Libertadores vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 83-97

21-26 19-21 23-27 20-23

Position#2

Record27-12

FormLLWWL

Points / game88.7

Allowed / game81.2

Libertadores

Astros 🏆

Position#3

Record26-11

FormWWLLW

Points / game90.7

Allowed / game84.3

LNBPLNBP - Semi-finals· Auditorio General Jose Maria Arteaga

Other2023-24Neutral venue

Meetings · Libertadores v Astros

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertadores winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Astros winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertadores Mexico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panteras

80-73

H11/11

LNBP

Panteras

95-75

+20

A14/11

LNBP

Panteras

73-71 OT

A15/11

LNBP

Panteras

79-84

-5

A17/11

LNBP

Panteras

86-76

+10

H19/11

LNBP

Astros

94-96

-2

H24/11

LNBP

Astros

83-85

-2

H25/11

LNBP

Astros

96-86

+10

A28/11

LNBP

Astros

89-83

A29/11

LNBP

Astros

85-94

-9

A01/12

LNBP

26-21

15-15

16-12

23-25

25-19

27-22

17-16

26-18

14-21

23-19

21-16

11-13

14-17

24-25

14-24

27-18

25-28

17-22

23-13

21-13

27-40

24-16

26-23

17-17

23-24

14-18

18-19

28-24

28-20

23-24

22-29

23-13

22-26

26-13

21-13

20-31

26-29

18-16

24-22

17-27

168.3Avg total

86.0Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	88.7	81.2	169.9	+7.5	69%
Season at home (19)	90.1	80.4	170.4	+9.7	74%
Season away (20)	87.4	82.0	169.4	+5.4	65%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	82.3	168.3	+3.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	88.8	178.2	+0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	86.1	84.1	170.2	+2.0	44%
vs Weaker (21)	89.0	79.8	168.8	+9.2	81%

This opponent (Astros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Astros

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mineros

#11

106-76

106

+30

H05/11

LNBP

Plateros

99-86

+13

H10/11

LNBP

Plateros

85-79

H11/11

LNBP

Plateros

85-77

A14/11

LNBP

Plateros

95-89

A15/11

LNBP

Libertadores

96-94

A24/11

LNBP

Libertadores

85-83

A25/11

LNBP

Libertadores

86-96

-10

H28/11

LNBP

Libertadores

83-89

-6

H29/11

LNBP

Libertadores

94-85

H01/12

LNBP

28-25

37-10

20-19

21-22

30-16

25-23

24-19

20-28

28-22

23-18

19-25

15-14

19-23

19-19

29-17

18-18

19-21

22-25

29-23

25-20

40-27

16-24

23-26

17-17

24-23

18-14

19-18

24-28

20-28

24-23

29-22

13-23

26-22

13-26

13-21

31-20

29-26

16-18

22-24

27-17

176.8Avg total

91.4Scored

85.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	90.7	84.3	175.0	+6.4	70%
Season at home (19)	91.3	83.7	174.9	+7.6	68%
Season away (18)	90.1	84.9	175.0	+5.2	72%
Last 10 (10)	91.4	85.4	176.8	+6.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	89.4	178.2	-0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	85.5	87.5	173.1	-2.0	46%
vs Weaker (17)	93.9	82.4	176.3	+11.6	82%

This opponent (Libertadores) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadoresAstros

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.5	42.6	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.6	21.8	45.4	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	24.5	47.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	27.8	53.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.7	23.1	44.8	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	21.6	46.0	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.2	20.8	46.0	+4.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	22.6	46.0	+0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.3	23.3	49.6	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	25.2	53.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	23.4	22.8	46.2	+0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (17)	25.1	20.7	45.8	+4.4	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.0	42.7	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.8	19.8	42.7	+3.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.7	20.1	42.8	+2.6	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.6	18.3	38.9	+2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	23.7	20.7	44.4	+3.0	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.7	43.0	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	46%	-
vs Weaker (17)	24.5	20.4	44.9	+4.2	76%	-

LibertadoresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panteras

41-36

H11/11

LNBP

Panteras

52-41

+11

A14/11

LNBP

Panteras

37-40

-3

A15/11

LNBP

Panteras

38-42

-4

A17/11

LNBP

Panteras

42-50

-8

H19/11

LNBP

Astros

51-56

-5

H24/11

LNBP

Astros

37-42

-5

H25/11

LNBP

Astros

51-44

A28/11

LNBP

Astros

48-39

A29/11

LNBP

Astros

44-45

-1

A01/12

LNBP

87.6Avg total

44.1Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.8	40.5	85.3	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	46.5	41.6	88.1	+4.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.5	39.6	83.2	+3.9	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	43.5	87.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	45.2	91.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.2	41.4	83.7	+0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (21)	45.9	40.1	86.0	+5.8	67%	-

This opponent (Astros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mineros

#11

65-35

+30

H05/11

LNBP

Plateros

55-39

+16

H10/11

LNBP

Plateros

51-40

+11

H11/11

LNBP

Plateros

38-42

-4

A14/11

LNBP

Plateros

41-46

-5

A15/11

LNBP

Libertadores

56-51

A24/11

LNBP

Libertadores

42-37

A25/11

LNBP

Libertadores

44-51

-7

H28/11

LNBP

Libertadores

39-48

-9

H29/11

LNBP

Libertadores

45-44

H01/12

LNBP

90.9Avg total

47.6Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.6	42.4	89.0	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.9	40.6	88.5	+7.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.2	44.4	89.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.6	43.3	90.9	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	46.2	91.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.7	44.1	86.8	-1.4	46%	-
vs Weaker (17)	49.6	41.1	90.7	+8.6	71%	-

This opponent (Libertadores) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.8	22.0	44.8	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.3	18.9	39.2	+1.4	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.0	43.3	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	21.7	44.1	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	20.2	42.4	+1.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.4	44.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.2	43.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.9	20.8	43.7	+2.2	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.5	42.3	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	20.8	42.3	+0.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.1	20.2	42.3	+1.9	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.1	20.4	42.5	+1.8	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.6	42.6	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.1	41.4	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.0	21.3	42.3	-0.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.8	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	40.3	83.2	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.5	38.5	80.9	+4.0	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.2	41.7	84.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	38.6	80.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	43.6	86.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.9	42.7	86.6	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	42.5	39.3	81.8	+3.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	41.9	85.3	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	43.2	86.7	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.5	40.3	83.8	+3.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	42.1	85.9	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	43.2	86.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.4	42.6	85.0	-0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (17)	44.3	41.3	85.6	+3.0	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertadores wins

Astros wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/23	Astros v Libertadores	94-85
29/11/23	Astros v Libertadores	83-89
28/11/23	Astros v Libertadores	86-96
25/11/23	Libertadores v Astros	83-85
24/11/23	Libertadores v Astros	94-96
18/10/23	Astros v Libertadores	80-69
17/10/23	Astros v Libertadores	70-93
03/09/22	Astros v Libertadores	98-91
03/09/22	Astros v Libertadores	113-89
10/10/21	Libertadores v Astros	89-102

Libertadoreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/23	A	Astros	85-94
29/11/23	A	Astros	89-83
28/11/23	A	Astros	96-86
25/11/23	H	Astros	83-85
24/11/23	H	Astros	94-96
19/11/23	H	Panteras	86-76
17/11/23	A	Panteras	79-84
15/11/23	A	Panteras	73-71 OT
14/11/23	A	Panteras	95-75
11/11/23	H	Panteras	80-73

Astroslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/23	H	Libertadores	94-85
29/11/23	H	Libertadores	83-89
28/11/23	H	Libertadores	86-96
25/11/23	A	Libertadores	85-83
24/11/23	A	Libertadores	96-94
15/11/23	A	Plateros	95-89
14/11/23	A	Plateros	85-77
11/11/23	H	Plateros	85-79
10/11/23	H	Plateros	99-86
05/11/23	H	Mineros	106-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertadores

LNBP 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	69%
Home	LWWLL	74%
Away	WLWWL	65%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	19	20
Win %	69%	74%	65%
Points / game	88.7	90.1	87.4
Allowed / game	81.2	80.4	82.0
Point differential	+7.5	+9.7	+5.4
Avg total	169.9	170.4	169.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	63%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	46% (13)	25% (4)	56% (9)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

Astros

LNBP 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	70%
Home	WWLLW	68%
Away	LWWWW	72%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	70%	68%	72%
Points / game	90.7	91.3	90.1
Allowed / game	84.3	83.7	84.9
Point differential	+6.4	+7.6	+5.2
Avg total	175.0	174.9	175.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	53%	28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	33% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Fuerza Regia	37	27	10	73%	85.1	77.9	+7.2
2	Astros	37	26	11	70%	90.7	84.3	+6.4
3	Libertadores	39	27	12	69%	88.7	81.2	+7.5
4	Abejas	38	23	15	61%	86.4	83.1	+3.3
5	Santos	34	18	16	53%	85.0	82.9	+2.1
6	Panteras	34	18	16	53%	86.1	84.3	+1.8
7	Halcones de Xalapa	33	17	16	52%	83.5	85.2	-1.8
8	Plateros	32	16	16	50%	87.3	88.0	-0.7
9	Dorados	28	13	15	46%	84.1	84.0	+0.1
10	Halcones Rojos	28	12	16	43%	83.2	85.7	-2.5
11	Mineros	28	11	17	39%	86.6	89.8	-3.2
12	Soles	28	8	20	29%	77.0	83.2	-6.2
13	Freseros	28	8	20	29%	85.1	91.7	-6.6
14	Correcaminos	28	2	26	7%	84.1	100.6	-16.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertadores	21	19	23	20	83
Astros	26	21	27	23	97

← all games of the day

Libertadores vs Astros Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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