Regatas vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 90-81

23-18 28-18 15-25 24-20

Position#4

Record5-5

FormLWWLW

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game83.3

Regatas 🏆

Libertad

Position#9

Record1-7

FormLWLLL

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game81.0

Liga A

Other2016-17

Meetings · Regatas v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Regatas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Regatas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#18

88-66

+22

H24/09

Liga A

Estudiantes

88-94

-6

H26/09

Liga A

Olimpico

62-86

-24

A02/10

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

79-82

-3

A04/10

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

113-79

113

+34

H11/10

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

96-105

105

-9

H14/10

Liga A

Libertad

94-85

A20/10

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

93-75

+18

A22/10

Liga A

Estudiantes

69-90

-21

A24/10

Liga A

San Martin

78-71

H27/10

Liga A

21-20

24-6

28-26

15-14

22-25

22-29

17-23

27-17

19-25

13-15

14-26

16-20

24-23

15-21

19-26

21-12

18-19

26-19

39-15

30-26

26-25

17-33

26-26

27-21

30-20

20-15

25-21

19-29

19-22

29-19

27-23

18-11

18-29

8-27

23-18

20-16

21-23

21-15

18-21

18-12

169.3Avg total

86.0Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	86.0	83.3	169.3	+2.7	50%
Season at home (5)	92.6	83.0	175.6	+9.6	60%
Season away (5)	79.4	83.6	163.0	-4.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	83.3	169.3	+2.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	85.2	171.2	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	78.0	71.0	149.0	+7.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	80.8	82.9	163.7	-2.0	38%
vs Weaker (5)	86.4	70.0	156.4	+16.4	100%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

92-78

+14

H26/05

Liga A

Olimpico

68-85

-17

H28/05

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

81-83

-2

A25/09

Liga A

Olimpico

57-70

-13

A29/09

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

62-73

-11

A01/10

Liga A

Regatas

85-94

-9

H20/10

Liga A

La Union

#18

82-65

+17

H22/10

Liga A

San Martin

100-101 OT

100

101

-1

H24/10

Liga A

La Union

#18

69-80

-11

A29/10

Liga A

San Martin

79-82 OT

-3

A31/10

Liga A

24-18

22-20

21-22

25-18

13-23

23-23

21-15

11-24

24-15

11-29

21-20

25-19

18-15

14-10

12-22

13-23

13-15

17-24

19-15

13-19

20-30

15-20

21-25

29-19

21-17

28-15

13-13

20-20

23-21

17-23

28-25

21-20

14-17

21-17

19-20

15-26

19-21

20-11

10-25

21-13

158.6Avg total

77.5Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	76.9	81.0	157.9	-4.1	12%
Season at home (3)	89.0	86.7	175.7	+2.3	33%
Season away (5)	69.6	77.6	147.2	-8.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	81.1	158.6	-3.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	84.4	167.4	-1.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	82.3	92.0	174.3	-9.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	78.7	85.5	164.1	-6.8	38%
vs Weaker (6)	77.0	78.7	155.7	-1.7	50%

This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RegatasLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.3	39.7	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	21.4	40.3	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	23.1	44.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.8	46.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.8	20.2	41.1	+0.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (5)	16.4	17.8	34.2	-1.4	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.5	40.2	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	20.1	40.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.8	40.1	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	22.7	43.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.1	21.0	41.0	-0.9	48%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.3	17.7	36.0	+0.7	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	18.2	38.9	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	20.4	36.4	-4.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	15.0	36.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	17.8	20.7	38.5	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.4	14.0	33.4	+5.4	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.9	38.0	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	17.7	37.6	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.7	21.8	38.4	-5.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.8	19.3	38.2	-0.5	50%	-

RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#18

45-26

+19

H24/09

Liga A

Estudiantes

44-54

-10

H26/09

Liga A

Olimpico

32-40

-8

A02/10

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

39-44

-5

A04/10

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

44-38

H11/10

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

43-58

-15

H14/10

Liga A

Libertad

50-35

+15

A20/10

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

48-41

A22/10

Liga A

Estudiantes

26-56

-30

A24/10

Liga A

San Martin

42-38

H27/10

Liga A

84.3Avg total

41.3Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	39.3	77.6	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	36.5	78.6	+5.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.9	41.8	76.7	-6.9	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	43.0	84.3	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	45.6	87.4	-3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	42.0	38.0	80.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	38.6	41.0	79.5	-2.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	35.8	31.8	67.6	+4.0	60%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

46-38

H26/05

Liga A

Olimpico

36-46

-10

H28/05

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

35-44

-9

A25/09

Liga A

Olimpico

32-25

A29/09

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

30-39

-9

A01/10

Liga A

Regatas

35-50

-15

H20/10

Liga A

La Union

#18

49-32

+17

H22/10

Liga A

San Martin

40-44

-4

H24/10

Liga A

La Union

#18

35-34

A29/10

Liga A

San Martin

39-32

A31/10

Liga A

76.1Avg total

37.7Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	40.3	78.3	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	37.9	77.9	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	42.5	78.6	-6.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	38.4	76.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	38.4	78.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.7	42.7	81.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-2.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.2	37.0	74.2	+0.2	67%	-

This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.8	41.6	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.9	41.9	+0.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	20.8	41.3	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	22.5	46.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.8	45.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.5	29%	-
vs Weaker (5)	26.8	19.6	46.4	+7.2	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.7	40.7	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	20.9	41.7	-0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	22.4	39.9	-5.0	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	22.7	39.3	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.7	22.8	42.5	-3.1	24%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.8	17.5	35.3	+0.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.7	41.7	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	20.4	42.5	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	19.2	40.9	+2.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	17.8	38.9	+3.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	12.0	30.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	22.1	20.5	42.7	+1.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.8	17.4	39.2	+4.4	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	21.7	43.7	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.0	24.2	46.2	-2.2	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	40.6	83.2	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.1	41.3	84.4	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.3	39.9	82.2	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	40.3	85.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	39.6	83.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	33.0	69.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	41.7	41.6	83.3	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	48.6	37.0	85.6	+11.6	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	43.3	83.2	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.8	42.6	85.4	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	43.8	81.2	-6.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	40.3	78.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	41.2	80.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.0	41.3	78.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	40.3	44.0	84.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.8	41.7	81.5	-1.8	17%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Regatas wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
20/10/16	Libertad v Regatas	85-94
02/03/16	Libertad v Regatas	89-80
11/01/16	Regatas v Libertad	89-101
03/11/15	Libertad v Regatas	100-94
27/10/15	Regatas v Libertad	81-75
03/05/15	Regatas v Libertad	97-89
07/01/15	Libertad v Regatas	82-84
30/10/14	Libertad v Regatas	82-85
18/10/14	Regatas v Libertad	83-85
03/03/14	Libertad v Regatas	64-81

Regataslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/16	H	San Martin	78-71
24/10/16	A	Estudiantes	69-90
22/10/16	A	Atletico Echague Parana	93-75
20/10/16	A	Libertad	94-85
14/10/16	H	Quimsa	96-105
11/10/16	H	Atletico Echague Parana	113-79
04/10/16	A	Quimsa	79-82
02/10/16	A	Olimpico	62-86
26/09/16	H	Estudiantes	88-94
24/09/16	H	La Union	88-66

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/16	A	San Martin	79-82 OT
29/10/16	A	La Union	69-80
24/10/16	H	San Martin	100-101 OT
22/10/16	H	La Union	82-65
20/10/16	H	Regatas	85-94
01/10/16	A	Quimsa	62-73
29/09/16	A	Olimpico	57-70
25/09/16	A	Atletico Echague Parana	81-83
28/05/16	H	Olimpico	68-85
26/05/16	H	Olimpico	92-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Regatas

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	50%
Home	WLWLW	60%
Away	LLWWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	50%	60%	40%
Points / game	86.0	92.6	79.4
Allowed / game	83.3	83.0	83.6
Point differential	+2.7	+9.6	-4.2
Avg total	169.3	175.6	163.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	40%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Libertad

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	12%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	12%	33%	0%
Points / game	76.9	89.0	69.6
Allowed / game	81.0	86.7	77.6
Point differential	-4.1	+2.3	-8.0
Avg total	157.9	175.7	147.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	25%	33%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	8	6	2	75%	84.6	69.4	+15.2
2	Quimsa	12	9	3	75%	79.4	73.2	+6.2
3	San Martin	11	8	3	73%	83.1	75.1	+8.0
4	Gimnasia	11	8	3	73%	83.9	79.0	+4.9
5	Weber Bahia	11	8	3	73%	74.9	70.5	+4.5
6	Olimpico	11	7	4	64%	82.5	73.5	+9.0
7	Estudiantes	11	7	4	64%	81.4	76.4	+5.0
8	Penarol	10	6	4	60%	76.0	76.2	-0.2
9	Ferro	12	7	5	58%	80.5	75.4	+5.1
10	Argentino	11	6	5	55%	73.3	74.8	-1.5
11	Regatas	10	5	5	50%	86.0	83.3	+2.7
12	La Union	12	6	6	50%	73.8	78.8	-4.9
13	Obras Sanitarias	11	5	6	45%	80.5	81.3	-0.8
14	Instituto de Cordoba	11	5	6	45%	74.7	77.6	-2.9
15	Quilmes	13	4	9	31%	74.5	80.6	-6.2
16	Atenas	10	3	7	30%	78.0	80.2	-2.2
17	Boca Juniors	11	3	8	27%	70.5	79.5	-8.9
18	Atletico Echague Parana	12	3	9	25%	73.6	90.1	-16.5
19	Libertad	8	1	7	12%	76.9	81.0	-4.1
20	Hispano Americano	10	1	9	10%	72.1	80.1	-8.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Regatas	23	28	15	24	90
Libertad	18	18	25	20	81

← all games of the day

Regatas vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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