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Lietkabelis vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-85
21-26 15-23 23-19 20-17
Position#16
Record2-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#12
Record4-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game81.3
EuropeEurocupRound 11· Kalnapilio arena
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
74-78
74
78
-4
62avg 77
A04/11
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
89-80
89
80
+9
91avg 77
A08/11
LKL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
74-100
74
100
-26
64avg 77
H12/11
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
96-85
96
85
+11
95avg 77
A16/11
LKL
Panionios
#19
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 77
A19/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
70avg 77
H23/11
LKL
London Lions
#17
L
61-74
61
74
-13
48avg 77
H04/12
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
80-86
80
86
-6
71avg 77
H06/12
LKL
Besiktas
#2
L
85-94 OT
85
94
-9
73avg 77
A09/12
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
84-73
84
73
+11
76avg 77
A13/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
16-20
27-20
16-16
21-19
20-24
25-14
23-23
21-27
21-26
16-22
16-25
25-20
18-28
27-20
26-17
16-12
19-19
20-21
24-20
18-20
19-15
22-27
18-19
17-16
10-20
22-25
12-13
21-22
16-27
16-17
27-20
19-27
19-20
27-17
15-16
20-17
18-17
23-20
23-19
162.2Avg total
79.9Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.587.2164.7-9.720%
Season at home (5)81.089.8170.8-8.820%
Season away (5)74.084.6158.6-10.620%
Last 10 (10)79.982.3162.2-2.440%
Last 5 (5)77.481.6159.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.885.4165.2-5.640%
vs Similar (5)79.888.2168.0-8.40%
vs Weaker (10)89.879.5169.3+10.380%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
93-75
93
75
+18
94avg 76
H01/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 76
A04/11
Eurocup
Jena
#16
L
72-85
72
85
-13
69avg 76
A08/11
BBL
Buducnost
#6
L
71-84
71
84
-13
57avg 76
H12/11
Eurocup
Trento
#8
W
105-94
105
94
+11
101avg 76
A18/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 76
H23/11
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
63-87
63
87
-24
49avg 76
H04/12
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
81avg 76
A06/12
BBL
Panionios
#19
W
73-68
73
68
+5
66avg 76
H09/12
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
67-86
67
86
-19
56avg 76
H12/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
27-20
23-16
23-15
18-16
23-20
24-22
17-27
24-8
17-28
16-20
15-29
19-21
20-16
17-19
15-28
19-20
34-17
23-26
29-31
28-19
20-25
24-23
13-22
14-20
24-25
10-20
15-22
21-20
17-22
15-17
20-14
20-18
17-22
16-24
20-4
13-27
19-15
10-23
25-21
163.2Avg total
79.3Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.081.3162.3-0.340%
Season at home (6)74.875.3150.2-0.550%
Season away (4)90.290.2180.5+0.025%
Last 10 (10)79.383.9163.2-4.630%
Last 5 (5)74.083.2157.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.992.3174.2-10.411%
vs Similar (12)90.289.4179.7+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.076.6158.6+5.462%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
LietkabelisChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A04/11
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A08/11
LKL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H12/11
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A16/11
LKL
Panionios
#19
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A19/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H23/11
LKL
London Lions
#17
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H04/12
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H06/12
LKL
Besiktas
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/12
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A13/12
LKL
78.7Avg total
36.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.882.3-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.942.184.0-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)37.243.580.7-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)36.941.878.7-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.275.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.144.382.3-6.233%-
vs Similar (5)37.446.283.6-8.820%-
vs Weaker (10)42.938.881.7+4.150%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H01/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A04/11
Eurocup
Jena
#16
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A08/11
BBL
Buducnost
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/11
Eurocup
Trento
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A18/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H23/11
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H04/12
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/12
BBL
Panionios
#19
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H09/12
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H12/12
BBL
81.7Avg total
41.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.484.9+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.641.784.2+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)42.443.285.6-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.381.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.681.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.045.785.7-5.744%-
vs Similar (12)44.143.887.9+0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.237.680.9+5.675%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.1
51.0%
54.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.5
33.9%
34.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.716.0
77.3%
75.2%16.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.616.3
55.1%
54.5%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.510.0
29.9%
34.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.515.9
74.0%
75.2%15.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLLLLWWLWL
Chemnitz
LWLLLWLLLW
#16
League position
#12
-4.1
Net rating
-5.8
107.6
Offensive rating
103.4
111.7
Defensive rating
109.2
51.0%
Effective FG%
49.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
20.6%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.9%
3-point %
29.9%
57.6%
Assist %
68.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 103.4Defence111.7 · 109.2Shooting51.0% · 49.6%3-point %33.9% · 29.9%Ball care17.4% · 20.6%Off. rebounds28.8% · 32.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lietkabelis wins
1
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
08/10/25Chemnitz v Lietkabelis86-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ARytas84-73
09/12/25ABesiktas85-94 OT
06/12/25HSiauliai80-86
04/12/25HLondon Lions61-74
23/11/25HZalgiris Kaunas77-81
19/11/25APanionios79-72
16/11/25AJonava96-85
12/11/25HTurk Telekom74-100
08/11/25AGargzdai89-80
04/11/25ATrento74-78
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25HWurzburg67-86
09/12/25HPanionios73-68
06/12/25ABonn82-86 OT
04/12/25HTurk Telekom63-87
23/11/25HAlba Berlin85-89
18/11/25ATrento105-94
12/11/25HBuducnost71-84
08/11/25AJena72-85
04/11/25AJL Bourg82-85
01/11/25HBasketball Braunschweig93-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game77.581.074.0
Allowed / game87.289.884.6
Point differential-9.7-8.8-10.6
Avg total164.7170.8158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Chemnitz
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game81.074.890.2
Allowed / game81.375.390.2
Point differential-0.3-0.5+0.0
Avg total162.3150.2180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem108280%95.283.6+11.6
2 Besiktas108280%92.682.2+10.4
3 JL Bourg108280%80.071.7+8.3
4 Turk Telekom107370%87.474.3+13.1
5 Buducnost107370%87.777.1+10.6
6 Cedevita Olimpija107370%89.179.6+9.5
7 Bahcesehir Kol.107370%89.882.9+6.9
8 Cluj-Napoca105550%94.492.4+2.0
9 Manresa105550%86.185.3+0.8
10 Neptunas105550%93.093.2-0.2
11 Aris105550%82.986.1-3.2
12 Trento105550%82.386.5-4.2
13 Chemnitz104640%81.081.3-0.3
14 Venezia104640%85.487.1-1.7
15 London Lions104640%75.279.8-4.6
16 Slask Wroclaw104640%84.291.0-6.8
17 Ulm104640%83.694.3-10.7
18 Lietkabelis102820%77.587.2-9.7
19 Panionios101910%75.388.2-12.9
20 Hamburg100100%76.795.6-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2115232079
Chemnitz2623191785
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