Libertad vs Regatas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 95-84

21-20 19-18 23-26 32-20

Position#14

Record5-4

FormLWWWL

Points / game76.6

Allowed / game77.3

Libertad 🏆

Regatas

Position#7

Record6-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game79.9

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · Libertad v Regatas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Regatas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

93-86

H15/11

South American League

San Lorenzo

78-81

-3

H06/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

56-79

-23

H08/12

Liga A

San Martin

#10

83-60

+23

H12/12

Liga A

Argentino

#17

77-76

A16/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

72-84

-12

A18/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

85-73

+12

H21/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

97-96

H07/01

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

66-64

A10/01

Liga A

Penarol

#16

75-83

-8

A12/01

Liga A

28-19

27-21

20-29

18-17

13-28

24-20

27-15

14-18

10-20

8-10

19-29

19-20

24-11

22-12

27-20

10-17

20-18

20-19

16-26

21-13

15-22

14-25

21-23

22-14

20-22

14-15

31-14

22-22

16-23

33-21

26-30

10-20

22-11

12-23

22-10

14-27

8-23

27-12

26-21

156.4Avg total

78.2Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	76.6	77.3	153.9	-0.8	56%
Season at home (5)	79.8	77.8	157.6	+2.0	60%
Season away (4)	72.5	76.8	149.2	-4.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	78.2	156.4	+0.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	80.0	159.0	-1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	80.2	87.6	167.8	-7.3	22%
vs Similar (15)	78.3	78.5	156.7	-0.2	47%
vs Weaker (6)	81.3	72.0	153.3	+9.3	83%

This opponent (Regatas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Regatas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

88-94

-6

H19/11

Torneo Super 20

Quimsa

88-93

-5

A22/11

Torneo Super 20

Gimnasia

78-79

-1

H07/12

Liga A

Argentino

#17

99-86

+13

A11/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

91-61

+30

A13/12

Liga A

Atenas

#19

84-81

H16/12

Liga A

San Martin

#10

88-81

A20/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

66-84

-18

A05/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

103-85

103

+18

A07/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

87-82

H11/01

Liga A

15-25

22-18

24-15

27-36

21-22

20-21

16-26

31-24

19-18

22-25

20-19

17-17

26-17

17-20

25-22

31-27

15-20

20-7

31-10

25-24

19-17

16-26

22-13

27-25

27-18

13-21

23-23

25-19

17-13

13-28

20-20

16-23

23-22

29-21

24-14

27-28

22-20

20-17

20-27

25-18

169.8Avg total

87.2Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	87.0	79.9	166.9	+7.1	75%
Season at home (3)	83.0	80.7	163.7	+2.3	67%
Season away (5)	89.4	79.4	168.8	+10.0	80%
Last 10 (10)	87.2	82.6	169.8	+4.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	82.6	168.2	+3.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	70.5	85.2	155.7	-14.7	0%
vs Similar (19)	81.1	82.2	163.2	-1.1	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	93.0	78.8	171.8	+14.2	100%

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadRegatas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.8	20.1	35.9	-4.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.9	38.5	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	22.6	38.8	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.6	20.9	38.4	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.3	19.5	37.7	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.2	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.8	39.2	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.2	17.6	38.8	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.8	19.7	39.4	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	19.7	37.0	-2.3	17%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.3	63%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.7	37.4	-0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	17.8	37.8	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	19.9	37.0	-2.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.8	36.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.6	19.9	38.4	-1.3	22%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.3	18.3	35.6	-0.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.3	18.2	40.5	+4.2	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.6	19.7	40.2	+0.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.7	19.6	38.2	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	20.7	40.3	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.1	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

55-40

+15

H15/11

South American League

San Lorenzo

37-48

-11

H06/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

18-30

-12

H08/12

Liga A

San Martin

#10

46-23

+23

H12/12

Liga A

Argentino

#17

40-37

A16/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

29-47

-18

A18/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

40-44

-4

H21/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

38-45

-7

H07/01

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

32-31

A10/01

Liga A

Penarol

#16

22-50

-28

A12/01

Liga A

75.2Avg total

35.7Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	38.7	75.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	37.6	77.4	+2.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.9	40.0	72.9	-7.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	39.5	75.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	43.4	75.6	-11.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	36.1	40.8	76.9	-4.7	22%	-
vs Similar (15)	35.6	37.7	73.3	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.0	38.0	78.0	+2.0	67%	-

This opponent (Regatas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

37-43

-6

H19/11

Torneo Super 20

Quimsa

41-43

-2

A22/11

Torneo Super 20

Gimnasia

41-43

-2

H07/12

Liga A

Argentino

#17

43-37

A11/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

35-27

A13/12

Liga A

Atenas

#19

35-43

-8

H16/12

Liga A

San Martin

#10

40-39

A20/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

30-41

-11

A05/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

52-43

A07/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

42-37

H11/01

Liga A

79.2Avg total

39.6Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	38.4	78.2	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.8	37.2	79.0	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	38.4	39.2	77.7	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	39.6	79.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	40.6	80.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.0	40.3	77.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (19)	40.3	38.0	78.3	+2.3	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	41.0	37.8	78.8	+3.2	80%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	22.9	46.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.3	42.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	23.3	23.1	46.4	+0.2	56%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.3	18.8	39.2	+1.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.2	39.3	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.8	21.7	40.5	-2.8	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.2	19.3	38.4	-0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	18.9	41.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.3	21.7	37.0	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	37%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	25.0	16.4	41.4	+8.6	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.8	40.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.4	38.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	17.8	43.2	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.8	23.7	44.4	-2.9	22%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.5	19.3	40.7	+2.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.0	15.2	36.2	+5.8	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	23.1	45.0	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.0	23.5	45.5	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	24.1	49.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.6	46.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	23.2	41.3	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.7	22.7	44.4	-1.0	37%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	27.0	24.6	51.6	+2.4	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	41.2	84.0	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.8	43.6	88.3	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.6	38.5	79.1	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	38.7	81.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	36.6	83.4	+10.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	44.1	46.8	90.9	-2.7	56%	-
vs Similar (15)	42.7	40.7	83.4	+1.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.3	34.0	75.3	+7.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	43.3	84.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.8	45.2	86.0	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	40.9	42.1	83.1	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.6	43.0	90.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	42.0	87.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.5	44.8	78.3	-11.3	17%	-
vs Similar (19)	40.3	43.5	83.8	-3.2	32%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	52.0	41.0	93.0	+11.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Regatas wins

Date	Game	Score
30/05/17	Libertad v Regatas	76-82
28/05/17	Libertad v Regatas	93-90
25/05/17	Regatas v Libertad	82-77
23/05/17	Regatas v Libertad	92-69
09/04/17	Regatas v Libertad	79-92
04/12/16	Libertad v Regatas	75-84
02/11/16	Regatas v Libertad	90-81
20/10/16	Libertad v Regatas	85-94
02/03/16	Libertad v Regatas	89-80
11/01/16	Regatas v Libertad	89-101

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/01/19	A	Penarol	75-83
10/01/19	A	Quilmes	66-64
07/01/19	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	97-96
21/12/18	H	Olimpico	85-73
18/12/18	A	Weber Bahia	72-84
16/12/18	A	Argentino	77-76
12/12/18	H	San Martin	83-60
08/12/18	H	Boca Juniors	56-79
06/12/18	H	San Lorenzo	78-81
15/11/18	H	Franca	93-86

Regataslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/01/19	H	Quimsa	87-82
07/01/19	A	Hispano Americano	103-85
05/01/19	A	Obras Sanitarias	66-84
20/12/18	A	San Martin	88-81
16/12/18	H	Atenas	84-81
13/12/18	A	Weber Bahia	91-61
11/12/18	A	Argentino	99-86
07/12/18	H	Gimnasia	78-79
22/11/18	A	Quimsa	88-93
19/11/18	H	Quimsa	88-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	56%
Home	LLWWW	60%
Away	WLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	56%	60%	50%
Points / game	76.6	79.8	72.5
Allowed / game	77.3	77.8	76.8
Point differential	-0.8	+2.0	-4.2
Avg total	153.9	157.6	149.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Regatas

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	75%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WWWLW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	75%	67%	80%
Points / game	87.0	83.0	89.4
Allowed / game	79.9	80.7	79.4
Point differential	+7.1	+2.3	+10.0
Avg total	166.9	163.7	168.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	0%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	67% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	7	7	0	100%	91.4	71.7	+19.7
2	Gimnasia	8	6	2	75%	83.1	75.1	+8.0
3	Regatas	8	6	2	75%	87.0	79.9	+7.1
4	Obras Sanitarias	8	6	2	75%	86.1	82.0	+4.1
5	Boca Juniors	7	5	2	71%	77.0	70.6	+6.4
6	Ferro	7	5	2	71%	82.9	79.3	+3.6
7	Quimsa	7	4	3	57%	90.0	84.4	+5.6
8	La Union	7	4	3	57%	88.4	85.7	+2.7
9	Libertad	9	5	4	56%	76.6	77.3	-0.8
10	Comunicaciones Mercedes	6	3	3	50%	86.7	82.7	+4.0
11	San Martin	8	4	4	50%	78.6	85.1	-6.5
12	Olimpico	5	2	3	40%	76.2	75.6	+0.6
13	Instituto de Cordoba	5	2	3	40%	88.2	88.6	-0.4
14	Penarol	8	3	5	38%	82.6	85.6	-3.0
15	Hispano Americano	8	3	5	38%	78.2	86.1	-7.9
16	Estudiantes	9	2	7	22%	72.6	81.7	-9.1
17	Quilmes	6	1	5	17%	75.3	83.8	-8.5
18	Argentino	6	1	5	17%	82.3	92.5	-10.2
19	Weber Bahia	6	1	5	17%	67.7	78.0	-10.3
20	Atenas	7	1	6	14%	75.6	81.7	-6.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	21	19	23	32	95
Regatas	20	18	26	20	84

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Regatas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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