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Liberty vs Miss. Valley St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 89-52
40-16 49-36
Position#19
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game58.2
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#370
Record2-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game53.1
Allowed / game82.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Liberty v Miss. Valley St.
07 Dec 2024
LIBE89
MISS52
05 Dec 2023
LIBE74
MISS39
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miss. Valley St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#185
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H14/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H04/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Carolina University
#613
W
81-45
81
45
+36
H13/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
H16/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
W
68-47
68
47
+21
A17/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A25/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H26/11
NCAA
Central Penn
#644
W
93-36
93
36
+57
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-31
27-35
42-32
41-31
27-27
39-37
41-20
40-25
42-39
25-28
29-29
39-18
45-32
44-37
32-29
35-36
29-29
33-29
45-21
48-15
133.0Avg total
74.0Scored
59.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.958.2134.1+17.789%
Season at home (6)80.358.0138.3+22.383%
Season away (3)67.058.7125.7+8.3100%
Last 10 (10)74.059.0133.0+15.080%
Last 5 (5)75.855.0130.8+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)68.275.0143.2-6.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)74.361.9136.2+12.462%
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#253
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
44-83
44
83
-39
A05/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#495
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
39-111
39
111
-72
A15/11
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
43-89
43
89
-46
A16/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A20/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
43-87
43
87
-44
A24/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
48-94
48
94
-46
A27/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
48-81
48
81
-33
A30/11
NCAA
Oakwood Ambassadors
#486
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-30
39-38
21-44
23-39
39-17
27-32
19-51
20-60
23-33
20-56
23-25
33-49
27-55
16-32
21-50
27-44
21-43
27-38
40-33
51-38
135.2Avg total
54.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)53.182.1135.2-29.022%
Season at home (2)78.560.0138.5+18.5100%
Season away (7)45.988.4134.3-42.60%
Last 10 (10)54.580.7135.2-26.220%
Last 5 (5)57.281.4138.6-24.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)55.578.7134.1-23.24%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)78.560.0138.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: -11.9-11.92nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: -14.3-14.3
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: -11.9-11.92nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: -14.3-14.3
LibertyMiss. Valley St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#185
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H14/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H04/11
NCAA
Seattle
#252
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A10/11
NCAA
Carolina University
#613
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H13/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A17/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A25/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H26/11
NCAA
Central Penn
#644
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/11
NCAA
65.1Avg total
36.2Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.331.266.5+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.629.866.3+6.867%-
Last 30 away (12)33.333.366.7+0.042%-
Last 10 (10)36.228.965.1+7.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.028.064.0+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)30.733.764.3-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)36.430.667.0+5.862%-
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#253
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A09/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
21-44
21
44
-23
A05/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#495
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H08/11
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
19-51
19
51
-32
A15/11
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A16/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A20/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A24/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A27/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A30/11
NCAA
Oakwood Ambassadors
#486
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/12
NCAA
64.3Avg total
26.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)26.936.563.4-9.623%-
Last 30 at home (11)31.032.563.5-1.545%-
Last 30 away (19)24.538.763.3-14.211%-
Last 10 (10)26.238.164.3-11.920%-
Last 5 (5)26.441.267.6-14.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)26.037.363.3-11.318%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)39.525.064.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Liberty wins
0
Miss. Valley St. wins
DateGameScore
06/12/23Liberty v Miss. Valley St.74-39
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24HCentral Penn93-36
26/11/24HMcNeese State62-58
25/11/24AKansas State67-65
22/11/24HLouisiana Lafayette89-69
17/11/24ACharleston68-47
16/11/24HFlorida Atlantic74-77 OT
13/11/24HCarolina University81-45
10/11/24ASeattle66-64
04/11/24HValparaiso83-63
14/03/24HUTEP57-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24HOakwood Ambassadors91-71
30/11/24AUC Santa Barbara48-81
27/11/24AUtah Utes48-94
24/11/24ABrigham Young43-87
20/11/24AKansas State56-74
16/11/24ATexas43-89
15/11/24AMissouri39-111
08/11/24HMUW Owls66-49
05/11/24AIowa State44-83
09/03/24AJackson State67-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%83%100%
Points / game75.980.367.0
Allowed / game58.258.058.7
Point differential+17.7+22.3+8.3
Avg total134.1138.3125.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %11%17%0%
Miss. Valley St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW22%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %22%100%0%
Points / game53.178.545.9
Allowed / game82.160.088.4
Point differential-29.0+18.5-42.6
Avg total135.2138.5134.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty98189%75.958.2+17.7
2 Louisiana Tech97278%79.969.3+10.6
3 UTEP86275%75.865.4+10.4
4 Middle Tenn. St.107370%82.871.3+11.5
5 Kennesaw State107370%80.371.3+9.0
6 Jacksonville State85362%80.266.4+13.9
7 Western Kentucky85362%80.274.8+5.5
8 Missouri State85362%77.073.2+3.8
9 Delaware95456%78.277.8+0.4
10 Sam Houston St.105550%78.678.8-0.2
11 New Mexico State83538%71.171.1+0.0
12 Florida International93633%73.970.1+3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Univ.84450%83.869.9+13.9
2 Alabama A&M Bulldogs94544%79.777.8+1.9
3 Florida A&M83538%76.181.2-5.1
4 Alabama State93633%76.781.0-4.3
5 Grambling St.82625%70.472.1-1.8
6 Bethune-Cookman82625%65.675.9-10.2
7 Texas Southern92722%72.882.7-9.9
8 Miss. Valley St.92722%53.182.1-29.0
9 Prairie View A&M81712%80.198.5-18.4
10 Arkansas-Pine Bluff91811%70.895.4-24.7
11 Jackson State9090%61.485.4-24.0
12 Alcorn State100100%54.981.2-26.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty404989
Miss. Valley St.163652
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