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Liberty vs UT Arlington Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-56
39-22 40-34
Position#19
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game58.3
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#277
Record6-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Carolina University
#613
W
81-45
81
45
+36
H13/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
H16/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
W
68-47
68
47
+21
A17/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A25/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H26/11
NCAA
Central Penn
#644
W
93-36
93
36
+57
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
89-52
89
52
+37
H08/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H15/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
124-50
124
50
+74
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-20
40-25
42-39
25-28
29-29
39-18
45-32
44-37
32-29
35-36
29-29
33-29
45-21
48-15
40-16
49-36
39-37
44-37
59-20
65-30
140.3Avg total
83.0Scored
57.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.658.3139.9+23.292%
Season at home (9)86.458.2144.7+28.289%
Season away (3)67.058.7125.7+8.3100%
Last 10 (10)83.057.3140.3+25.790%
Last 5 (5)90.254.0144.2+36.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)70.669.8140.4+0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)76.162.9139.0+13.264%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#215
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A14/11
NCAA
Texas College
#446
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H16/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A20/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A26/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A27/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H28/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A03/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A13/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-51
53-47
50-27
45-42
37-34
31-44
30-44
36-35
30-32
38-26
41-44
37-39
34-30
50-40
39-35
40-48
45-30
32-38
44-24
36-30
153.0Avg total
79.0Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.873.9153.7+5.850%
Season at home (6)82.870.2153.0+12.767%
Season away (6)76.777.7154.3-1.033%
Last 10 (10)79.074.0153.0+5.050%
Last 5 (5)79.671.6151.2+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)72.882.8155.5-10.00%
vs Similar (14)78.173.1151.3+5.057%
vs Weaker (11)83.669.5153.2+14.191%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.9+12.91st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +13.1+13.12nd half: +0.9+0.9
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.9+12.91st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +13.1+13.12nd half: +0.9+0.9
LibertyUT Arlington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Carolina University
#613
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H13/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A17/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A25/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H26/11
NCAA
Central Penn
#644
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
40-16
40
16
+24
H08/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H15/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
59-20
59
20
+39
H18/12
NCAA
67.3Avg total
40.1Scored
27.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.730.466.1+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.728.866.5+8.974%-
Last 30 away (11)32.233.365.5-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.127.267.3+12.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.424.667.0+17.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.430.862.2+0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)36.630.466.9+6.264%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#215
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/11
NCAA
Texas College
#446
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A20/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A03/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H14/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H19/12
NCAA
74.3Avg total
39.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.432.971.3+5.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.732.371.9+7.467%-
Last 30 away (15)37.133.670.7+3.560%-
Last 10 (10)39.235.174.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.632.673.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.838.073.8-2.250%-
vs Similar (14)36.933.470.2+3.557%-
vs Weaker (11)40.331.171.4+9.273%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liberty wins
0
UT Arlington wins
No previous meetings.
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HSt. Andrews124-50
15/12/24HN. Carolina A&T83-74
08/12/24HMiss. Valley St.89-52
29/11/24HCentral Penn93-36
26/11/24HMcNeese State62-58
25/11/24AKansas State67-65
22/11/24HLouisiana Lafayette89-69
17/11/24ACharleston68-47
16/11/24HFlorida Atlantic74-77 OT
13/11/24HCarolina University81-45
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24HEvansville80-54
14/12/24HLouisiana Monroe77-68
13/12/24AArkansas State79-83
03/12/24ALouisiana Monroe84-70
28/11/24HRhode Island78-83
27/11/24AAustin Peay68-58
26/11/24AMurray State66-79
20/11/24AMissouri State68-78
16/11/24HTexas College95-69
14/11/24AUSC95-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %92%89%100%
Points / game81.686.467.0
Allowed / game58.358.258.7
Point differential+23.2+28.2+8.3
Avg total139.9144.7125.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%11%0%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game79.882.876.7
Allowed / game73.970.277.7
Point differential+5.8+12.7-1.0
Avg total153.7153.0154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1211192%81.658.3+23.2
2 Louisiana Tech1210283%78.267.6+10.7
3 Middle Tenn. St.129375%80.870.2+10.7
4 UTEP118373%74.065.7+8.3
5 Western Kentucky118373%81.273.4+7.8
6 Kennesaw State117464%79.773.4+6.4
7 Delaware127558%78.274.8+3.3
8 Jacksonville State116555%78.068.7+9.3
9 Missouri State116555%75.673.3+2.4
10 New Mexico State126650%73.771.8+1.8
11 Sam Houston St.126650%78.779.3-0.7
12 Florida International114736%73.670.7+2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah138562%77.272.2+4.9
2 Abilene Christian127558%76.871.2+5.6
3 UT Arlington126650%79.873.9+5.8
4 Utah Valley State126650%73.870.7+3.1
5 California Baptist115645%76.276.9-0.7
6 Utah Tech1441029%71.676.6-5.0
7 Tarleton1331023%61.673.0-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty394079
UT Arlington223456
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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