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Levski vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 69-64
22-18 13-15 8-14 26-17
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game66.0
Levski 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Balkan
Bulgaria
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game83.0
BulgariaNBLRound 2· Triaditsa Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Levski v Balkan
30 Jan 2027
LEV v BAL
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
LEV67
BAL99
19 Jan 2026
LEV70
BAL102
26 Apr 2025
LEV91
BAL96
07 Dec 2024
LEV71
BAL83
15 Oct 2023
LEV69
BAL64
14 Jan 2023
LEV71
BAL83
29 May 2022
LEV76
BAL78
17 May 2022
LEV66
BAL56
12 Feb 2022
LEV59
BAL72
01 Dec 2021
LEV65
BAL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Levski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LevskiBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLevski
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
no box
A05/04
NBL
Cherno More
#10
W
91-73
91
73
+18
no box
A08/04
NBL
Beroe
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
H14/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
96-88
96
88
+8
no box
H19/04
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
H22/04
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
86-62
86
62
+24
no box
A26/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
no box
A02/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H05/05
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
57-56
57
56
+1
49avg 72
A01/10
Super Cup
Cherno More
#11
W
94-66
94
66
+28
94avg 72
A08/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
18-21
17-12
17-23
25-19
17-14
26-19
23-21
15-21
17-24
21-21
26-22
16-19
24-24
26-16
30-29
22-23
19-33
21-12
20-21
29-18
19-18
20-17
18-9
21-22
16-25
17-26
23-21
21-28
12-21
26-17
20-21
12-8
14-17
9-20
22-11
26-10
23-19
23-20
22-17
159.3Avg total
81.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.066.0160.0+28.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)94.066.0160.0+28.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.378.0159.3+3.350%
Last 5 (5)78.673.0151.6+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)65.475.9141.2-10.512%
vs Similar (8)66.275.9142.1-9.612%
vs Weaker (12)82.675.4158.0+7.267%
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Beroe
#7
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
A05/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H12/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
80-71
80
71
+9
no box
H14/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
A17/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
A19/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H27/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
W
87-64
87
64
+23
no box
H29/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
A01/06
NBL
Levski
#1
L
56-57
56
57
-1
36avg 58
H01/10
Super Cup
Shumen
#6
W
88-83
88
83
+5
81avg 58
H07/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
21-14
19-21
24-22
24-23
16-19
9-20
30-28
15-16
28-17
21-14
16-24
27-21
14-19
24-16
20-14
18-20
31-27
17-15
26-21
16-20
28-19
23-19
20-16
25-14
16-10
16-18
30-22
23-22
21-21
15-18
24-14
8-12
17-14
20-9
11-22
18-16
22-23
27-26
21-18
156.7Avg total
82.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.083.0171.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)88.083.0171.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.873.9156.7+8.980%
Last 5 (5)80.270.6150.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)82.080.0162.0+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)87.377.6165.0+9.781%
This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
LevskiBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A05/04
NBL
Cherno More
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/04
NBL
Beroe
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H14/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H19/04
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H22/04
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A26/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A02/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H05/05
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A01/10
Super Cup
Cherno More
#11
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A08/10
NBL
79.1Avg total
38.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.539.277.7-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.440.979.3-2.547%-
Last 30 away (13)38.537.475.9+1.254%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.579.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.275.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.140.472.6-8.314%-
vs Similar (7)38.142.180.3-4.043%-
vs Weaker (12)42.838.581.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#7
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A05/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H12/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H14/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A17/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A19/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H27/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H29/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A01/06
NBL
Levski
#1
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H01/10
Super Cup
Shumen
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/10
NBL
77.7Avg total
41.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.482.5+3.777%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.438.480.8+4.069%-
Last 30 away (14)43.940.684.6+3.386%-
Last 10 (10)41.536.277.7+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.273.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)42.538.080.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.440.483.8+3.077%-
This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Levskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Levski: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.0
47.7%
54.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.0
30.0%
31.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws13.09.7
74.4%
71.1%9.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.3 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.7
53.3%
54.3%37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.0
25.6%
31.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.010.7
71.1%
71.1%10.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Levski
WWLLWLWLWL
Balkan
WLWWWWWWLW
#7
League position
#4
-5.9
Net rating
-0.9
92.2
Offensive rating
94.7
98.1
Defensive rating
95.6
46.5%
Effective FG%
46.8%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.7%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.0%
3-point %
25.6%
74.7%
Assist %
70.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.2 · 94.7Defence98.1 · 95.6Shooting46.5% · 46.8%3-point %30.0% · 25.6%Ball care20.1% · 18.7%Off. rebounds25.9% · 26.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Levski   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Levski wins
7
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
01/10/23Balkan v Levski56-57
29/03/23Balkan v Levski77-68
14/01/23Levski v Balkan71-83
30/10/22Balkan v Levski89-64
29/05/22Levski v Balkan76-78
17/05/22Levski v Balkan66-56
14/05/22Balkan v Levski76-72
12/05/22Balkan v Levski80-74 OT
26/04/22Balkan v Levski74-68
26/03/22Balkan v Levski73-74
Levskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23ACherno More94-66
01/10/23ABalkan57-56
05/05/23HCSKA Sofia79-87
02/05/23ACSKA Sofia77-94
26/04/23AShumen86-62
22/04/23HYambol82-89
19/04/23HAcademic Plovdiv96-88
14/04/23HBeroe79-88
08/04/23ACherno More91-73
05/04/23ACSKA Sofia72-77
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HShumen88-83
01/10/23HLevski56-57
01/06/23AChernomorets83-75
29/05/23HChernomorets87-64
27/05/23HChernomorets87-74
19/05/23ACSKA Sofia92-83
17/05/23ACSKA Sofia85-70
14/05/23HCSKA Sofia80-71
12/05/23HCSKA Sofia79-90
05/05/23ABeroe91-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Levski
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game94.0-94.0
Allowed / game66.0-66.0
Point differential+28.0-+28.0
Avg total160.0-160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game83.083.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total171.0171.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist110100%95.049.0+46.0
2 Levski110100%94.066.0+28.0
3 Spartak Pleven110100%97.071.0+26.0
4 CSKA Sofia220100%83.566.0+17.5
5 Chernomorets110100%86.074.0+12.0
6 Balkan110100%88.083.0+5.0
7 Beroe21150%83.081.0+2.0
8 Yambol21150%75.580.5-5.0
9 Shumen2020%79.590.0-10.5
10 Cherno More2020%73.591.5-18.0
11 Academic Plovdiv2020%70.592.0-21.5
12 Minyor1010%49.095.0-46.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Levski221382669
Balkan1815141764
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