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Jacksonville State vs Liberty Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 78-81
0-0 34-27 0-0 44-54
Position#228
Record14-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Liberty 🏆
USA
Position#26
Record23-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jacksonville State v Liberty
21 Jan 2027
JACK v LIBE
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
JACK78
LIBE81
01 Feb 2025
JACK72
LIBE61
27 Jan 2024
JACK73
LIBE62
18 Feb 2023
JACK55
LIBE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jacksonville State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H24/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A31/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H08/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H12/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
80-70 OT
80
70
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-34
0-0
36-24
0-0
24-32
0-0
54-42
0-0
31-39
0-0
36-35
0-0
33-28
0-0
38-38
0-0
37-22
0-0
40-36
0-0
33-33
0-0
31-36
0-0
29-32
0-0
41-47
0-0
20-39
0-0
51-38
0-0
26-36
0-0
52-46
0-0
25-25
0-0
36-36
143.8Avg total
73.1Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.067.9140.9+5.150%
Season at home (17)73.263.1136.3+10.259%
Season away (11)72.775.4148.1-2.636%
Last 10 (10)73.170.7143.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)72.675.4148.0-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.065.5127.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)70.971.1142.0-0.244%
vs Weaker (8)80.064.6144.6+15.450%
This opponent (Liberty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#151
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A22/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H24/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A30/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A05/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A12/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A27/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-32
0-0
41-37
0-0
34-28
0-0
33-23
0-0
43-29
0-0
38-36
0-0
29-30
0-0
46-39
0-0
42-38
0-0
37-38
0-0
30-32
0-0
47-43
0-0
28-26
0-0
45-38
0-0
41-40
0-0
39-40
0-0
37-48
0-0
36-46
0-0
29-32
0-0
36-42
148.2Avg total
75.6Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.669.6148.2+9.082%
Season at home (15)83.467.8151.2+15.687%
Season away (13)73.171.8144.8+1.377%
Last 10 (10)75.672.6148.2+3.080%
Last 5 (5)75.679.2154.8-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.870.7142.5+1.170%
vs Weaker (20)80.769.5150.2+11.285%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
Jacksonville StateLiberty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A29/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H08/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H12/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A19/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H27/02
NCAA
61.7Avg total
29.7Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.931.163.9+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.628.061.6+5.665%-
Last 30 away (13)31.835.166.9-3.223%-
Last 10 (10)29.732.061.7-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)26.633.059.6-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.034.560.5-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)31.631.863.4-0.344%-
vs Weaker (8)36.129.265.4+6.950%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#151
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A22/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H24/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A30/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A12/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A14/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A27/02
NCAA
68.3Avg total
34.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.332.469.7+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.131.373.4+10.888%-
Last 30 away (14)31.733.665.4-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)34.833.568.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.035.668.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.933.567.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker (20)39.031.970.8+7.180%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jacksonville State wins
5
Liberty wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HDelaware80-70 OT
21/02/26ASam Houston St.78-82
19/02/26ALouisiana Tech71-77
14/02/26HNew Mexico State70-79
12/02/26HUTEP64-69
08/02/26HKennesaw State77-58
06/02/26AWestern Kentucky71-66
31/01/26AMissouri State67-74
29/01/26AFlorida International78-74
24/01/26HMiddle Tenn. St.75-58
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26AKennesaw State65-74
21/02/26HWestern Kentucky73-94
19/02/26HFlorida International90-89 OT
14/02/26AUTEP73-64
12/02/26ANew Mexico State77-75
07/02/26HMissouri State79-76
05/02/26ADelaware75-69
30/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.81-65
24/01/26HDelaware67-51
22/01/26AWestern Kentucky76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jacksonville State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWWLLW59%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %50%59%36%
Points / game73.073.272.7
Allowed / game67.963.175.4
Point differential+5.1+10.2-2.6
Avg total140.9136.3148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%41%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Liberty
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL82%
HomeWWWWL87%
AwayWWWWL77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %82%87%77%
Points / game78.683.473.1
Allowed / game69.667.871.8
Point differential+9.0+15.6+1.3
Avg total148.2151.2144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%53%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2823582%78.669.6+9.0
2 Sam Houston St.2921872%83.474.0+9.5
3 Kennesaw State29181162%84.276.2+8.0
4 Western Kentucky29181162%79.674.5+5.1
5 Louisiana Tech29161355%69.365.3+3.9
6 Middle Tenn. St.29151452%75.873.1+2.7
7 Jacksonville State28141450%73.067.9+5.1
8 New Mexico State28141450%75.772.1+3.6
9 Florida International29141548%81.078.5+2.5
10 Missouri State29131645%75.373.9+1.4
11 UTEP29101934%69.372.7-3.4
12 Delaware2992031%68.273.5-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jacksonville State03404478
Liberty02705481
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