Penarol vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	82.6	87.1	169.7	-4.6	29%
Season at home (2)	94.5	89.5	184.0	+5.0	50%
Season away (5)	77.8	86.2	164.0	-8.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	82.3	84.0	166.3	-1.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	82.2	158.0	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	76.4	90.3	166.8	-13.9	11%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	82.6	81.1	163.7	+1.5	58%
vs Weaker (9)	85.2	77.0	162.2	+8.2	67%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

78-73

A14/11

South American League

Franca

93-86

H15/11

South American League

San Lorenzo

78-81

-3

H06/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

56-79

-23

H08/12

Liga A

San Martin

#10

83-60

+23

H12/12

Liga A

Argentino

#17

77-76

A16/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

72-84

-12

A18/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

85-73

+12

H21/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

97-96

H07/01

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

66-64

A10/01

Liga A

15-21

24-16

19-20

20-16

28-19

27-21

20-29

18-17

13-28

24-20

27-15

14-18

10-20

8-10

19-29

19-20

24-11

22-12

27-20

10-17

20-18

20-19

16-26

21-13

15-22

14-25

21-23

22-14

20-22

14-15

31-14

22-22

16-23

33-21

26-30

10-20

22-11

12-23

22-10

155.7Avg total

78.5Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	76.8	76.6	153.4	+0.1	62%
Season at home (5)	79.8	77.8	157.6	+2.0	60%
Season away (3)	71.7	74.7	146.3	-3.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	77.2	155.7	+1.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	78.6	158.0	+0.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	80.2	87.6	167.8	-7.3	22%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	78.1	77.9	156.0	+0.1	47%
vs Weaker (6)	81.3	72.0	153.3	+9.3	83%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	19.6	39.9	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	21.6	39.4	-3.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.8	21.9	39.7	-4.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.1	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.0	19.3	35.3	-3.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.8	38.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.6	20.9	38.4	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.5	18.7	37.1	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.2	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.9	40.7	+1.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	18.1	35.0	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	19.2	34.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.7	21.0	36.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.0	15.9	35.9	+4.1	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	17.8	37.8	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.6	19.9	38.4	-1.3	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.1	18.2	36.3	-0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.3	18.2	40.5	+4.2	83%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hispano Americano

#16

47-42

A05/11

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#16

50-33

+17

H08/11

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#16

30-44

-14

H10/11

Torneo Super 20

Quimsa

#13

48-54

-6

H06/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

49-41

A11/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

35-31

A13/12

Liga A

Ferro

33-41

-8

A15/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

41-26

+15

H21/12

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

35-43

-8

A06/01

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

33-39

-6

A08/01

Liga A

79.5Avg total

40.1Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.5	77.3	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	39.4	80.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.8	39.6	74.4	-4.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	39.4	79.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	36.0	71.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	33.4	42.9	76.3	-9.4	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	38.9	39.4	78.3	-0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.6	36.3	76.9	+4.2	67%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

39-37

A14/11

South American League

Franca

55-40

+15

H15/11

South American League

San Lorenzo

37-48

-11

H06/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

18-30

-12

H08/12

Liga A

San Martin

#10

46-23

+23

H12/12

Liga A

Argentino

#17

40-37

A16/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

29-47

-18

A18/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

40-44

-4

H21/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

38-45

-7

H07/01

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

32-31

A10/01

Liga A

75.6Avg total

37.4Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	38.3	75.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	37.6	77.4	+2.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.9	39.1	73.0	-5.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	38.2	75.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	40.8	76.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.1	40.8	76.9	-4.7	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	36.5	36.9	73.4	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.0	38.0	78.0	+2.0	67%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	19.8	41.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	21.8	41.5	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.9	24.4	47.3	-1.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.3	19.4	39.8	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	22.9	46.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	19.9	38.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.1	42.9	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	23.3	23.1	46.4	+0.2	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.3	21.7	41.9	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.3	18.8	39.2	+1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.1	43.3	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.6	45.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.6	43.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.1	23.0	43.1	-2.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.5	20.6	43.1	+1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.9	19.9	43.8	+4.0	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	16.9	37.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	16.2	40.6	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.8	23.7	44.4	-2.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.0	15.2	36.2	+5.8	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	42.0	84.8	+0.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.5	41.0	86.5	+4.5	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.5	42.8	83.3	-2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	42.6	83.8	-1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	46.2	86.6	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	43.0	47.4	90.4	-4.4	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	42.8	40.0	82.8	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.7	39.1	81.8	+3.6	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	41.4	83.6	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.8	43.6	88.3	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	38.9	78.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	39.0	80.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	37.8	81.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	44.1	46.8	90.9	-2.7	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	41.5	41.1	82.6	+0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.3	34.0	75.3	+7.3	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
07/05/17	Penarol v Libertad	70-67
23/02/17	Libertad v Penarol	85-66
28/02/16	Penarol v Libertad	101-88
23/01/16	Libertad v Penarol	87-68
04/04/15	Libertad v Penarol	88-84
06/03/15	Penarol v Libertad	117-108 OT
10/03/14	Penarol v Libertad	108-84
11/01/14	Libertad v Penarol	88-92
20/12/13	Penarol v Libertad	82-77
06/02/13	Penarol v Libertad	87-71

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/19	A	Olimpico	73-92
06/01/19	A	Quimsa	68-94
21/12/18	H	Weber Bahia	84-64
15/12/18	A	Ferro	77-82
13/12/18	A	Boca Juniors	77-79
11/12/18	A	Hispano Americano	94-84
06/12/18	H	Quimsa	105-115 OT
10/11/18	H	Hispano Americano	78-84
08/11/18	H	Hispano Americano	88-63
05/11/18	A	Hispano Americano	79-83

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/19	A	Quilmes	66-64
07/01/19	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	97-96
21/12/18	H	Olimpico	85-73
18/12/18	A	Weber Bahia	72-84
16/12/18	A	Argentino	77-76
12/12/18	H	San Martin	83-60
08/12/18	H	Boca Juniors	56-79
06/12/18	H	San Lorenzo	78-81
15/11/18	H	Franca	93-86
14/11/18	A	Quimsa	78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	29%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	2	5
Win %	29%	50%	20%
Points / game	82.6	94.5	77.8
Allowed / game	87.1	89.5	86.2
Point differential	-4.6	+5.0	-8.4
Avg total	169.7	184.0	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	50%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	14%	50%	0%

Libertad

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	62%
Home	LLWWW	60%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	62%	60%	67%
Points / game	76.8	79.8	71.7
Allowed / game	76.6	77.8	74.7
Point differential	+0.1	+2.0	-3.0
Avg total	153.4	157.6	146.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	6	6	0	100%	89.5	70.7	+18.8
2	Regatas	8	6	2	75%	87.0	79.9	+7.1
3	Gimnasia	7	5	2	71%	82.1	74.6	+7.6
4	Boca Juniors	7	5	2	71%	77.0	70.6	+6.4
5	Ferro	7	5	2	71%	82.9	79.3	+3.6
6	Quimsa	6	4	2	67%	92.5	84.7	+7.8
7	Obras Sanitarias	6	4	2	67%	84.8	82.8	+2.0
8	Libertad	8	5	3	62%	76.8	76.6	+0.1
9	San Martin	7	4	3	57%	78.6	84.4	-5.9
10	Olimpico	4	2	2	50%	80.0	75.2	+4.8
11	La Union	6	3	3	50%	90.8	87.8	+3.0
12	Hispano Americano	7	3	4	43%	78.3	83.7	-5.4
13	Comunicaciones Mercedes	5	2	3	40%	87.4	84.2	+3.2
14	Instituto de Cordoba	5	2	3	40%	88.2	88.6	-0.4
15	Penarol	7	2	5	29%	82.6	87.1	-4.6
16	Estudiantes	8	2	6	25%	71.9	80.6	-8.8
17	Argentino	5	1	4	20%	82.6	93.0	-10.4
18	Weber Bahia	5	1	4	20%	66.6	78.8	-12.2
19	Quilmes	6	1	5	17%	75.3	83.8	-8.5
20	Atenas	6	0	6	0%	75.3	85.2	-9.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	27	23	12	21	83
Libertad	14	8	27	26	75

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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