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Missouri State vs Louisiana Tech Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 78-79 (OT)
32-36 36-32 10-11
Position#223
Record13-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#131
Record13-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game63.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisiana Tech winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#178
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A23/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
53-41
36-41
37-42
43-48
35-30
44-41
34-41
38-46
36-38
32-30
33-31
51-44
21-31
41-26
33-38
38-42
39-31
35-36
38-42
38-37
155.2Avg total
77.4Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.372.6147.9+2.857%
Season at home (13)79.369.8149.2+9.577%
Season away (10)70.276.1146.3-5.930%
Last 10 (10)77.477.8155.2-0.450%
Last 5 (5)73.471.6145.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.576.8146.4-7.39%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.472.8144.2-1.450%
vs Weaker (4)66.254.2120.5+12.0100%
This opponent (Louisiana Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#151
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A04/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
56-72
56
72
-16
H09/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
70-68 OT
70
68
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H15/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H23/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A29/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A01/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H05/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-37
36-29
27-34
29-38
29-34
34-29
21-40
38-18
27-34
33-30
36-45
46-31
36-27
33-32
32-34
35-49
32-31
31-41
37-38
50-40
137.0Avg total
67.4Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.063.3132.3+5.657%
Season at home (14)75.458.7134.1+16.686%
Season away (9)59.070.6129.6-11.611%
Last 10 (10)67.469.6137.0-2.250%
Last 5 (5)73.673.6147.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)66.572.3138.8-5.831%
vs Weaker (13)72.457.0129.4+15.477%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +2.8+2.8
Missouri StateLouisiana Tech
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#178
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/02
NCAA
72.4Avg total
35.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.232.767.9+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.631.270.8+8.469%-
Last 30 away (14)30.134.564.6-4.421%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.572.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.667.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.936.768.6-4.89%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.232.267.4+3.167%-
vs Weaker (4)31.823.855.5+8.075%-
This opponent (Louisiana Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#151
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H09/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H10/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H15/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H23/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A29/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A01/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/02
NCAA
65.6Avg total
30.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.330.461.8+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.328.863.1+5.565%-
Last 30 away (13)27.532.560.0-5.123%-
Last 10 (10)30.235.465.6-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.069.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)28.935.063.9-6.125%-
vs Weaker (13)33.025.558.5+7.569%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri State wins
0
Louisiana Tech wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ALiberty76-79
31/01/26HJacksonville State74-67
29/01/26HSam Houston St.71-80
24/01/26AUTEP62-57
23/01/26ANew Mexico State84-75
17/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.87-90 OT
15/01/26AWestern Kentucky72-87
10/01/26HFlorida International79-71
08/01/26AKennesaw State80-90
04/01/26HNew Mexico State89-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HSam Houston St.87-78
05/02/26HNew Mexico State63-72
01/02/26ASam Houston St.67-83
29/01/26AUTEP69-59
23/01/26HKennesaw State82-76
17/01/26AJacksonville State60-64
15/01/26HMiddle Tenn. St.59-58
10/01/26HDelaware70-68 OT
09/01/26HLiberty56-72
04/01/26AWestern Kentucky61-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWWWLW77%
AwayLLWWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %57%77%30%
Points / game75.379.370.2
Allowed / game72.669.876.1
Point differential+2.8+9.5-5.9
Avg total147.9149.2146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%31%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%10%
Louisiana Tech
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %57%86%11%
Points / game69.075.459.0
Allowed / game63.358.770.6
Point differential+5.6+16.6-11.6
Avg total132.3134.1129.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2421388%79.267.9+11.3
2 Sam Houston St.2416867%83.073.8+9.2
3 Kennesaw State24141058%85.476.6+8.8
4 Louisiana Tech23131057%69.063.3+5.6
5 Missouri State23131057%75.372.6+2.8
6 Jacksonville State24131154%72.866.4+6.4
7 Western Kentucky24131154%77.374.4+2.9
8 New Mexico State24121250%75.871.1+4.7
9 Middle Tenn. St.24121250%75.272.5+2.7
10 Florida International24111346%81.878.3+3.4
11 UTEP25101540%70.071.8-1.8
12 Delaware2481633%66.572.0-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Missouri State32361078
Louisiana Tech36321179
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