Libertad vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 01:15

Final 87-82

25-13 21-20 20-19 21-30

Position#6

Record16-12

FormWLLLW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game77.9

Libertad 🏆

Gimnasia

Position#3

Record16-10

FormLWWLL

Points / game82.5

Allowed / game76.5

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Libertad v Gimnasia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gimnasia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lanus

#13

82-88

-6

H04/12

Liga A

Ferro

#15

60-82

-22

A09/12

Liga A

Lanus

#13

64-81

-17

A11/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

69-85

-16

A13/12

Liga A

Argentino

#16

83-67

+16

H17/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

95-70

+25

H19/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

73-89

-16

H23/12

Super 4

La Union

76-91

-15

A07/01

Liga A

San Martin

#10

88-96

-8

A09/01

Liga A

Regatas

101-89

101

+12

A11/01

Liga A

19-20

23-19

21-17

19-32

11-14

19-20

17-21

13-27

16-20

16-18

22-18

10-25

20-18

20-17

19-30

10-20

19-9

16-22

23-17

25-19

21-11

18-18

28-18

28-23

24-12

19-21

16-31

14-25

15-18

19-23

24-32

18-18

20-23

23-23

28-20

17-30

25-17

28-22

26-20

22-30

162.9Avg total

79.1Scored

83.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	81.5	77.9	159.4	+3.7	57%
Season at home (13)	87.2	72.8	160.0	+14.5	85%
Season away (15)	76.6	82.3	158.9	-5.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	83.8	162.9	-4.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	87.0	173.6	-0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (24)	81.2	79.7	160.9	+1.6	46%
vs Weaker (5)	85.0	72.2	157.2	+12.8	100%

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gimnasia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#15

82-77

H03/12

Liga A

Regatas

72-80

-8

H07/12

Liga A

Regatas

72-66

A12/12

Liga A

San Martin

#10

61-77

-16

A14/12

Liga A

La Union

70-75

-5

A16/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

81-86

-5

H19/12

Liga A

Olimpico

70-65

H22/12

Super 4

Obras Sanitarias

66-58

H24/12

Super 4

Estudiantes

#11

70-82

-12

A10/01

Liga A

Sionista

#20

74-80

-6

A12/01

Liga A

23-17

16-20

27-17

16-23

20-13

18-16

15-27

19-24

15-22

18-16

21-5

18-23

9-22

16-16

17-17

19-22

23-12

10-25

24-24

13-14

22-16

20-26

21-14

18-30

23-14

10-23

24-10

13-18

12-21

8-10

26-14

20-13

14-25

23-29

25-12

8-16

15-22

13-12

30-16

16-30

146.4Avg total

71.8Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	82.5	76.5	158.9	+6.0	62%
Season at home (12)	87.8	77.4	165.2	+10.3	75%
Season away (14)	77.9	75.6	153.6	+2.3	50%
Last 10 (10)	71.8	74.6	146.4	-2.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	74.2	146.4	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	69.0	76.0	145.0	-7.0	0%
vs Similar (5)	73.2	75.2	148.4	-2.0	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	83.8	75.9	159.7	+7.9	68%

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadGimnasia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	16.9	38.3	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	18.5	35.7	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	16.2	35.2	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.2	37.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (24)	18.9	18.2	37.0	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	16.6	37.2	+4.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.4	37.5	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	15.5	37.6	+6.7	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.4	36.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.6	36.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.4	16.7	37.1	+3.7	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.7	39.2	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	18.0	39.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (24)	20.4	19.0	39.5	+1.4	54%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.1	36.7	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	17.9	35.8	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.2	19.3	34.5	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	20.0	34.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	18.5	32.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	14.6	16.0	30.6	-1.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.9	55%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lanus

#13

42-39

H04/12

Liga A

Ferro

#15

30-34

-4

A09/12

Liga A

Lanus

#13

32-38

-6

A11/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

40-35

A13/12

Liga A

Argentino

#16

35-31

H17/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

39-29

+10

H19/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

43-33

+10

H23/12

Super 4

La Union

34-41

-7

A07/01

Liga A

San Martin

#10

43-46

-3

A09/01

Liga A

Regatas

53-39

+14

A11/01

Liga A

75.6Avg total

39.1Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	36.4	76.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	34.9	78.3	+8.4	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	37.9	74.3	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	36.5	75.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	37.6	80.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (24)	39.3	37.2	76.5	+2.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.0	33.2	75.2	+8.8	80%	-

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#15

39-37

H03/12

Liga A

Regatas

38-29

H07/12

Liga A

Regatas

33-38

-5

A12/12

Liga A

San Martin

#10

25-38

-13

A14/12

Liga A

La Union

33-37

-4

A16/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

42-42

H19/12

Liga A

Olimpico

33-37

-4

H22/12

Super 4

Obras Sanitarias

20-31

-11

H24/12

Super 4

Estudiantes

#11

37-54

-17

A10/01

Liga A

Sionista

#20

28-34

-6

A12/01

Liga A

70.5Avg total

32.8Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	35.6	74.2	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	33.9	75.1	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.0	37.3	73.3	-1.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.8	37.7	70.5	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	39.6	71.6	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.0	38.5	73.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	32.4	36.2	68.6	-3.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	40.6	35.1	75.7	+5.5	64%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	19.1	41.4	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	17.5	40.5	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	22.4	44.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	24.2	48.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (24)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.7	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.4	16.4	41.8	+9.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	18.1	39.9	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	18.0	40.1	+4.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	18.1	39.6	+3.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	15.6	38.6	+7.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	13.2	38.4	+12.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.0	17.7	39.7	+4.2	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.9	42.1	-3.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	23.7	42.3	-5.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	24.9	42.5	-7.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	25.2	45.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (24)	19.8	22.9	42.7	-3.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.6	22.6	40.2	-5.0	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	21.3	37.3	-5.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	21.4	36.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.5	17.5	31.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.5	22.1	42.6	-1.6	36%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	42.1	83.6	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	39.7	82.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	44.4	84.6	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	47.3	87.3	-7.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	49.4	93.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (24)	41.7	42.1	83.8	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.0	39.0	82.0	+4.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	39.1	80.6	+2.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	39.5	80.9	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.4	38.8	80.2	+2.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	36.9	75.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	34.6	74.8	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	37.5	71.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.8	39.0	79.8	+1.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.5	39.8	82.3	+2.6	55%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Gimnasia wins

Date	Game	Score
23/02/15	Libertad v Gimnasia	84-92
17/01/15	Gimnasia v Libertad	84-78
24/02/14	Gimnasia v Libertad	91-83
09/12/13	Libertad v Gimnasia	69-61
02/02/13	Gimnasia v Libertad	99-79
17/11/12	Libertad v Gimnasia	67-66
14/04/12	Gimnasia v Libertad	74-81
12/04/12	Gimnasia v Libertad	81-85
07/04/12	Libertad v Gimnasia	72-88
05/04/12	Libertad v Gimnasia	75-69

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/01/16	A	Regatas	101-89
09/01/16	A	San Martin	88-96
07/01/16	A	La Union	76-91
23/12/15	H	Obras Sanitarias	73-89
19/12/15	H	Estudiantes	95-70
17/12/15	H	Argentino	83-67
13/12/15	A	Boca Juniors	69-85
11/12/15	A	Lanus	64-81
09/12/15	A	Ferro	60-82
04/12/15	H	Lanus	82-88

Gimnasialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/01/16	A	Sionista	74-80
10/01/16	A	Estudiantes	70-82
24/12/15	H	Obras Sanitarias	66-58
22/12/15	H	Olimpico	70-65
19/12/15	H	Weber Bahia	81-86
16/12/15	A	La Union	70-75
14/12/15	A	San Martin	61-77
12/12/15	A	Regatas	72-66
07/12/15	H	Regatas	72-80
03/12/15	H	Ferro	82-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	57%
Home	WLLWW	85%
Away	LLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	13	15
Win %	57%	85%	33%
Points / game	81.5	87.2	76.6
Allowed / game	77.9	72.8	82.3
Point differential	+3.7	+14.5	-5.7
Avg total	159.4	160.0	158.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	62%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	67% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Gimnasia

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	62%
Home	WWWLL	75%
Away	WLLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	62%	75%	50%
Points / game	82.5	87.8	77.9
Allowed / game	76.5	77.4	75.6
Point differential	+6.0	+10.3	+2.3
Avg total	158.9	165.2	153.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	42%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	75% (4)	25% (4)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	26	21	5	81%	83.5	75.8	+7.7
2	Regatas	24	15	9	62%	81.7	78.3	+3.4
3	Obras Sanitarias	24	15	9	62%	86.0	83.8	+2.2
4	Gimnasia	26	16	10	62%	82.5	76.5	+6.0
5	San Martin	24	14	10	58%	89.2	84.0	+5.1
6	Penarol	24	14	10	58%	80.8	80.8	+0.0
7	Libertad	28	16	12	57%	81.5	77.9	+3.7
8	Quimsa	25	14	11	56%	80.1	77.2	+2.9
9	San Lorenzo	27	15	12	56%	85.9	80.8	+5.0
10	La Union	27	14	13	52%	80.7	79.4	+1.3
11	Weber Bahia	25	12	13	48%	74.9	79.2	-4.3
12	Estudiantes	25	12	13	48%	74.1	82.3	-8.2
13	Boca Juniors	24	11	13	46%	81.1	81.4	-0.3
14	Instituto de Cordoba	27	12	15	44%	77.0	76.9	+0.1
15	Ferro	27	11	16	41%	75.7	78.8	-3.1
16	Lanus	25	10	15	40%	80.2	80.8	-0.6
17	Sionista	26	10	16	38%	77.8	82.0	-4.2
18	Argentino	25	9	16	36%	77.2	81.7	-4.5
19	Atenas	28	8	20	29%	75.4	81.3	-5.9
20	Quilmes	25	7	18	28%	77.2	83.5	-6.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	25	21	20	21	87
Gimnasia	13	20	19	30	82

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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