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Guangzhou vs Liaoning Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 97-98
20-25 25-22 27-24 25-27
Position#16
Record6-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game100.8
Allowed / game109.0
vs
Position#4
Record14-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game106.9
Allowed / game98.0
ChinaCBARound 22· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Liaoning
02 Apr 2027
GUAN v LIAO
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
GUAN93
LIAO77
26 Dec 2024
GUAN97
LIAO98
18 Oct 2024
GUAN88
LIAO120
26 Dec 2023
GUAN76
LIAO93
03 Apr 2023
GUAN87
LIAO69
17 Oct 2021
GUAN89
LIAO107
16 Jan 2021
GUAN91
LIAO99
02 Dec 2020
GUAN96
LIAO102
07 Dec 2019
GUAN115
LIAO123
25 Jan 2019
GUAN91
LIAO101
23 Nov 2018
GUAN101
LIAO117
09 Feb 2018
GUAN120
LIAO114
04 Nov 2016
GUAN95
LIAO101
27 Dec 2015
GUAN102
LIAO117
02 Nov 2014
GUAN103
LIAO110
17 Nov 2013
GUAN114
LIAO105
28 Dec 2012
GUAN103
LIAO124
02 Dec 2011
GUAN111
LIAO108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Beijing
#3
L
82-101
82
101
-19
68avg 93
H02/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
111-96
111
96
+15
108avg 93
A04/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
104-130
104
130
-26
100avg 93
H07/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
93-122
93
122
-29
80avg 93
H09/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
106-89
106
89
+17
94avg 93
H11/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
103-113
103
113
-10
89avg 93
H14/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
106-113 OT
106
113
-7
84avg 93
H16/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
79-102
79
102
-23
65avg 93
H19/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
109-112
109
112
-3
95avg 93
A21/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
103-120
103
120
-17
96avg 93
A23/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
24-32
15-34
14-18
31-21
32-17
22-25
26-33
29-29
32-31
28-34
15-36
26-32
28-31
14-34
25-25
31-23
20-20
24-26
31-20
26-31
29-33
19-20
29-29
30-23
18-24
16-22
27-22
21-24
17-33
24-24
17-21
21-38
26-30
27-29
35-15
16-28
35-32
20-36
32-24
209.4Avg total
99.6Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)100.8109.0209.8-8.129%
Season at home (11)101.7111.5213.2-9.727%
Season away (10)99.8106.2206.0-6.430%
Last 10 (10)99.6109.8209.4-10.220%
Last 5 (5)100.0112.0212.0-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)93.8107.9201.7-14.110%
vs Similar (9)102.294.3196.6+7.978%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#13
W
100-93
100
93
+7
89avg 101
A01/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
117-124
117
124
-7
106avg 101
H03/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
111-76
111
76
+35
118avg 101
H06/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
127-102
127
102
+25
134avg 101
H08/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
105-125
105
125
-20
99avg 101
A11/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
86-77
86
77
+9
81avg 101
A13/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
94-95
94
95
-1
74avg 101
A16/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
102-114
102
114
-12
86avg 101
A18/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
105-106
105
106
-1
94avg 101
H20/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
104-90
104
90
+14
96avg 101
A23/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
27-23
27-21
23-19
32-34
27-34
33-34
25-22
37-26
31-12
18-20
25-18
23-27
41-26
29-23
34-26
25-25
22-40
32-21
26-39
26-20
27-20
15-23
18-14
37-23
16-32
15-21
26-19
21-36
17-41
38-18
26-19
33-18
25-30
25-27
22-31
16-29
39-24
24-10
25-27
205.3Avg total
105.1Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)106.998.0204.9+8.867%
Season at home (10)112.098.0210.0+14.070%
Season away (11)102.298.1200.3+4.164%
Last 10 (10)105.1100.2205.3+4.950%
Last 5 (5)98.296.4194.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.090.2169.2-11.225%
vs Similar (13)104.9100.1205.0+4.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)108.995.2204.1+13.885%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
GuangzhouLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H02/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
63-38
63
38
+25
A04/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H07/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H09/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H11/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H14/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H16/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H19/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A21/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A23/12
CBA
107.0Avg total
52.1Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.051.9101.9-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.651.3101.9-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)49.552.5101.9-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)52.154.9107.0-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.859.2107.0-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)49.753.3103.0-3.633%-
vs Similar (9)50.848.499.2+2.356%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#13
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A01/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H03/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
68-38
68
38
+30
H06/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H08/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
47-65
47
65
-18
A11/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A16/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
38-77
38
77
-39
A18/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H20/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A23/12
CBA
109.5Avg total
54.5Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.751.0103.7+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.449.6105.0+5.860%-
Last 30 away (15)50.152.3102.4-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)54.555.0109.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)51.454.6106.0-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.844.080.8-7.20%-
vs Similar (13)54.251.2105.3+3.054%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)56.252.9109.2+3.369%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 99.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.123.8
48.5%
52.6%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.0
34.7%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws25.619.1
74.6%
76.3%19.1
They take 80.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 104.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.427.1
54.9%
52.6%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.4
34.9%
35.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws23.818.9
79.4%
76.3%18.9
They take 79.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LLLLLWLLWL
Liaoning
WLLLWLWWLW
#16
League position
#4
-9.7
Net rating
+5.5
104.4
Offensive rating
117.2
114.1
Defensive rating
111.7
49.9%
Effective FG%
53.9%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
19.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.7%
3-point %
34.9%
61.2%
Assist %
58.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 117.2Defence114.1 · 111.7Shooting49.9% · 53.9%3-point %34.7% · 34.9%Ball care19.7% · 15.4%Off. rebounds31.9% · 33.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guangzhou wins
9
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
03/11/24Liaoning v Guangzhou97-86
18/10/24Guangzhou v Liaoning88-120
09/03/24Liaoning v Guangzhou109-103
26/12/23Guangzhou v Liaoning76-93
03/04/23Guangzhou v Liaoning87-69
18/10/22Liaoning v Guangzhou107-90
18/01/22Liaoning v Guangzhou110-98
17/10/21Guangzhou v Liaoning89-107
16/01/21Guangzhou v Liaoning91-99
16/12/20Liaoning v Guangzhou95-93
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24AZhejiang Chouzhou103-120
21/12/24ANanjing Tongxi109-112
19/12/24HZhejiang Guangsha79-102
16/12/24HShanghai106-113 OT
14/12/24HQingdao103-113
11/12/24HNingbo Rockets106-89
09/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou93-122
07/12/24HShanxi Zhongyu104-130
04/12/24AFujian111-96
02/12/24HBeijing82-101
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24AFujian104-90
20/12/24HBeijing105-106
18/12/24AJilin102-114
16/12/24AShanxi Zhongyu94-95
13/12/24ASichuan86-77
11/12/24AXinjiang105-125
08/12/24HFujian127-102
06/12/24HTianjin111-76
03/12/24HNanjing Tongxi117-124
01/12/24AShenzhen100-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%27%30%
Points / game100.8101.799.8
Allowed / game109.0111.5106.2
Point differential-8.1-9.7-6.4
Avg total209.8213.2206.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Liaoning
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW67%
HomeWLWWL70%
AwayLWLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %67%70%64%
Points / game106.9112.0102.2
Allowed / game98.098.098.1
Point differential+8.8+14.0+4.1
Avg total204.9210.0200.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha2118386%103.993.2+10.6
2 Xinjiang2117481%113.0101.8+11.2
3 Shanxi Zhongyu2217577%115.4108.0+7.4
4 Zhejiang Chouzhou2216673%115.2106.3+8.9
5 Beijing2115671%101.395.0+6.3
6 Shandong2215768%103.9101.0+2.9
7 Liaoning2114767%106.998.0+8.8
8 Qingdao2214864%102.599.0+3.5
9 Beijing Royal Fighters2112957%105.2100.4+4.8
10 Guangdong22121055%105.4101.5+3.9
11 Nanjing Tongxi21111052%105.4107.5-2.1
12 Shanghai20101050%108.3104.0+4.4
13 Jilin2191243%106.4109.9-3.5
14 Tianjin2271532%99.1108.0-9.0
15 Ningbo Rockets2271532%101.9113.6-11.8
16 Sichuan2161529%102.1109.1-7.0
17 Guangzhou2161529%100.8109.0-8.1
18 Shenzhen2251723%103.7108.5-4.9
19 Jiangsu Dragons222209%93.4104.5-11.0
20 Fujian211205%100.8115.5-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2025272597
Liaoning2522242798
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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