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Liaoning vs Qingdao Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 19 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#3
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Position#13
Record3-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game93.2
ChinaCBARound 39· Liaoning Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Liaoning v Qingdao
19 Mar 2027
LIAO v QING
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
LIAO70
QING86
07 Mar 2025
LIAO121
QING93
22 Oct 2024
LIAO106
QING83
12 Jan 2024
LIAO116
QING109
05 Apr 2023
LIAO116
QING87
01 Mar 2022
LIAO85
QING108
24 Dec 2020
LIAO113
QING110
01 Nov 2020
LIAO126
QING103
29 Jun 2020
LIAO109
QING81
19 Dec 2018
LIAO124
QING113
07 Nov 2018
LIAO136
QING117
14 Nov 2017
LIAO110
QING92
30 Nov 2016
LIAO111
QING110
01 Nov 2015
LIAO109
QING97
02 Mar 2015
LIAO129
QING110
28 Feb 2015
LIAO112
QING103
12 Dec 2014
LIAO109
QING111
12 Feb 2014
LIAO121
QING110
16 Jan 2013
LIAO97
QING99
27 Nov 2011
LIAO117
QING110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liaoning win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Qingdao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
L
86-102
86
102
-16
73avg 83
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 83
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#14
W
95-84
95
84
+11
no box
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
104-93
104
93
+11
no box
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
no box
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
107-91
107
91
+16
no box
A30/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
H01/11
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
28-29
13-20
24-24
22-28
22-27
6-26
32-17
27-13
26-31
21-23
21-17
27-21
25-27
29-29
16-16
30-23
29-29
25-22
20-19
30-25
25-25
22-22
21-15
27-20
15-32
23-19
19-19
26-22
31-21
31-22
19-26
24-24
21-10
19-17
27-20
24-21
35-24
18-26
23-22
184.6Avg total
94.4Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)97.087.8184.8+9.288%
Season at home (4)98.286.0184.2+12.2100%
Season away (4)95.889.5185.2+6.275%
Last 10 (10)94.490.2184.6+4.270%
Last 5 (5)96.086.4182.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.591.0168.5-13.50%
vs Similar (13)90.287.4177.6+2.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)96.986.2183.2+10.785%
This opponent (Qingdao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQingdao
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
76avg 84
H29/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
94-97
94
97
-3
84avg 84
A02/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
L
80-82
80
82
-2
no box
A17/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H21/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
101-80
101
80
+21
no box
H25/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
H27/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
86-105
86
105
-19
no box
H29/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A31/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
112-109
112
109
+3
no box
A02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
15-25
12-23
27-9
13-25
20-26
30-21
31-25
24-29
23-21
24-19
9-13
21-27
27-25
29-29
16-16
21-29
22-19
25-13
12-27
32-18
28-21
25-19
16-22
17-22
39-12
21-28
17-28
18-26
31-25
17-27
20-27
26-23
19-26
24-23
17-23
27-35
27-21
24-25
34-28
184.5Avg total
91.2Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.593.2184.8-1.838%
Season at home (4)93.593.0186.5+0.550%
Season away (4)89.593.5183.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)91.293.3184.5-2.130%
Last 5 (5)95.895.8191.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)85.093.8178.8-8.80%
vs Similar (13)90.793.5184.2-2.838%
vs Weaker (12)96.585.8182.2+10.883%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
LiaoningQingdao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#14
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A30/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H01/11
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H03/11
CBA
99.6Avg total
51.5Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.345.393.6+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.944.093.9+5.979%-
Last 30 away (16)46.846.593.3+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)51.548.199.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)51.644.896.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.045.588.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (13)47.545.292.6+2.362%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.745.596.2+5.277%-
This opponent (Qingdao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A02/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A17/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H21/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H25/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H27/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H29/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A31/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A02/11
CBA
94.8Avg total
47.3Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.945.994.8+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.343.894.1+6.662%-
Last 30 away (14)47.348.395.6-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)47.347.594.8-0.220%-
Last 5 (5)52.845.898.6+7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)46.848.895.6-2.020%-
vs Similar (13)46.647.293.8-0.638%-
vs Weaker (12)52.243.295.4+9.175%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.7
55.4%
53.8%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
74.8%15.0
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.7
55.1%
53.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.6
32.5%
35.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws26.219.6
74.8%
74.8%19.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liaoning
WWWLWWWWLL
Qingdao
WLLWWLLLLL
#3
League position
#13
-0.1
Net rating
-1.1
101.5
Offensive rating
99.7
101.6
Defensive rating
100.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.4%
Turnover %
11.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.8%
3-point %
32.5%
62.1%
Assist %
57.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 99.7Defence101.6 · 100.8Shooting53.6% · 51.8%3-point %33.8% · 32.5%Ball care13.4% · 11.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Liaoning   ■ Qingdao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Liaoning wins
5
Qingdao wins
DateGameScore
21/10/26Qingdao v Liaoning93-97
10/04/26Qingdao v Liaoning98-96 OT
13/01/26Liaoning v Qingdao70-86
07/03/25Liaoning v Qingdao121-93
12/01/25Qingdao v Liaoning103-100
15/11/24Qingdao v Liaoning94-78
28/10/24Qingdao v Liaoning96-79
22/10/24Liaoning v Qingdao106-83
12/01/24Liaoning v Qingdao116-109
22/12/23Qingdao v Liaoning92-100
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HGuangzhou100-93
01/11/26HShenzhen91-71
30/10/26ANingbo Rockets107-91
27/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha84-90
25/10/26HXinjiang98-87
23/10/26HSichuan104-93
21/10/26AQingdao97-93
18/10/26AShandong95-84
03/05/26AShandong82-98
01/05/26HShandong86-102
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26AGuangdong112-109
31/10/26AFujian86-95
29/10/26HBeijing86-105
27/10/26HTianjin94-90
25/10/26HNanjing Tongxi101-80
23/10/26AZhejiang Chouzhou80-88
21/10/26HLiaoning93-97
17/10/26AXinjiang80-82
02/05/26AShanxi Zhongyu94-97
29/04/26HShanxi Zhongyu86-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liaoning
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game97.098.295.8
Allowed / game87.886.089.5
Point differential+9.2+12.2+6.2
Avg total184.8184.2185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Qingdao
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW38%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game91.593.589.5
Allowed / game93.293.093.5
Point differential-1.8+0.5-4.0
Avg total184.8186.5183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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