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Arkansas State vs UT Arlington Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 83-79
35-39 48-40
Position#54
Record7-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#277
Record4-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Arkansas State v UT Arlington
02 Dec 2025
ARKA83
UT A63
12 Dec 2024
ARKA83
UT A79
20 Jan 2022
ARKA75
UT A70
30 Jan 2021
ARKA64
UT A65
29 Jan 2021
ARKA83
UT A75
02 Jan 2020
ARKA52
UT A73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#21
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A09/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H13/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Lane College
#570
W
103-60
103
60
+43
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A29/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H01/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-30
32-42
40-43
39-45
33-27
47-36
30-24
29-25
54-24
49-36
46-35
40-46
33-34
34-41
29-29
37-39
37-31
29-33
42-29
43-43
146.6Avg total
77.1Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.169.5146.6+7.670%
Season at home (7)74.464.9139.3+9.671%
Season away (3)83.380.3163.7+3.067%
Last 10 (10)77.169.5146.6+7.670%
Last 5 (5)74.072.0146.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.677.4153.0-1.957%
vs Similar (11)80.274.7154.9+5.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)74.668.6143.2+6.070%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#10
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A17/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#213
W
90-55
90
55
+35
H04/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#215
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A14/11
NCAA
Texas College
#446
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H16/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A20/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A26/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A27/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H28/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
42-53
48-25
42-30
37-51
40-41
42-51
53-47
50-27
45-42
37-34
31-44
30-44
36-35
30-32
38-26
41-44
37-39
34-30
50-40
156.6Avg total
79.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.175.8155.9+4.344%
Season at home (4)85.074.8159.8+10.250%
Season away (5)76.276.6152.8-0.440%
Last 10 (10)79.577.1156.6+2.440%
Last 5 (5)72.873.6146.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)70.782.7153.3-12.00%
vs Similar (17)78.074.3152.3+3.753%
vs Weaker (9)84.871.4156.2+13.389%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +1.7+1.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +1.7+1.7
Arkansas StateUT Arlington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#21
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A09/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H13/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H16/11
NCAA
Lane College
#570
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A29/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A08/12
NCAA
69.0Avg total
38.4Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.633.572.1+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.732.872.5+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)37.434.471.7+3.064%-
Last 10 (10)38.430.669.0+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.431.669.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.136.771.9-1.643%-
vs Similar (11)39.335.775.0+3.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.629.768.3+8.980%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#213
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H04/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#215
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/11
NCAA
Texas College
#446
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A20/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A03/12
NCAA
75.5Avg total
38.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.633.370.8+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.932.171.1+6.864%-
Last 30 away (16)36.434.270.6+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.475.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.871.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.739.073.7-4.333%-
vs Similar (17)36.433.369.7+3.153%-
vs Weaker (9)39.332.071.3+7.367%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Arkansas State wins
5
UT Arlington wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24AMemphis85-72
06/12/24HJackson State66-64
01/12/24HHofstra66-68
01/12/24HRice67-75
29/11/24AIndiana State86-81
23/11/24HLane College103-60
16/11/24HStephen F. Austin59-49
13/11/24HUALR80-63
09/11/24AAlabama79-88
05/11/24HAkron80-75 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24ALouisiana Monroe84-70
28/11/24HRhode Island78-83
27/11/24AAustin Peay68-58
26/11/24AMurray State66-79
20/11/24AMissouri State68-78
16/11/24HTexas College95-69
14/11/24AUSC95-98
09/11/24HLouisiana Tech77-92
04/11/24HNorth Texas-Dallas90-55
17/03/24AGrand Canyon74-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW70%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %70%71%67%
Points / game77.174.483.3
Allowed / game69.564.980.3
Point differential+7.6+9.6+3.0
Avg total146.6139.3163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%14%0%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game80.185.076.2
Allowed / game75.874.876.6
Point differential+4.3+10.2-0.4
Avg total155.9159.8152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State107370%76.665.5+11.1
2 Arkansas State107370%77.169.5+7.6
3 Appalachian State96367%72.864.3+8.4
4 South Alabama96367%73.466.1+7.3
5 James Madison106460%76.768.7+8.0
6 Georgia Southern106460%75.778.5-2.8
7 Troy95456%70.769.7+1.0
8 Marshall105550%76.773.8+2.9
9 Coastal Carolina105550%68.566.7+1.8
10 Georgia State94544%75.678.1-2.6
11 Southern Miss94544%75.478.7-3.2
12 Louisiana Monroe114736%73.571.1+2.4
13 Old Dominion103730%67.678.1-10.5
14 Louisiana Lafayette102820%68.478.5-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah118373%78.371.7+6.5
2 Abilene Christian106460%76.172.4+3.7
3 Utah Valley State105550%74.972.2+2.7
4 California Baptist105550%77.477.1+0.3
5 UT Arlington94544%80.175.8+4.3
6 Tarleton113827%61.674.2-12.5
7 Utah Tech112918%67.276.9-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State354883
UT Arlington394079
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