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Liege W vs Donza W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:15
Projected 70-71
Projected total 140.6
Final 77-59
24-14 19-17 13-20 21-8
Position#6
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game70.0
Liege W 🏆
Belgium
Vs
46%
54%
■ LIEG 46%■ DONZ 54%
Pythia win probability
Donza W
Belgium
Position#9
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game74.2
BelgiumTop Division Women· Salle du Bois Saint-Jean
Women2026-27
Meetings · Liege W v Donza W
31 Oct 2026
LIEG77
DONZ59
31 Jan 2026
LIEG69
DONZ79
07 Dec 2024
LIEG61
DONZ72
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Liege W host Donza W in the Top Division Women. Pythia makes Donza W the favourite at 54% and projects 70-71, about 141 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Liege W are 2-3 this season (65.8 scored, 70.0 allowed a game), form LLWWL; Donza W are 1-3 this season (72.2 scored, 74.2 allowed a game), form LLWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liege W winWon
46.3%fair 2.16
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donza W winLost
53.7%fair 1.86
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Liege WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Charleroi W
#11
W
81-46
81
46
+35
75avg 58
H28/02
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
53-43
53
43
+10
48avg 58
H28/03
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
74avg 58
A04/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
50-66
50
66
-16
43avg 58
H10/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
39-96
39
96
-57
18avg 58
A12/04
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
L
53-58
53
58
-5
39avg 58
A27/09
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
50-92
50
92
-42
36avg 58
A03/10
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#8
W
68-50
68
50
+18
63avg 58
A11/10
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
89-54
89
54
+35
97avg 58
H16/10
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
55avg 58
A24/10
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
26-9
17-12
18-7
11-10
14-8
13-9
15-16
18-23
19-13
11-17
25-20
11-15
9-19
18-12
12-20
6-30
7-22
13-23
13-21
8-10
16-20
15-12
14-16
11-24
20-21
10-27
9-20
12-13
17-13
19-18
20-6
22-11
22-7
27-16
18-20
13-22
10-26
22-23
24-25
132.9Avg total
64.1Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)65.870.0135.8-4.240%
Season at home (1)89.054.0143.0+35.0100%
Season away (4)60.074.0134.0-14.025%
Last 10 (10)64.168.8132.9-4.750%
Last 5 (5)65.870.0135.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)56.678.7135.3-22.18%
vs Similar (4)75.578.8154.2-3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)74.653.5128.1+21.292%
This opponent (Donza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donza WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
73-63
73
63
+10
69avg 56
H28/03
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
41avg 56
A04/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
63-60
63
60
+3
57avg 56
H10/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
72-57
72
57
+15
64avg 56
A12/04
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
59-98
59
98
-39
43avg 56
H16/04
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
44-98
44
98
-54
25avg 56
A19/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#7
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 56
H26/09
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#10
W
85-60
85
60
+25
76avg 56
A03/10
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#5
L
69-72
69
72
-3
59avg 56
H10/10
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
68-96
68
96
-28
52avg 56
A18/10
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
19-18
20-12
19-9
19-22
13-19
12-16
18-14
12-17
14-11
20-12
17-20
13-11
16-9
29-18
14-19
19-24
11-32
18-18
11-24
18-25
7-30
13-23
6-20
16-16
17-21
19-24
15-8
24-12
18-12
17-22
26-14
18-18
16-22
13-14
22-18
16-30
18-19
21-27
13-20
140.6Avg total
66.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.274.2146.5-2.025%
Season at home (2)68.070.5138.5-2.50%
Season away (2)76.578.0154.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)66.274.4140.6-8.240%
Last 5 (5)66.679.0145.6-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)63.482.5145.9-19.121%
vs Similar (5)75.075.4150.4-0.440%
vs Weaker (11)79.058.5137.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Liege W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 136.5Actual: Under 136.5
Over 136.5
59.1%
Under 136.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 141.5Actual: Under 141.5
Over 141.5
47.1%
Under 141.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 146.5Actual: Under 146.5
Over 146.5
35.3%
Under 146.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Liege W total 69Actual: Liege W over 69
Over 69
52.8%
Under 69
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liege W total 73Actual: Liege W over 73
Over 73
37.0%
Under 73
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liege W total 77Push
Over 77
23.2%
Under 77
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Donza W total 64.5Actual: Donza W under 64.5
Over 64.5
73.0%
Under 64.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Donza W total 68.5Actual: Donza W under 68.5
Over 68.5
58.7%
Under 68.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Donza W total 72.5Actual: Donza W under 72.5
Over 72.5
43.3%
Under 72.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Liege W -3Actual: Liege W -3
LIEG -3
37.2%
DONZ +3
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
LIEG
No market prices yet.
DONZ
No market prices yet.
Spread Liege W 0Actual: Liege W 0
LIEG 0
46.3%
DONZ 0
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
LIEG
No market prices yet.
DONZ
No market prices yet.
Spread Liege W +3Actual: Liege W +3
LIEG +3
55.4%
DONZ -3
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
LIEG
No market prices yet.
DONZ
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
Liege WDonza W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Liege WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleroi W
#11
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H28/02
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
25-18
25
18
+7
H28/03
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A04/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
20-34
20
34
-14
H10/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
13-52
13
52
-39
A12/04
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A27/09
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A03/10
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#8
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A11/10
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#11
W
44-18
44
18
+26
H16/10
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A24/10
Top Division Women
62.6Avg total
29.2Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)32.233.665.8-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.329.865.1+5.562%-
Last 30 away (15)29.536.966.4-7.540%-
Last 10 (10)29.233.462.6-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)30.233.463.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)26.438.965.3-12.515%-
vs Similar (3)37.338.375.7-1.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.226.763.8+10.583%-
This opponent (Donza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H28/03
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A04/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H10/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A12/04
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
30-56
30
56
-26
H16/04
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
25-55
25
55
-30
A19/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H26/09
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#10
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A03/10
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H10/10
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A18/10
Top Division Women
71.1Avg total
31.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.237.272.4-2.045%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.237.973.1-2.636%-
Last 30 away (15)35.236.571.7-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)31.939.271.1-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)33.641.074.6-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.444.876.1-13.47%-
vs Similar (4)36.835.071.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker (11)39.528.367.8+11.391%-
This opponent (Liege W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Liege Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege W: 63.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀70%
🏀🏀🏀12%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 70% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers7.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.0 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.322.4
47.4%
46.8%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.12.5
16.6%
31.5%7.5
🏀 Free throws17.311.3
65.3%
71.8%11.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donza W: 66.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.0 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.218.8
45.6%
46.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.55.9
26.2%
31.5%17.7
🏀 Free throws15.010.9
72.7%
71.8%10.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Liege W
LWWLLLLWWW
Donza W
LLWLLLWWLW
#6
League position
#9
-11.3
Net rating
-14.4
66.3
Offensive rating
70.8
77.6
Defensive rating
85.2
41.9%
Effective FG%
43.4%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
21.0%
Turnover %
18.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
16.6%
3-point %
26.2%
57.8%
Assist %
52.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence66.3 · 70.8Defence77.6 · 85.2Shooting41.9% · 43.4%3-point %16.6% · 26.2%Ball care21.0% · 18.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Liege W   ■ Donza W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Liege W wins
4
Donza W wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Liege W v Donza W69-79
04/10/25Donza W v Liege W78-67
22/03/25Donza W v Liege W81-59
07/12/24Liege W v Donza W61-72
Liege Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ABraine W69-96
16/10/26HLummen W89-54
11/10/26ASpirou Basket W68-50
03/10/26AMechelen W50-92
27/09/26APhantoms W53-58
12/04/26ANamur W39-96
10/04/26HNamur W50-66
04/04/26APhantoms W89-87 OT
28/03/26HSpirou Basket W53-43
28/02/26HCharleroi W81-46
Donza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26AMechelen W68-96
10/10/26HKortrijk W69-72
03/10/26AWaregem W85-60
26/09/26HJeugd Gentson W67-69
19/04/26AMechelen W44-98
16/04/26HMechelen W59-98
12/04/26AKortrijk W72-57
10/04/26HKortrijk W63-60
04/04/26ABraine W62-71
28/03/26HJeugd Gentson W73-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liege W
Top Division Women 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game65.889.060.0
Allowed / game70.054.074.0
Point differential-4.2+35.0-14.0
Avg total135.8143.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donza W
Top Division Women 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game72.268.076.5
Allowed / game74.270.578.0
Point differential-2.0-2.5-1.5
Avg total146.5138.5154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W330100%92.760.7+32.0
2 Braine W550100%88.673.2+15.4
3 Kortrijk W54180%86.263.0+23.2
4 Namur W43175%93.557.8+35.8
5 Phantoms W43175%74.065.2+8.8
6 Jeugd Gentson W42250%77.081.5-4.5
7 Liege W52340%65.870.0-4.2
8 Donza W41325%72.274.2-2.0
9 Waregem W5050%63.487.8-24.4
10 Spirou Basket W3030%46.086.0-40.0
11 Lummen W4040%51.095.5-44.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liege W2419132177
Donza W141720859
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