Libertad vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Apr 2012

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 72-88

13-23 9-21 21-25 29-19

Position#3

Record30-15

FormLWWWW

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game72.5

Libertad

Gimnasia 🏆

Position#9

Record25-25

FormWLWWL

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game78.9

Liga ALiga A - Quarter-finals

Other2011-12

Meetings · Libertad v Gimnasia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gimnasia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

#16

73-66

A13/02

Liga A

Penarol

80-75

H18/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

81-71

+10

H20/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

68-76

-8

A25/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#12

75-78

-3

A26/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

69-90

-21

H05/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

79-61

+18

H08/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

69-67

A12/03

Liga A

Atenas

#11

73-72

A14/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

75-69

H05/04

Liga A

13-23

22-8

21-20

17-15

17-21

18-19

22-23

23-12

16-18

19-21

30-19

16-13

15-14

17-29

22-15

14-18

21-16

17-19

10-20

27-23

16-16

15-19

13-32

25-23

28-26

16-7

18-12

17-16

21-22

14-12

14-13

20-20

18-19

18-17

15-23

22-13

20-17

20-18

20-17

15-17

146.7Avg total

74.2Scored

72.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (45)	77.9	72.5	150.4	+5.3	67%
Season at home (23)	80.6	71.9	152.5	+8.7	74%
Season away (22)	75.0	73.2	148.2	+1.8	59%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	72.5	146.7	+1.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	71.8	144.8	+1.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (18)	75.8	70.9	146.7	+4.9	61%
vs Weaker (12)	81.7	73.2	154.8	+8.5	75%

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gimnasia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

82-68

+14

H03/03

Liga A

Atenas

#11

78-73

H05/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

87-80

A12/03

Liga A

Regatas

85-96

-11

A14/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

82-83

-1

H17/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

95-81

+14

H19/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

62-77

-15

A24/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

83-72

+11

A25/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

88-77

+11

H29/03

Liga A

Libertad

69-75

-6

A05/04

Liga A

19-19

28-17

18-13

17-19

24-6

26-25

13-23

15-19

18-17

31-19

19-16

19-28

17-29

22-24

18-20

28-23

14-15

26-33

23-26

19-9

34-18

22-24

20-22

19-17

15-24

20-15

17-23

10-15

18-18

20-17

18-16

27-21

17-16

29-20

22-18

20-23

17-20

18-20

17-20

17-15

159.3Avg total

81.1Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (50)	78.9	78.9	157.7	+0.0	50%
Season at home (25)	83.2	77.1	160.3	+6.0	68%
Season away (25)	74.6	80.6	155.2	-6.0	32%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	78.2	159.3	+2.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	76.4	155.8	+3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	80.0	80.3	160.3	-0.3	67%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	78.3	78.9	157.2	-0.5	55%
vs Weaker (5)	81.2	78.4	159.6	+2.8	60%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadGimnasia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.3	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.8	39%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.9	38.5	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	16.3	38.2	+5.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	21.2	38.7	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	21.7	44.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.2	18.9	38.0	+0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	18.1	35.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	16.9	34.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	14.6	31.2	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.7	18.1	35.7	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	19.6	43.2	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	21.4	45.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	60%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

#16

35-31

A13/02

Liga A

Penarol

35-40

-5

H18/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

35-39

-4

H20/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

32-43

-11

A25/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#12

38-35

A26/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

31-35

-4

H05/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

44-33

+11

H08/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

35-34

A12/03

Liga A

Atenas

#11

36-36

A14/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

40-35

H05/04

Liga A

72.2Avg total

36.1Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	37.9	76.6	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	38.8	79.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.2	36.9	73.1	-0.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	36.1	72.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	34.6	71.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.0	38.2	74.2	-2.2	39%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.7	37.6	80.2	+5.1	83%	-

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

47-36

+11

H03/03

Liga A

Atenas

#11

50-31

+19

H05/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

49-36

+13

A12/03

Liga A

Regatas

39-53

-14

A14/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

40-48

-8

H17/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

56-42

+14

H19/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

35-39

-4

A24/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

38-35

A25/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

46-36

+10

H29/03

Liga A

Libertad

35-40

-5

A05/04

Liga A

83.1Avg total

43.5Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	39.4	80.5	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.6	35.9	81.4	+9.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	42.4	79.7	-5.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	39.6	83.1	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	38.4	80.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.0	41.0	82.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	41.5	39.7	81.2	+1.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.6	37.0	76.6	+2.6	60%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	17.2	38.6	+4.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.4	35.4	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.9	17.8	38.7	+3.1	72%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.7	17.8	36.4	+0.9	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	20.4	37.7	-3.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	19.3	36.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	17.6	20.1	37.7	-2.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	15.8	35.1	+3.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	15.8	35.1	+3.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	15.7	35.0	+3.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.6	14.4	33.0	+4.2	72%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.3	17.8	38.2	+2.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.4	40.6	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	18.1	37.1	+0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	33.6	72.9	+5.7	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	33.1	73.7	+7.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.8	34.1	71.9	+3.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	36.4	74.5	+1.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	37.2	73.0	-1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.5	32.2	71.7	+7.3	83%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.0	35.6	74.6	+3.4	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	39.3	76.7	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.5	40.8	78.3	-3.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	37.9	75.3	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	38.6	76.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	38.0	75.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.0	39.3	78.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	36.8	39.2	76.0	-2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.2	39.6	78.8	-0.4	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Gimnasia wins

Date	Game	Score
05/04/12	Libertad v Gimnasia	75-69
25/02/12	Gimnasia v Libertad	76-68
15/12/11	Libertad v Gimnasia	89-73
03/03/11	Gimnasia v Libertad	91-87 OT
08/01/11	Libertad v Gimnasia	80-74

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/12	H	Gimnasia	75-69
14/03/12	A	Atenas	73-72
12/03/12	A	Olimpico	69-67
08/03/12	H	Obras Sanitarias	79-61
05/03/12	H	de Julio de Morteros	69-90
26/02/12	A	Boca Juniors	75-78
25/02/12	A	Gimnasia	68-76
20/02/12	H	Weber Bahia	81-71
18/02/12	H	Penarol	80-75
13/02/12	A	Quilmes	73-66

Gimnasialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/12	A	Libertad	69-75
29/03/12	H	La Union	88-77
25/03/12	A	La Union	83-72
24/03/12	A	La Union	62-77
19/03/12	H	La Union	95-81
17/03/12	H	La Union	82-83
14/03/12	A	Regatas	85-96
12/03/12	A	La Union	87-80
05/03/12	H	Atenas	78-73
03/03/12	H	Olimpico	82-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2011-12

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	67%
Home	WWLWW	74%
Away	WLLWW	59%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	45	23	22
Win %	67%	74%	59%
Points / game	77.9	80.6	75.0
Allowed / game	72.5	71.9	73.2
Point differential	+5.3	+8.7	+1.8
Avg total	150.4	152.5	148.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	57%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	58% (12)	50% (4)	62% (8)
Overtime %	2%	0%	5%

Gimnasia

Liga A 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	50%
Home	WWLWW	68%
Away	WLLWL	32%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	50	25	25
Win %	50%	68%	32%
Points / game	78.9	83.2	74.6
Allowed / game	78.9	77.1	80.6
Point differential	+0.0	+6.0	-6.0
Avg total	157.7	160.3	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	36%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (16)	56% (9)	43% (7)
Overtime %	2%	0%	4%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Obras Sanitarias	44	31	13	70%	85.5	78.5	+7.0
2	Penarol	45	31	14	69%	84.9	78.8	+6.1
3	Libertad	45	30	15	67%	77.9	72.5	+5.3
4	Regatas	48	29	19	60%	79.4	78.0	+1.4
5	Lanus	45	27	18	60%	76.2	72.5	+3.7
6	Quimsa	48	27	21	56%	76.8	73.7	+3.1
7	Weber Bahia	48	26	22	54%	79.3	77.6	+1.7
8	Sionista	47	24	23	51%	79.2	79.6	-0.4
9	Gimnasia	50	25	25	50%	78.9	78.9	+0.0
10	La Union	49	24	25	49%	80.1	80.0	+0.1
11	Atenas	47	21	26	45%	77.9	77.5	+0.5
12	Boca Juniors	48	21	27	44%	74.6	79.1	-4.5
13	Olimpico	49	19	30	39%	76.7	79.8	-3.2
14	de Julio de Morteros	48	18	30	38%	72.4	78.2	-5.8
15	San Martin	49	14	35	29%	76.0	81.8	-5.8
16	Quilmes	48	12	36	25%	74.3	81.9	-7.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	13	9	21	29	72
Gimnasia	23	21	25	19	88

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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