Libertas Moncalieri W vs Lucca W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 61-73

11-20 14-30 19-13 17-10

Position#10

Record8-20

FormLLLWL

Points / game62.4

Allowed / game70.6

Libertas Moncalieri W

Lucca W 🏆

Position#12

Record8-20

FormWWLLW

Points / game65.6

Allowed / game73.0

Serie A1 WSerie A1 Women - Semi-finals

Women2022-23

Meetings · Libertas Moncalieri W v Lucca W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertas Moncalieri W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lucca W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertas Moncalieri W Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna W

46-69

-23

A04/02

Serie A1 W

Schio W

66-93

-27

H18/02

Serie A1 W

Brixia W

#14

69-64

A26/02

Serie A1 W

Valdarno W

#13

76-81 OT

-5

H05/03

Serie A1 W

Lucca W

#12

60-78

-18

A08/03

Serie A1 W

Venezia W

66-79

-13

H12/03

Serie A1 W

Campobasso W

49-71

-22

A19/03

Serie A1 W

Ragusa W

57-68

-11

H26/03

Serie A1 W

Lucca W

#12

80-59

+21

H06/04

Serie A1 W

Lucca W

#12

54-73

-19

A10/04

Serie A1 W

10-21

6-12

12-22

18-14

21-26

7-26

19-19

19-22

13-20

14-16

24-10

18-18

11-15

21-16

11-17

19-14

13-21

18-22

16-13

13-22

10-17

20-11

19-30

17-21

15-15

15-22

12-18

7-16

18-15

11-15

17-18

11-20

15-18

17-13

29-10

19-18

11-13

17-21

20-22

6-17

135.8Avg total

62.3Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	62.4	70.6	133.0	-8.3	29%
Season at home (14)	66.8	70.3	137.1	-3.5	43%
Season away (14)	57.9	71.0	128.9	-13.1	14%
Last 10 (10)	62.3	73.5	135.8	-11.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	61.2	70.0	131.2	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	57.1	72.4	129.6	-15.3	7%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	66.2	67.4	133.7	-1.2	50%
vs Weaker (4)	69.0	65.5	134.5	+3.5	75%

This opponent (Lucca W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lucca W

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia W

45-86

-41

A19/02

Serie A1 W

San Giovanni W

54-61

-7

H26/02

Serie A1 W

Sassari W

78-79

-1

H01/03

Serie A1 W

Schio W

51-109

109

-58

A05/03

Serie A1 W

Libertas Moncalieri W

#10

78-60

+18

H08/03

Serie A1 W

Ragusa W

87-78

A12/03

Serie A1 W

Brixia W

#14

77-50

+27

A19/03

Serie A1 W

Faenza W

#11

68-72

-4

H26/03

Serie A1 W

Libertas Moncalieri W

#10

59-80

-21

A06/04

Serie A1 W

Libertas Moncalieri W

#10

73-54

+19

H10/04

Serie A1 W

18-20

11-22

12-21

4-23

9-19

9-12

23-21

13-9

15-16

21-26

27-14

15-23

20-31

11-31

9-22

11-25

21-13

22-18

13-16

22-13

13-20

33-18

25-14

16-26

15-13

17-4

25-15

20-18

16-18

21-15

22-15

9-24

18-15

13-17

10-29

18-19

13-11

21-17

22-20

17-6

139.9Avg total

67.0Scored

72.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	65.6	73.0	138.6	-7.4	29%
Season at home (14)	68.1	69.4	137.5	-1.4	36%
Season away (14)	63.2	76.6	139.8	-13.4	21%
Last 10 (10)	67.0	72.9	139.9	-5.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	66.8	139.6	+6.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	61.5	78.5	140.0	-17.1	13%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	68.9	68.6	137.5	+0.3	40%
vs Weaker (4)	71.8	58.2	130.0	+13.5	75%

This opponent (Libertas Moncalieri W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Libertas Moncalieri WLucca W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.2	17.1	33.3	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	16.5	33.2	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	17.7	33.4	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.7	18.1	31.8	-4.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	15.6	29.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	15.3	17.0	32.3	-1.7	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.8	16.0	31.8	-0.2	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.9	18.0	33.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	16.4	33.3	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.9	19.5	34.5	-4.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	17.6	33.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	15.4	30.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	15.3	19.7	35.0	-4.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	16.7	16.7	33.4	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.2	13.2	28.5	+2.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.5	17.6	33.1	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	16.1	33.4	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	13.7	19.0	32.7	-5.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	17.4	32.0	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	16.4	32.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	12.7	18.1	30.8	-5.4	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.7	17.2	35.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.8	17.0	32.8	-1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	19.3	35.7	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	18.5	36.3	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.0	20.1	35.1	-5.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.0	35.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	14.2	35.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	15.5	20.8	36.3	-5.3	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.3	19.7	37.0	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.5	12.8	29.2	+3.8	75%	-

Libertas Moncalieri WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna W

16-33

-17

A04/02

Serie A1 W

Schio W

28-52

-24

H18/02

Serie A1 W

Brixia W

#14

27-36

-9

A26/02

Serie A1 W

Valdarno W

#13

32-31

H05/03

Serie A1 W

Lucca W

#12

31-43

-12

A08/03

Serie A1 W

Venezia W

30-28

H12/03

Serie A1 W

Campobasso W

30-37

-7

A19/03

Serie A1 W

Ragusa W

29-30

-1

H26/03

Serie A1 W

Lucca W

#12

32-31

H06/04

Serie A1 W

Lucca W

#12

28-34

-6

A10/04

Serie A1 W

63.8Avg total

28.3Scored

35.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.7	34.7	66.4	-3.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.9	32.7	66.6	+1.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	29.4	36.7	66.1	-7.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.3	35.5	63.8	-7.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.8	32.0	61.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	28.0	35.1	63.1	-7.1	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	36.0	34.8	70.8	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	31.5	33.0	64.5	-1.5	50%	-

This opponent (Lucca W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia W

29-42

-13

A19/02

Serie A1 W

San Giovanni W

18-31

-13

H26/02

Serie A1 W

Sassari W

36-42

-6

H01/03

Serie A1 W

Schio W

31-62

-31

A05/03

Serie A1 W

Libertas Moncalieri W

#10

43-31

+12

H08/03

Serie A1 W

Ragusa W

46-38

A12/03

Serie A1 W

Brixia W

#14

32-17

+15

A19/03

Serie A1 W

Faenza W

#11

37-33

H26/03

Serie A1 W

Libertas Moncalieri W

#10

31-32

-1

A06/04

Serie A1 W

Libertas Moncalieri W

#10

34-28

H10/04

Serie A1 W

69.3Avg total

33.7Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.3	37.3	69.5	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.6	34.9	69.5	-0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	29.9	39.6	69.5	-9.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	35.6	69.3	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	29.6	65.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	30.7	40.5	71.3	-9.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	34.0	36.4	70.4	-2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	31.8	26.0	57.8	+5.8	75%	-

This opponent (Libertas Moncalieri W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.4	17.5	32.9	-2.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.4	17.4	32.8	-2.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.5	17.6	33.1	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.9	35.8	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	13.9	20.5	34.4	-6.6	7%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	16.8	15.7	32.4	+1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.8	12.5	29.2	+4.2	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	17.8	35.2	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	17.1	34.9	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	18.5	35.5	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.5	18.5	35.0	-1.9	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	16.7	16.1	32.8	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	18.0	41.5	+5.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.8	16.7	31.5	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.9	17.9	33.7	-2.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	13.7	15.5	29.2	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.7	18.2	32.9	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.0	18.4	30.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	15.2	16.9	32.1	-1.6	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	13.5	16.9	30.4	-3.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	15.2	32.5	+2.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.0	17.5	33.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.2	16.3	31.5	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	18.7	35.6	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.5	18.6	33.1	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.6	34.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	14.2	19.5	33.7	-5.3	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.2	16.1	34.3	+2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.5	14.2	30.8	+2.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	30.2	34.2	64.4	-3.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	31.3	35.3	66.5	-4.0	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	29.2	33.1	62.3	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.6	36.1	68.7	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.4	38.0	69.4	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	29.1	37.4	66.5	-8.2	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	30.2	32.6	62.8	-2.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (4)	34.0	27.8	61.8	+6.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.4	35.3	68.7	-1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	32.9	33.4	66.3	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.9	37.3	71.1	-3.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.3	37.3	70.6	-4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	37.2	74.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	30.7	38.0	68.7	-7.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	34.9	32.2	67.1	+2.7	70%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.0	32.2	72.2	+7.8	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertas Moncalieri W wins

Lucca W wins

Date	Game	Score
10/04/23	Lucca W v Libertas Moncalieri W	73-54
06/04/23	Libertas Moncalieri W v Lucca W	80-59
08/03/23	Lucca W v Libertas Moncalieri W	78-60
06/12/22	Libertas Moncalieri W v Lucca W	79-66
16/01/22	Libertas Moncalieri W v Lucca W	58-77
17/10/21	Lucca W v Libertas Moncalieri W	76-59

Libertas Moncalieri Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/04/23	A	Lucca W	54-73
06/04/23	H	Lucca W	80-59
26/03/23	H	Ragusa W	57-68
19/03/23	A	Campobasso W	49-71
12/03/23	H	Venezia W	66-79
08/03/23	A	Lucca W	60-78
05/03/23	H	Valdarno W	76-81 OT
26/02/23	A	Brixia W	69-64
18/02/23	H	Schio W	66-93
04/02/23	A	Virtus Bologna W	46-69

Lucca Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/04/23	H	Libertas Moncalieri W	73-54
06/04/23	A	Libertas Moncalieri W	59-80
26/03/23	H	Faenza W	68-72
19/03/23	A	Brixia W	77-50
12/03/23	A	Ragusa W	87-78
08/03/23	H	Libertas Moncalieri W	78-60
05/03/23	A	Schio W	51-109
01/03/23	H	Sassari W	78-79
26/02/23	H	San Giovanni W	54-61
19/02/23	A	Venezia W	45-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertas Moncalieri W

Serie A1 W 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	29%
Home	LLLLW	43%
Away	LWLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	29%	43%	14%
Points / game	62.4	66.8	57.9
Allowed / game	70.6	70.3	71.0
Point differential	-8.3	-3.5	-13.1
Avg total	133.0	137.1	128.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	21%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

Lucca W

Serie A1 W 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	29%
Home	LLWLW	36%
Away	LLWWL	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	29%	36%	21%
Points / game	65.6	68.1	63.2
Allowed / game	73.0	69.4	76.6
Point differential	-7.4	-1.4	-13.4
Avg total	138.6	137.5	139.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	36%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (6)	0% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Virtus Bologna W	28	26	2	93%	83.2	62.7	+20.5
2	Schio W	29	26	3	90%	83.7	62.9	+20.7
3	Venezia W	28	24	4	86%	78.0	62.8	+15.1
4	San Giovanni W	28	18	10	64%	67.4	64.9	+2.4
5	Sassari W	28	18	10	64%	73.9	72.1	+1.8
6	Campobasso W	29	15	14	52%	65.7	67.1	-1.5
7	Ragusa W	28	14	14	50%	71.9	69.2	+2.6
8	Basket Crema W	28	12	16	43%	68.8	72.0	-3.2
9	San Martino W	26	11	15	42%	66.1	70.4	-4.3
10	Faenza W	28	8	20	29%	66.8	73.3	-6.5
11	Lucca W	28	8	20	29%	65.6	73.0	-7.4
12	Libertas Moncalieri W	28	8	20	29%	62.4	70.6	-8.3
13	Valdarno W	28	5	23	18%	61.2	78.0	-16.8
14	Brixia W	26	2	24	8%	60.1	77.8	-17.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertas Moncalieri W	11	14	19	17	61
Lucca W	20	30	13	10	73

← all games of the day

Libertas Moncalieri W vs Lucca W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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