-88
96
88
+8
no box
H19/04
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
H22/04
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
86-62
86
62
+24
no box
A26/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
no box
A02/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H05/05
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
57-56
57
56
+1
49avg 68
A01/10
Super Cup
Cherno More
#11
W
94-66
94
66
+28
94avg 68
A08/10
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
69-64
69
64
+5
61avg 68
H15/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
17-14
26-19
23-21
15-21
17-24
21-21
26-22
16-19
24-24
26-16
30-29
22-23
19-33
21-12
20-21
29-18
19-18
20-17
18-9
21-22
16-25
17-26
23-21
21-28
12-21
26-17
20-21
12-8
14-17
9-20
22-11
26-10
23-19
23-20
22-17
22-18
13-15
8-14
26-17
157.7Avg total
81.0Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.565.0146.5+16.5100%
Season at home (1)69.064.0133.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)94.066.0160.0+28.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.076.7157.7+4.360%
Last 5 (5)75.273.4148.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.173.5138.6-8.425%
vs Similar (8)66.275.9142.1-9.612%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.675.4158.0+7.267%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.1+4.1
BeroeLevski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A08/04
NBL
Levski
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A14/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A22/04
NBL
Cherno More
#10
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H26/04
NBL
Peja
#2
L
40-69
40
69
-29
A28/04
BIBL
Milenijum
#5
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H30/04
BIBL
Balkan
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A02/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H05/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H09/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A14/10
NBL
84.7Avg total
39.4Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)42.046.688.6-4.531%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.146.090.1-1.936%-
Last 30 away (12)39.647.286.8-7.725%-
Last 10 (10)39.445.384.7-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.679.8-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.347.185.4-8.817%-
vs Similar (2)52.042.094.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (5)53.046.899.8+6.260%-
This opponent (Levski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/04
NBL
Beroe
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H14/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H19/04
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H22/04
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A26/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A02/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H05/05
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A01/10
Super Cup
Cherno More
#11
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A08/10
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/10
NBL
77.9Avg total
38.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.739.277.9-0.654%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.840.979.7-2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)38.537.475.9+1.254%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.677.9-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.672.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.040.473.4-7.429%-
vs Similar (7)38.142.180.3-4.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.838.581.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.0
53.2%
54.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.5
35.8%
31.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.012.5
78.1%
71.1%12.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Levskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Levski: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.5
50.7%
54.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.0
26.9%
31.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws14.810.5
71.2%
71.1%10.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/4 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
WLLLWLWLWL
Levski
WWWLLWLWLW
#12
League position
#7
+3.7
Net rating
-1.4
102.3
Offensive rating
93.6
98.6
Defensive rating
95.0
53.4%
Effective FG%
46.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
43.7%
21.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.8%
3-point %
26.9%
62.3%
Assist %
70.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 93.6Defence98.6 · 95.0Shooting53.4% · 46.4%3-point %35.8% · 26.9%Ball care21.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds27.1% · 24.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Beroe   ■ Levski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Beroe wins
6
Levski wins
DateGameScore
14/04/23Levski v Beroe79-88
21/03/23Levski v Beroe85-78
04/02/23Beroe v Levski78-71
11/01/23Beroe v Levski85-82
03/12/22Levski v Beroe104-74
06/11/22Levski v Beroe85-88
05/05/22Beroe v Levski79-87
02/05/22Levski v Beroe116-74
22/04/22Levski v Beroe86-68
07/02/22Beroe v Levski56-82
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AShumen92-76
09/10/23HChernomorets74-86
05/05/23HBalkan72-91
02/05/23ABalkan78-89
30/04/23HMilenijum100-87
28/04/23APeja82-124
26/04/23HCherno More104-75
22/04/23AChernomorets69-96
14/04/23ALevski88-79
08/04/23ACSKA Sofia71-104
Levskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HBalkan69-64
08/10/23ACherno More94-66
01/10/23ABalkan57-56
05/05/23HCSKA Sofia79-87
02/05/23ACSKA Sofia77-94
26/04/23AShumen86-62
22/04/23HYambol82-89
19/04/23HAcademic Plovdiv96-88
14/04/23HBeroe79-88
08/04/23ACherno More91-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game83.074.092.0
Allowed / game81.086.076.0
Point differential+2.0-12.0+16.0
Avg total164.0160.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Levski
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.569.094.0
Allowed / game65.064.066.0
Point differential+16.5+5.0+28.0
Avg total146.5133.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Levski220100%81.565.0+16.5
2 Chernomorets330100%79.371.3+8.0
3 Spartak Pleven32167%88.068.7+19.3
4 CSKA Sofia32167%81.772.3+9.3
5 Balkan32167%79.377.3+2.0
6 Yambol32167%82.383.3-1.0
7 Beroe21150%83.081.0+2.0
8 Rilski Sportist31233%78.369.7+8.7
9 Shumen31233%81.785.0-3.3
10 Minyor31233%63.788.3-24.7
11 Cherno More3030%75.789.7-14.0
12 Academic Plovdiv3030%76.793.3-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Beroe1624211576
Levski3114192286
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