Libertad vs Lanus Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2015

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 82-88

19-20 23-19 21-17 19-32

Position#6

Record13-6

FormLLWWL

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game75.3

Libertad

Lanus 🏆

Position#13

Record4-12

FormLLLLL

Points / game78.1

Allowed / game80.9

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Libertad v Lanus

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lanus winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

#10

67-82

-15

A29/10

Liga A

La Union

80-63

+17

A31/10

Liga A

Regatas

100-94

100

H03/11

Liga A

San Martin

#10

97-96

H05/11

Liga A

La Union

104-66

104

+38

H18/11

Liga A

Quimsa

80-91

-11

A22/11

Liga A

Olimpico

61-70

-9

A24/11

Liga A

Sionista

#20

90-71

+19

H27/11

Liga A

Atenas

#14

83-65

+18

H29/11

Liga A

La Union

87-88 OT

-1

H02/12

Liga A

13-19

21-17

17-21

16-25

13-13

16-12

10-11

41-27

18-22

23-18

25-25

34-29

28-25

23-16

28-23

18-32

21-17

31-17

28-15

24-17

19-19

25-18

17-27

19-27

11-22

10-17

22-17

18-14

23-22

31-10

27-15

9-24

25-13

16-22

25-13

17-17

21-18

15-22

23-17

21-23

163.5Avg total

84.9Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	82.4	75.3	157.7	+7.1	68%
Season at home (10)	87.4	72.1	159.5	+15.3	90%
Season away (9)	76.8	78.9	155.7	-2.1	44%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	78.6	163.5	+6.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	77.0	157.2	+3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	79.3	83.0	162.3	-3.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	83.8	80.0	163.8	+3.8	52%
vs Weaker (4)	82.5	72.8	155.2	+9.8	100%

This opponent (Lanus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lanus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weber Bahia

79-83 OT

-4

H18/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

71-68

H27/10

Liga A

Penarol

81-67

+14

H31/10

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

84-75

A03/11

Liga A

Penarol

72-80

-8

A05/11

Liga A

Ferro

#15

76-79

-3

H08/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

81-86

-5

H10/11

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

73-76

-3

H17/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

89-93 OT

-4

A24/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

86-96

-10

A28/11

Liga A

17-12

19-19

16-23

17-15

15-23

10-8

23-18

23-19

15-25

18-13

21-18

27-11

15-20

22-20

20-14

27-21

16-13

19-19

21-26

16-22

19-17

14-18

19-26

24-18

15-13

19-21

21-27

26-25

17-14

20-22

19-22

17-18

21-24

21-22

16-21

19-10

16-27

25-17

26-29

19-23

159.5Avg total

79.2Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	78.1	80.9	159.1	-2.8	25%
Season at home (9)	78.9	78.0	156.9	+0.9	33%
Season away (7)	77.1	84.7	161.9	-7.6	14%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	80.3	159.5	-1.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	86.0	167.0	-5.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	77.8	91.9	169.7	-14.1	0%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	80.7	82.7	163.4	-1.9	42%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadLanus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.5	19.9	42.4	+2.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.1	20.7	37.8	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	19.1	37.3	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.3	41.0	-3.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.4	37%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.1	38.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+3.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	19.2	38.3	+0.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	16.9	38.0	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	16.7	33.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	16.2	38.5	+6.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.4	40.5	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-2.9	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	37%	-
vs Weaker	no games

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

#10

34-36

-2

A29/10

Liga A

La Union

29-25

A31/10

Liga A

Regatas

41-40

H03/11

Liga A

San Martin

#10

51-41

+10

H05/11

Liga A

La Union

52-34

+18

H18/11

Liga A

Quimsa

44-37

A22/11

Liga A

Olimpico

21-39

-18

A24/11

Liga A

Sionista

#20

54-32

+22

H27/11

Liga A

Atenas

#14

41-35

H29/11

Liga A

La Union

36-40

-4

H02/12

Liga A

76.2Avg total

40.3Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	38.3	78.8	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.6	37.2	80.8	+6.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.2	39.8	76.1	-3.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	35.9	76.2	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	36.6	75.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.0	37.7	73.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	40.6	39.1	79.7	+1.5	61%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.8	34.2	77.0	+8.5	75%	-

This opponent (Lanus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weber Bahia

36-31

H18/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

25-31

-6

H27/10

Liga A

Penarol

33-38

-5

H31/10

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

37-40

-3

A03/11

Liga A

Penarol

35-32

A05/11

Liga A

Ferro

#15

33-35

-2

H08/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

34-34

H10/11

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

37-36

H17/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

42-46

-4

A24/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

41-44

-3

A28/11

Liga A

72.0Avg total

35.3Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	41.2	78.2	-4.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	38.7	75.0	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	43.7	81.5	-6.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	36.7	72.0	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	39.0	76.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.5	44.1	81.6	-6.5	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	36.7	39.5	76.3	-2.8	37%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.7	41.3	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.7	19.0	41.7	+3.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	18.4	40.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.8	40.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	26.7	45.3	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	52%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.8	16.0	40.8	+8.8	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	22.1	40.9	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	22.1	42.5	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	25.0	45.2	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.6	23.7	44.4	-3.1	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.1	41.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.9	21.6	43.5	+0.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	23.5	45.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.7	18.7	43.3	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.3	48%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.0	22.5	37.5	-7.5	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.8	44.1	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	19.8	42.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	23.7	45.3	-2.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.2	39.7	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.6	24.1	43.7	-4.5	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	23.8	20.4	44.3	+3.4	63%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	40.7	83.3	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.8	39.6	82.4	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.2	42.2	84.4	+0.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	41.9	85.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	38.8	78.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.3	45.3	88.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	42.9	40.5	83.4	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.8	38.5	78.2	+1.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	43.9	85.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	41.9	83.8	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	45.9	87.7	-4.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	40.6	82.3	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	43.8	85.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.3	47.8	88.1	-7.5	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	42.8	41.6	84.4	+1.3	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Lanus wins

Date	Game	Score
23/04/15	Libertad v Lanus	108-77
13/01/15	Lanus v Libertad	89-75
22/02/14	Lanus v Libertad	61-80
07/12/13	Libertad v Lanus	81-65
07/03/13	Lanus v Libertad	72-61
15/11/12	Libertad v Lanus	63-76
10/02/12	Lanus v Libertad	64-55
02/12/11	Libertad v Lanus	86-52
08/05/11	Libertad v Lanus	75-73
05/05/11	Lanus v Libertad	62-66

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/15	H	La Union	87-88 OT
29/11/15	H	Atenas	83-65
27/11/15	H	Sionista	90-71
24/11/15	A	Olimpico	61-70
22/11/15	A	Quimsa	80-91
18/11/15	H	La Union	104-66
05/11/15	H	San Martin	97-96
03/11/15	H	Regatas	100-94
31/10/15	A	La Union	80-63
29/10/15	A	San Martin	67-82

Lanuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/11/15	A	San Lorenzo	86-96
24/11/15	A	Boca Juniors	89-93 OT
17/11/15	H	Quilmes	73-76
10/11/15	H	Gimnasia	81-86
08/11/15	H	Ferro	76-79
05/11/15	A	Penarol	72-80
03/11/15	A	Quilmes	84-75
31/10/15	H	Penarol	81-67
27/10/15	H	Obras Sanitarias	71-68
18/10/15	H	Weber Bahia	79-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	68%
Home	WWWWL	90%
Away	LLWLL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	68%	90%	44%
Points / game	82.4	87.4	76.8
Allowed / game	75.3	72.1	78.9
Point differential	+7.1	+15.3	-2.1
Avg total	157.7	159.5	155.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	60%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	67% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

Lanus

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	25%
Home	WWLLL	33%
Away	LWLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	25%	33%	14%
Points / game	78.1	78.9	77.1
Allowed / game	80.9	78.0	84.7
Point differential	-2.8	+0.9	-7.6
Avg total	159.1	156.9	161.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	12% (8)	14% (7)	0% (1)
Overtime %	12%	11%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Gimnasia	19	15	4	79%	86.5	75.9	+10.6
2	Olimpico	20	15	5	75%	84.8	78.0	+6.7
3	San Lorenzo	19	13	6	68%	87.9	80.0	+7.9
4	Libertad	19	13	6	68%	82.4	75.3	+7.1
5	Obras Sanitarias	18	12	6	67%	86.2	82.2	+4.0
6	Regatas	17	11	6	65%	81.7	77.8	+3.9
7	Penarol	18	11	7	61%	80.9	80.4	+0.5
8	Quimsa	18	10	8	56%	81.4	80.4	+1.0
9	Weber Bahia	17	9	8	53%	74.9	79.1	-4.1
10	Boca Juniors	18	9	9	50%	80.6	80.7	-0.1
11	Estudiantes	18	9	9	50%	74.6	82.4	-7.9
12	La Union	20	9	11	45%	79.5	81.0	-1.5
13	San Martin	18	8	10	44%	88.9	85.8	+3.1
14	Sionista	18	8	10	44%	79.7	82.4	-2.7
15	Ferro	19	8	11	42%	75.3	77.7	-2.5
16	Instituto de Cordoba	19	7	12	37%	79.3	79.9	-0.6
17	Argentino	17	5	12	29%	76.8	82.6	-5.9
18	Lanus	16	4	12	25%	78.1	80.9	-2.8
19	Quilmes	19	4	15	21%	76.8	85.7	-8.9
20	Atenas	19	3	16	16%	77.2	86.5	-9.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	19	23	21	19	82
Lanus	20	19	17	32	88

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Lanus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature