PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Xinjiang vs Liaoning Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 125-105
25-25 40-22 21-32 39-26
Position#5
Record11-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game111.9
Allowed / game101.5
Xinjiang 🏆
China
vs
Liaoning
China
Position#4
Record12-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game109.9
Allowed / game96.8
ChinaCBARound 16· Hongshan Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Xinjiang v Liaoning
23 Mar 2027
XINJ v LIAO
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
XINJ78
LIAO59
18 Apr 2025
XINJ79
LIAO101
11 Dec 2024
XINJ125
LIAO105
22 May 2024
XINJ95
LIAO104
20 May 2024
XINJ91
LIAO98
10 Nov 2023
XINJ91
LIAO102
13 Mar 2023
XINJ0
LIAO20
25 Oct 2021
XINJ99
LIAO109
30 Mar 2021
XINJ89
LIAO83
04 Nov 2020
XINJ108
LIAO121
05 Aug 2020
XINJ88
LIAO116
15 Nov 2019
XINJ127
LIAO105
18 Apr 2019
XINJ99
LIAO62
16 Apr 2019
XINJ107
LIAO81
14 Apr 2019
XINJ100
LIAO109
13 Nov 2018
XINJ124
LIAO119
01 Nov 2017
XINJ108
LIAO110
12 Mar 2017
XINJ102
LIAO90
10 Mar 2017
XINJ118
LIAO93
27 Nov 2016
XINJ112
LIAO107
25 Nov 2015
XINJ115
LIAO104
12 Nov 2014
XINJ111
LIAO112
22 Feb 2014
XINJ106
LIAO98
20 Feb 2014
XINJ108
LIAO106
07 Feb 2014
XINJ95
LIAO88
08 Mar 2013
XINJ115
LIAO110
03 Mar 2013
XINJ112
LIAO89
01 Mar 2013
XINJ100
LIAO92
18 Jan 2013
XINJ119
LIAO109
21 Dec 2011
XINJ98
LIAO96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xinjiang winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#15
W
117-97
117
97
+20
114avg 101
A01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
W
107-104 OT
107
104
+3
105avg 101
H03/11
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#14
L
96-102
96
102
-6
no box
H12/11
CBA Club Cup
Beijing
#5
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
A15/11
CBA Club Cup
Qingdao
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H16/11
CBA Club Cup
Liaoning
#17
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Shenzhen
#13
W
114-80
114
80
+34
114avg 101
A27/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
125-119
125
119
+6
123avg 101
H02/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
136-105
136
105
+31
138avg 101
H04/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
76avg 101
A08/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
26-30
28-13
30-31
14-24
31-27
18-23
31-20
36-22
16-26
17-20
27-34
27-30
19-11
19-18
20-20
23-27
30-18
27-19
15-22
21-16
25-23
20-15
23-15
32-25
26-15
25-19
31-21
23-23
40-31
36-33
26-32
36-31
32-26
33-32
35-16
26-18
28-17
21-28
14-31
198.8Avg total
105.3Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)111.9101.5213.4+10.479%
Season at home (8)119.6107.9227.5+11.8100%
Season away (6)101.593.0194.5+8.550%
Last 10 (10)105.393.5198.8+11.880%
Last 5 (5)110.693.4204.0+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)98.099.0197.0-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)103.199.6202.7+3.553%
vs Weaker (13)107.193.2200.2+13.985%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#16
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 100
H03/11
CBA
Beijing
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
no box
A13/11
CBA Club Cup
Qingdao
#10
L
78-94
78
94
-16
no box
A15/11
CBA Club Cup
Nanjing Tongxi
#14
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
H16/11
CBA Club Cup
Xinjiang
#4
L
69-89
69
89
-20
no box
H17/11
CBA Club Cup
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
118-112
118
112
+6
111avg 100
H29/11
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
100-93
100
93
+7
89avg 100
A01/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
117-124
117
124
-7
106avg 100
H03/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
111-76
111
76
+35
118avg 100
H06/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
127-102
127
102
+25
134avg 100
H08/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
23-21
25-28
26-15
16-19
16-26
21-20
25-25
17-22
19-14
19-31
23-27
18-23
22-26
25-16
26-23
16-21
23-25
15-20
15-23
34-36
22-31
32-31
30-14
23-30
27-23
27-21
23-19
32-34
27-34
33-34
25-22
37-26
31-12
18-20
25-18
23-27
41-26
29-23
34-26
194.0Avg total
98.6Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)109.996.8206.7+13.180%
Season at home (9)112.897.1209.9+15.778%
Season away (6)105.596.3201.8+9.283%
Last 10 (10)98.695.4194.0+3.260%
Last 5 (5)114.6101.4216.0+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.090.2169.2-11.225%
vs Similar ◀ (14)104.497.9202.3+6.671%
vs Weaker (12)113.294.1207.2+19.192%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.0+4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.0+4.0
XinjiangLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#15
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H03/11
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#14
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H12/11
CBA Club Cup
Beijing
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A15/11
CBA Club Cup
Qingdao
#10
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H16/11
CBA Club Cup
Liaoning
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Shenzhen
#13
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A27/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H02/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H04/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A08/12
CBA
100.7Avg total
54.4Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.349.7104.0+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.352.2109.5+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)50.846.997.6+3.971%-
Last 10 (10)54.446.3100.7+8.190%-
Last 5 (5)57.845.0102.8+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.543.092.5+6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.651.3104.9+2.360%-
vs Weaker (13)55.848.9104.7+6.885%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#16
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H03/11
CBA
Beijing
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A13/11
CBA Club Cup
Qingdao
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A15/11
CBA Club Cup
Nanjing Tongxi
#14
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H16/11
CBA Club Cup
Xinjiang
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H17/11
CBA Club Cup
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H29/11
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A01/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H03/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
68-38
68
38
+30
H06/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H08/12
CBA
98.8Avg total
49.0Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.649.1101.7+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.650.1104.7+4.559%-
Last 30 away (13)49.947.897.8+2.154%-
Last 10 (10)49.049.898.8-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)59.455.8115.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.844.080.8-7.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)52.949.4102.4+3.557%-
vs Weaker (12)57.450.5107.9+6.975%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.528.5
57.6%
52.6%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.112.2
34.8%
35.1%36.6
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
76.3%17.3
They take 84.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.625.1
58.9%
52.6%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.9
38.8%
35.1%35.7
🏀 Free throws28.021.8
77.9%
76.3%21.8
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Xinjiang
LWWWWWWLWW
Liaoning
WWLWWLWLLW
#5
League position
#4
+12.6
Net rating
+9.9
117.0
Offensive rating
118.6
104.4
Defensive rating
108.7
55.3%
Effective FG%
58.6%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.8%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.8%
3-point %
38.8%
63.4%
Assist %
67.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 118.6Defence104.4 · 108.7Shooting55.3% · 58.6%3-point %34.8% · 38.8%Ball care16.0% · 16.8%Off. rebounds32.0% · 27.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Xinjiang   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Xinjiang wins
8
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24Liaoning v Xinjiang69-89
22/05/24Xinjiang v Liaoning95-104
20/05/24Xinjiang v Liaoning91-98
17/05/24Liaoning v Xinjiang97-86
15/05/24Liaoning v Xinjiang121-112
26/03/24Liaoning v Xinjiang96-85
10/11/23Xinjiang v Liaoning91-102
13/03/23Xinjiang v Liaoning0-20
06/03/23Liaoning v Xinjiang20-0
20/01/22Liaoning v Xinjiang87-109
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24AZhejiang Guangsha89-94
04/12/24HNingbo Rockets136-105
02/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou125-119
27/11/24AShenzhen114-80
17/11/24ALiaoning89-69
16/11/24HQingdao95-86
15/11/24ABeijing85-79
12/11/24HNanjing Tongxi96-102
03/11/24HZhejiang Guangsha107-104 OT
01/11/24ATianjin117-97
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HFujian127-102
06/12/24HTianjin111-76
03/12/24HNanjing Tongxi117-124
01/12/24AShenzhen100-93
29/11/24HJiangsu Dragons118-112
17/11/24HXinjiang69-89
16/11/24HNanjing Tongxi91-88
15/11/24AQingdao78-94
13/11/24ABeijing78-90
03/11/24HGuangzhou97-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xinjiang
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%100%50%
Points / game111.9119.6101.5
Allowed / game101.5107.993.0
Point differential+10.4+11.8+8.5
Avg total213.4227.5194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Liaoning
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %80%78%83%
Points / game109.9112.8105.5
Allowed / game96.897.196.3
Point differential+13.1+15.7+9.2
Avg total206.7209.9201.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha1614288%104.693.4+11.1
2 Beijing1412286%100.691.6+9.0
3 Liaoning1512380%109.996.8+13.1
4 Xinjiang1411379%111.9101.5+10.4
5 Shanxi Zhongyu1511473%116.7108.5+8.2
6 Shandong1510567%104.3101.7+2.7
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou159660%115.1107.5+7.6
8 Qingdao159660%100.198.4+1.7
9 Nanjing Tongxi159660%107.7107.5+0.3
10 Beijing Royal Fighters148657%103.699.9+3.8
11 Guangdong158753%107.1103.3+3.8
12 Jilin156940%107.4110.7-3.3
13 Ningbo Rockets156940%106.7114.5-7.7
14 Tianjin1661038%100.5108.6-8.1
15 Guangzhou1551033%100.7109.3-8.5
16 Shanghai1441029%103.9105.9-2.0
17 Sichuan1541127%100.1108.0-7.9
18 Shenzhen1631319%101.4110.0-8.6
19 Fujian141137%103.4117.1-13.7
20 Jiangsu Dragons151147%93.1103.9-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Xinjiang25402139125
Liaoning25223226105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.