Libertad vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Apr 2012

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 75-69

20-17 20-18 20-17 15-17

Position#3

Record29-15

FormLLWWW

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game72.6

Libertad 🏆

Gimnasia

Position#9

Record25-24

FormLWLWW

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game78.9

Liga ALiga A - Quarter-finals

Other2011-12

Meetings · Libertad v Gimnasia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gimnasia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lanus

55-64

-9

A10/02

Liga A

Quilmes

#16

73-66

A13/02

Liga A

Penarol

80-75

H18/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

81-71

+10

H20/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

68-76

-8

A25/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#12

75-78

-3

A26/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

69-90

-21

H05/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

79-61

+18

H08/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

69-67

A12/03

Liga A

Atenas

#11

73-72

A14/03

Liga A

8-18

13-20

18-17

16-9

13-23

22-8

21-20

17-15

17-21

18-19

22-23

23-12

16-18

19-21

30-19

16-13

15-14

17-29

22-15

14-18

21-16

17-19

10-20

27-23

16-16

15-19

13-32

25-23

28-26

16-7

18-12

17-16

21-22

14-12

14-13

20-20

18-19

18-17

15-23

22-13

144.2Avg total

72.2Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (44)	77.9	72.6	150.5	+5.3	66%
Season at home (22)	80.9	72.0	152.9	+8.9	73%
Season away (22)	75.0	73.2	148.2	+1.8	59%
Last 10 (10)	72.2	72.0	144.2	+0.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	73.6	146.6	-0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (18)	76.1	70.8	146.9	+5.3	61%
vs Weaker (12)	81.7	73.2	154.8	+8.5	75%

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gimnasia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

60-73

-13

H27/02

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

82-68

+14

H03/03

Liga A

Atenas

#11

78-73

H05/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

87-80

A12/03

Liga A

Regatas

85-96

-11

A14/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

82-83

-1

H17/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

95-81

+14

H19/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

62-77

-15

A24/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

83-72

+11

A25/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

88-77

+11

H29/03

Liga A

14-18

18-18

15-17

13-20

19-19

28-17

18-13

17-19

24-6

26-25

13-23

15-19

18-17

31-19

19-16

19-28

17-29

22-24

18-20

28-23

14-15

26-33

23-26

19-9

34-18

22-24

20-22

19-17

15-24

20-15

17-23

10-15

18-18

20-17

18-16

27-21

17-16

29-20

22-18

20-23

158.2Avg total

80.2Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (49)	79.1	78.9	158.0	+0.1	51%
Season at home (25)	83.2	77.1	160.3	+6.0	68%
Season away (24)	74.8	80.8	155.6	-6.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	80.2	78.0	158.2	+2.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	78.0	160.0	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	80.0	80.3	160.3	-0.3	67%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	78.8	79.0	157.8	-0.3	57%
vs Weaker (6)	82.0	75.0	157.0	+7.0	67%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadGimnasia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	19.3	36.6	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.3	39%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.7	38.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	16.0	37.9	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	21.3	38.8	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	21.7	44.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	48%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.5	16.7	36.2	+2.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	18.3	38.9	+2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	17.8	35.5	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	17.1	34.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	14.8	30.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.5	17.8	35.3	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.5	42.1	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	19.7	43.1	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	21.2	45.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.8	45.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	22.5	20.9	43.4	+1.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	50%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lanus

21-38

-17

A10/02

Liga A

Quilmes

#16

35-31

A13/02

Liga A

Penarol

35-40

-5

H18/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

35-39

-4

H20/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

32-43

-11

A25/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#12

38-35

A26/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

31-35

-4

H05/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

44-33

+11

H08/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

35-34

A12/03

Liga A

Atenas

#11

36-36

A14/03

Liga A

70.6Avg total

34.2Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	37.6	76.3	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	39.1	79.9	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	36.1	72.7	+0.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	36.4	70.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	34.6	71.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.1	37.6	73.7	-1.6	39%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.7	37.6	80.2	+5.1	83%	-

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

32-36

-4

H27/02

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

47-36

+11

H03/03

Liga A

Atenas

#11

50-31

+19

H05/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

49-36

+13

A12/03

Liga A

Regatas

39-53

-14

A14/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

40-48

-8

H17/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

56-42

+14

H19/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

35-39

-4

A24/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

38-35

A25/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

46-36

+10

H29/03

Liga A

82.4Avg total

43.2Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	39.1	80.5	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.3	35.7	81.0	+9.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	42.6	80.0	-5.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	39.2	82.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	40.0	83.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.0	41.0	82.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	41.8	39.7	81.5	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.0	36.3	76.3	+3.7	67%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+1.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	17.3	38.7	+4.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.4	37.7	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.7	17.8	36.4	+0.9	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.0	38.0	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	20.1	37.7	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.4	37.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	19.3	36.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	17.7	20.1	37.8	-2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	15.7	35.1	+3.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	15.7	35.3	+3.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	15.7	34.9	+3.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.2	35.9	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.7	14.3	33.1	+4.4	78%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.3	17.8	38.2	+2.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	48%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.8	17.3	37.2	+2.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	33.9	73.3	+5.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.0	33.0	74.0	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	34.7	72.6	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	35.6	73.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	39.0	75.2	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.7	32.7	72.4	+7.0	78%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.0	35.6	74.6	+3.4	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	38.9	76.7	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	39.7	77.7	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	38.1	75.7	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	38.8	75.8	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	38.0	77.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.0	39.3	78.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	37.0	39.4	76.3	-2.4	52%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.0	37.2	77.2	+2.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Gimnasia wins

Date	Game	Score
25/02/12	Gimnasia v Libertad	76-68
15/12/11	Libertad v Gimnasia	89-73
03/03/11	Gimnasia v Libertad	91-87 OT
08/01/11	Libertad v Gimnasia	80-74

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/03/12	A	Atenas	73-72
12/03/12	A	Olimpico	69-67
08/03/12	H	Obras Sanitarias	79-61
05/03/12	H	de Julio de Morteros	69-90
26/02/12	A	Boca Juniors	75-78
25/02/12	A	Gimnasia	68-76
20/02/12	H	Weber Bahia	81-71
18/02/12	H	Penarol	80-75
13/02/12	A	Quilmes	73-66
10/02/12	A	Lanus	55-64

Gimnasialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/03/12	H	La Union	88-77
25/03/12	A	La Union	83-72
24/03/12	A	La Union	62-77
19/03/12	H	La Union	95-81
17/03/12	H	La Union	82-83
14/03/12	A	Regatas	85-96
12/03/12	A	La Union	87-80
05/03/12	H	Atenas	78-73
03/03/12	H	Olimpico	82-68
27/02/12	H	Quimsa	60-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	66%
Home	WWWLW	73%
Away	WLLWW	59%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	44	22	22
Win %	66%	73%	59%
Points / game	77.9	80.9	75.0
Allowed / game	72.6	72.0	73.2
Point differential	+5.3	+8.9	+1.8
Avg total	150.5	152.9	148.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	59%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	58% (12)	50% (4)	62% (8)
Overtime %	2%	0%	5%

Gimnasia

Liga A 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	51%
Home	WWLWW	68%
Away	WWLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	49	25	24
Win %	51%	68%	33%
Points / game	79.1	83.2	74.8
Allowed / game	78.9	77.1	80.8
Point differential	+0.1	+6.0	-6.0
Avg total	158.0	160.3	155.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	36%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (16)	56% (9)	43% (7)
Overtime %	2%	0%	4%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Obras Sanitarias	44	31	13	70%	85.5	78.5	+7.0
2	Penarol	45	31	14	69%	84.9	78.8	+6.1
3	Libertad	44	29	15	66%	77.9	72.6	+5.3
4	Regatas	47	29	18	62%	79.6	78.0	+1.7
5	Lanus	44	26	18	59%	76.2	72.7	+3.5
6	Quimsa	48	27	21	56%	76.8	73.7	+3.1
7	Weber Bahia	48	26	22	54%	79.3	77.6	+1.7
8	Sionista	47	24	23	51%	79.2	79.6	-0.4
9	Gimnasia	49	25	24	51%	79.1	78.9	+0.1
10	La Union	49	24	25	49%	80.1	80.0	+0.1
11	Atenas	47	21	26	45%	77.9	77.5	+0.5
12	Boca Juniors	48	21	27	44%	74.6	79.1	-4.5
13	Olimpico	49	19	30	39%	76.7	79.8	-3.2
14	de Julio de Morteros	48	18	30	38%	72.4	78.2	-5.8
15	San Martin	49	14	35	29%	76.0	81.8	-5.8
16	Quilmes	48	12	36	25%	74.3	81.9	-7.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	20	20	20	15	75
Gimnasia	17	18	17	17	69

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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