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Libertas Moncalieri W vs Lucca W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-59
15-18 17-13 29-10 19-18
Position#10
Record7-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game71.0
Libertas Moncalieri W 🏆
Italy
vs
Lucca W
Italy
Position#12
Record7-19
FormLWWWL
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game73.5
ItalySerie A1 WSerie A1 Women - Semi-finals
Women2022-23
Meetings · Libertas Moncalieri W v Lucca W
14 Apr 2023
LIBE61
LUCC73
06 Apr 2023
LIBE80
LUCC59
06 Dec 2022
LIBE79
LUCC66
16 Jan 2022
LIBE58
LUCC77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertas Moncalieri W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lucca W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertas Moncalieri WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Crema W
#8
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
46-69
46
69
-23
A04/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
H18/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A26/02
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H05/03
Serie A1 W
Lucca W
#12
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A08/03
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H12/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
49-71
49
71
-22
A19/03
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H26/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
17-23
10-17
18-16
16-20
11-21
16-20
22-18
10-21
6-12
12-22
18-14
21-26
7-26
19-19
19-22
13-20
14-16
24-10
18-18
11-15
21-16
11-17
19-14
13-21
18-22
16-13
13-22
10-17
20-11
19-30
17-21
15-15
15-22
12-18
7-16
18-15
11-15
17-18
11-20
137.6Avg total
61.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)62.071.0133.0-9.027%
Season at home (13)65.871.2136.9-5.438%
Season away (13)58.270.8129.1-12.615%
Last 10 (10)61.676.0137.6-14.410%
Last 5 (5)61.675.4137.0-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)57.172.4129.6-15.37%
vs Similar ◀ (12)66.670.2136.8-3.742%
vs Weaker (4)69.065.5134.5+3.575%
This opponent (Lucca W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lucca WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
59-92
59
92
-33
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
45-86
45
86
-41
A19/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H26/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
51-109
51
109
-58
A05/03
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H08/03
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A12/03
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
77-50
77
50
+27
A19/03
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H26/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
10-26
16-25
15-21
19-18
21-14
24-23
18-10
18-20
11-22
12-21
4-23
9-19
9-12
23-21
13-9
15-16
21-26
27-14
15-23
20-31
11-31
9-22
11-25
21-13
22-18
13-16
22-13
13-20
33-18
25-14
16-26
15-13
17-4
25-15
20-18
16-18
21-15
22-15
9-24
143.1Avg total
67.9Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)65.673.5139.1-7.827%
Season at home (13)67.770.6138.3-2.931%
Season away (13)63.576.3139.8-12.823%
Last 10 (10)67.975.2143.1-7.340%
Last 5 (5)72.273.8146.0-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)61.678.3139.9-16.812%
vs Similar ◀ (8)69.669.0138.6+0.638%
vs Weaker (5)70.257.8128.0+12.480%
This opponent (Libertas Moncalieri W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -4.9-4.9
Libertas Moncalieri WLucca W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Libertas Moncalieri WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Crema W
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A04/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H18/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A26/02
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H05/03
Serie A1 W
Lucca W
#12
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A08/03
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H12/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A19/03
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H26/03
Serie A1 W
66.0Avg total
28.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.335.667.9-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.933.767.7+0.267%-
Last 30 away (15)30.737.568.1-6.820%-
Last 10 (10)28.437.666.0-9.220%-
Last 5 (5)30.433.864.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)28.035.163.1-7.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.637.174.7+0.567%-
vs Weaker (4)31.533.064.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Lucca W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A19/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
18-31
18
31
-13
H26/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
31-62
31
62
-31
A05/03
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H08/03
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A12/03
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
32-17
32
17
+15
A19/03
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/03
Serie A1 W
71.4Avg total
34.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.437.670.0-5.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.535.269.7-0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)30.339.970.2-9.720%-
Last 10 (10)34.037.471.4-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.274.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.140.371.4-9.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.438.072.4-3.650%-
vs Weaker (5)32.027.259.2+4.880%-
This opponent (Libertas Moncalieri W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Libertas Moncalieri W wins
3
Lucca W wins
DateGameScore
08/03/23Lucca W v Libertas Moncalieri W78-60
06/12/22Libertas Moncalieri W v Lucca W79-66
16/01/22Libertas Moncalieri W v Lucca W58-77
17/10/21Lucca W v Libertas Moncalieri W76-59
Libertas Moncalieri Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23HRagusa W57-68
19/03/23ACampobasso W49-71
12/03/23HVenezia W66-79
08/03/23ALucca W60-78
05/03/23HValdarno W76-81 OT
26/02/23ABrixia W69-64
18/02/23HSchio W66-93
04/02/23AVirtus Bologna W46-69
29/01/23HSassari W65-79
22/01/23ABasket Crema W62-78
Lucca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23HFaenza W68-72
19/03/23ABrixia W77-50
12/03/23ARagusa W87-78
08/03/23HLibertas Moncalieri W78-60
05/03/23ASchio W51-109
01/03/23HSassari W78-79
26/02/23HSan Giovanni W54-61
19/02/23AVenezia W45-86
04/02/23HValdarno W82-65
29/01/23HVirtus Bologna W59-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertas Moncalieri W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLLLLL38%
AwayLLWLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %27%38%15%
Points / game62.065.858.2
Allowed / game71.071.270.8
Point differential-9.0-5.4-12.6
Avg total133.0136.9129.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Lucca W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL27%
HomeWLLWL31%
AwayWLLWW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %27%31%23%
Points / game65.667.763.5
Allowed / game73.570.676.3
Point differential-7.8-2.9-12.8
Avg total139.1138.3139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W2725293%84.262.8+21.4
2 Virtus Bologna W2725293%83.562.7+20.8
3 Venezia W2622485%78.663.4+15.2
4 Sassari W2618869%73.471.0+2.4
5 San Giovanni W26161062%65.963.7+2.2
6 Ragusa W26141254%73.269.2+4.0
7 Campobasso W27141352%65.766.4-0.7
8 Basket Crema W27121544%69.071.9-2.8
9 San Martino W26111542%66.170.4-4.3
10 Faenza W2671927%67.874.7-6.8
11 Lucca W2671927%65.673.5-7.8
12 Libertas Moncalieri W2671927%62.071.0-9.0
13 Valdarno W2642215%61.779.8-18.2
14 Brixia W262248%60.177.8-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Libertas Moncalieri W1517291980
Lucca W1813101859
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