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Liaoning vs Xinjiang Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 115-89
33-21 27-24 32-29 23-15
Position#4
Record15-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game98.0
vs
Position#5
Record17-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game101.8
ChinaCBARound 23· Liaoning Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Liaoning v Xinjiang
25 Oct 2026
LIAO98
XINJ87
01 Apr 2026
LIAO87
XINJ75
16 Jan 2026
LIAO82
XINJ75
15 Apr 2025
LIAO105
XINJ96
13 Apr 2025
LIAO123
XINJ116
28 Dec 2024
LIAO115
XINJ89
17 Nov 2024
LIAO69
XINJ89
17 May 2024
LIAO97
XINJ86
15 May 2024
LIAO121
XINJ112
26 Mar 2024
LIAO96
XINJ85
06 Mar 2023
LIAO20
XINJ0
20 Jan 2022
LIAO87
XINJ109
08 Apr 2021
LIAO96
XINJ84
09 Dec 2020
LIAO111
XINJ118
07 Aug 2020
LIAO119
XINJ113
19 Jan 2020
LIAO111
XINJ114
11 Apr 2019
LIAO100
XINJ109
09 Apr 2019
LIAO95
XINJ97
22 Jan 2019
LIAO117
XINJ103
27 Dec 2017
LIAO127
XINJ113
19 Mar 2017
LIAO103
XINJ111
17 Mar 2017
LIAO109
XINJ107
15 Mar 2017
LIAO108
XINJ116
22 Jan 2017
LIAO106
XINJ100
18 Dec 2015
LIAO104
XINJ86
26 Dec 2014
LIAO114
XINJ106
25 Feb 2014
LIAO96
XINJ113
18 Feb 2014
LIAO93
XINJ91
13 Dec 2013
LIAO71
XINJ86
06 Mar 2013
LIAO102
XINJ94
27 Feb 2013
LIAO100
XINJ98
09 Dec 2012
LIAO121
XINJ99
08 Feb 2012
LIAO99
XINJ104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liaoning winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xinjiang winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
117-124
117
124
-7
106avg 101
H03/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
111-76
111
76
+35
118avg 101
H06/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
127-102
127
102
+25
134avg 101
H08/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
105-125
105
125
-20
99avg 101
A11/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
86-77
86
77
+9
81avg 101
A13/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
94-95
94
95
-1
74avg 101
A16/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
102-114
102
114
-12
86avg 101
A18/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
105-106
105
106
-1
94avg 101
H20/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
104-90
104
90
+14
96avg 101
A23/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
98-97
98
97
+1
90avg 101
A26/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-34
27-34
33-34
25-22
37-26
31-12
18-20
25-18
23-27
41-26
29-23
34-26
25-25
22-40
32-21
26-39
26-20
27-20
15-23
18-14
37-23
16-32
15-21
26-19
21-36
17-41
38-18
26-19
33-18
25-30
25-27
22-31
16-29
39-24
24-10
25-27
25-20
22-25
24-27
27-25
205.5Avg total
104.9Scored
100.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)106.598.0204.5+8.568%
Season at home (10)112.098.0210.0+14.070%
Season away (12)101.898.0199.8+3.867%
Last 10 (10)104.9100.6205.5+4.350%
Last 5 (5)100.6100.4201.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.090.2169.2-11.225%
vs Similar ◀ (12)104.0100.5204.5+3.558%
vs Weaker (14)108.195.3203.4+12.986%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
125-119
125
119
+6
123avg 103
H02/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
136-105
136
105
+31
138avg 103
H04/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
76avg 103
A08/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
125-105
125
105
+20
122avg 103
H11/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
122-89
122
89
+33
123avg 103
H13/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
101-102
101
102
-1
90avg 103
A15/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
104-83
104
83
+21
101avg 103
H18/12
CBA
Shandong
#6
W
126-123
126
123
+3
124avg 103
H20/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
128-121 OT
128
121
+7
129avg 103
H22/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 103
A24/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
40-31
36-33
26-32
36-31
32-26
33-32
35-16
26-18
28-17
21-28
14-31
25-25
40-22
21-32
39-26
40-19
18-26
36-18
28-26
28-27
28-27
26-18
19-30
31-12
23-33
28-21
22-17
33-31
37-41
29-22
27-29
21-20
32-34
42-25
16-32
30-14
30-27
20-19
20-33
219.0Avg total
115.6Scored
103.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)113.0101.8214.7+11.281%
Season at home (13)120.2106.5226.6+13.7100%
Season away (8)101.294.1195.4+7.150%
Last 10 (10)115.6103.4219.0+12.280%
Last 5 (5)111.8104.4216.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)98.099.0197.0-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (17)106.6103.5210.1+3.159%
vs Weaker (11)111.093.6204.6+17.491%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +7.3+7.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +7.3+7.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
LiaoningXinjiang
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H03/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
68-38
68
38
+30
H06/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H08/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
47-65
47
65
-18
A11/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A16/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
38-77
38
77
-39
A18/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H20/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A23/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/12
CBA
108.4Avg total
54.2Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.451.0103.4+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.250.1105.3+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)49.951.9101.8-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)54.254.2108.4+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)50.255.6105.8-5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.844.080.8-7.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)53.851.8105.7+2.050%-
vs Weaker (14)55.652.4107.9+3.271%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H02/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H04/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A08/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H11/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H13/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A15/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H18/12
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H20/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H22/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
60-41
60
41
+19
A24/12
CBA
110.5Avg total
60.1Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.449.9106.3+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.852.9111.7+5.965%-
Last 30 away (13)53.246.099.2+7.285%-
Last 10 (10)60.150.4110.5+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)58.653.2111.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.543.092.5+6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)55.651.4107.1+4.265%-
vs Weaker (11)58.748.8107.5+9.991%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 104.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.626.6
54.7%
52.6%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.5
35.1%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws23.819.4
81.5%
76.3%19.4
They take 78.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 115.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.527.5
56.7%
52.6%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.913.9
35.7%
35.1%41.7
🏀 Free throws24.618.6
75.6%
76.3%18.6
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liaoning
WWLLLWLWWL
Xinjiang
WWWWLWWLWW
#4
League position
#5
+4.8
Net rating
+13.0
117.3
Offensive rating
118.1
112.4
Defensive rating
105.1
53.9%
Effective FG%
55.3%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.3%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.1%
3-point %
35.7%
59.0%
Assist %
74.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 118.1Defence112.4 · 105.1Shooting53.9% · 55.3%3-point %35.1% · 35.7%Ball care16.4% · 15.3%Off. rebounds35.2% · 31.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Liaoning   ■ Xinjiang
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Liaoning wins
2
Xinjiang wins
DateGameScore
11/12/24Xinjiang v Liaoning125-105
17/11/24Liaoning v Xinjiang69-89
22/05/24Xinjiang v Liaoning95-104
20/05/24Xinjiang v Liaoning91-98
17/05/24Liaoning v Xinjiang97-86
15/05/24Liaoning v Xinjiang121-112
26/03/24Liaoning v Xinjiang96-85
10/11/23Xinjiang v Liaoning91-102
13/03/23Xinjiang v Liaoning0-20
06/03/23Liaoning v Xinjiang20-0
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/24AGuangzhou98-97
23/12/24AFujian104-90
20/12/24HBeijing105-106
18/12/24AJilin102-114
16/12/24AShanxi Zhongyu94-95
13/12/24ASichuan86-77
11/12/24AXinjiang105-125
08/12/24HFujian127-102
06/12/24HTianjin111-76
03/12/24HNanjing Tongxi117-124
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24ABeijing Royal Fighters100-93
22/12/24HShanxi Zhongyu128-121 OT
20/12/24HShandong126-123
18/12/24HTianjin104-83
15/12/24ABeijing Royal Fighters101-102
13/12/24HJilin122-89
11/12/24HLiaoning125-105
08/12/24AZhejiang Guangsha89-94
04/12/24HNingbo Rockets136-105
02/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou125-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liaoning
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW68%
HomeWLWWL70%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %68%70%67%
Points / game106.5112.0101.8
Allowed / game98.098.098.0
Point differential+8.5+14.0+3.8
Avg total204.5210.0199.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Xinjiang
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %81%100%50%
Points / game113.0120.2101.2
Allowed / game101.8106.594.1
Point differential+11.2+13.7+7.1
Avg total214.7226.6195.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%54%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %10%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha2219386%104.092.8+11.3
2 Xinjiang2117481%113.0101.8+11.2
3 Shanxi Zhongyu2217577%115.4108.0+7.4
4 Zhejiang Chouzhou2317674%115.0106.0+9.0
5 Beijing2115671%101.395.0+6.3
6 Shandong2316770%104.7101.0+3.6
7 Liaoning2215768%106.598.0+8.5
8 Qingdao2315865%103.399.5+3.8
9 Beijing Royal Fighters22121055%104.8100.7+4.0
10 Guangdong22121055%105.4101.5+3.9
11 Nanjing Tongxi22121055%105.5106.5-1.0
12 Shanghai21111052%108.3103.6+4.8
13 Jilin2291341%105.5109.7-4.3
14 Tianjin2371630%99.2108.6-9.4
15 Ningbo Rockets2371630%102.2114.0-11.8
16 Guangzhou2261627%100.6108.5-7.8
17 Sichuan2261627%101.2109.0-7.8
18 Shenzhen2351822%103.6108.7-5.1
19 Jiangsu Dragons2332013%94.3103.9-9.7
20 Fujian221215%100.4115.4-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liaoning33273223115
Xinjiang2124291589
← all games of the day
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