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Chemnitz vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 67-86
13-27 19-15 10-23 25-21
Position#11
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#5
Record6-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game79.7
GermanyBBLRound 10· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Chemnitz v Wurzburg
05 May 2027
CHE v WUR
upcoming
12 Dec 2025
CHE67
WUR86
30 Nov 2024
CHE81
WUR77
12 May 2024
CHE79
WUR66
22 Oct 2022
CHE81
WUR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Ulm
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
86avg 76
H29/10
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
93-75
93
75
+18
94avg 76
H01/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 76
A04/11
Eurocup
Jena
#16
L
72-85
72
85
-13
69avg 76
A08/11
BBL
Buducnost
#6
L
71-84
71
84
-13
57avg 76
H12/11
Eurocup
Trento
#8
W
105-94
105
94
+11
101avg 76
A18/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 76
H23/11
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
63-87
63
87
-24
49avg 76
H04/12
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
81avg 76
A06/12
BBL
Panionios
#19
W
73-68
73
68
+5
66avg 76
H09/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
22-15
12-27
29-16
20-24
27-20
23-16
23-15
18-16
23-20
24-22
17-27
24-8
17-28
16-20
15-29
19-21
20-16
17-19
15-28
19-20
34-17
23-26
29-31
28-19
20-25
24-23
13-22
14-20
24-25
10-20
15-22
21-20
17-22
15-17
20-14
20-18
17-22
16-24
20-4
164.6Avg total
81.5Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.786.0174.7+2.744%
Season at home (4)97.882.5180.2+15.275%
Season away (5)81.488.8170.2-7.420%
Last 10 (10)81.583.1164.6-1.640%
Last 5 (5)81.684.8166.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.992.3174.2-10.411%
vs Similar ◀ (12)92.690.3182.9+2.250%
vs Weaker (8)82.076.6158.6+5.462%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Igokea
#39
W
70-68
70
68
+2
66avg 73
H14/10
Champions League
Oldenburg
#3
L
60-61
60
61
-1
55avg 73
A18/10
German Cup
Galatasaray
#8
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 73
A21/10
Champions League
Heidelberg
#18
L
51-85
51
85
-34
43avg 73
A25/10
BBL
Jena
#16
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
87avg 73
H31/10
BBL
Galatasaray
#8
L
74-99
74
99
-25
59avg 73
H04/11
Champions League
Rostock
#8
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 73
H09/11
BBL
Igokea
#39
W
85-56
85
56
+29
84avg 73
A19/11
Champions League
Frankfurt
#15
L
80-82
80
82
-2
77avg 73
A22/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
82-71
82
71
+11
57avg 73
H05/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
17-15
16-18
16-16
19-13
15-25
8-11
18-12
16-24
24-20
24-25
19-20
16-25
18-19
6-25
11-16
21-22
17-19
22-14
14-19
15-23
25-26
13-27
21-23
11-15
19-27
15-19
18-14
25-17
21-12
18-9
21-18
22-23
23-21
13-22
22-16
23-23
16-21
22-7
21-20
152.3Avg total
74.5Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.779.7159.3+0.067%
Season at home (5)86.082.0168.0+4.080%
Season away (4)71.876.8148.5-5.050%
Last 10 (10)74.577.8152.3-3.340%
Last 5 (5)76.876.6153.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.085.1169.1-1.157%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.182.8162.9-2.650%
vs Weaker (8)79.874.5154.2+5.275%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
ChemnitzWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#15
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H29/10
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H01/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A04/11
Eurocup
Jena
#16
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A08/11
BBL
Buducnost
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/11
Eurocup
Trento
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A18/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H23/11
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H04/12
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/12
BBL
Panionios
#19
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H09/12
Eurocup
82.6Avg total
43.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.685.8+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.341.784.9+1.660%-
Last 30 away (15)43.143.686.7-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.682.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.684.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.045.785.7-5.744%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.844.490.2+1.342%-
vs Weaker (8)43.237.680.9+5.675%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#39
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H14/10
Champions League
Oldenburg
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A18/10
German Cup
Galatasaray
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A21/10
Champions League
Heidelberg
#18
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A25/10
BBL
Jena
#16
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/10
BBL
Galatasaray
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H04/11
Champions League
Rostock
#8
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H09/11
BBL
Igokea
#39
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A19/11
Champions League
Frankfurt
#15
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A22/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/12
BBL
79.3Avg total
38.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.281.9-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.442.383.7-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)39.940.280.1-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.979.3-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.681.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.444.486.9-2.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.641.982.4-1.336%-
vs Weaker (8)40.037.877.8+2.262%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.616.8
54.9%
53.8%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.810.4
30.8%
34.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.015.9
75.7%
73.5%15.9
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.7
51.2%
53.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.9
32.8%
34.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.514.6
74.9%
73.5%14.6
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WLLLWLLLWW
Wurzburg
WLWLLWLLLW
#11
League position
#5
-1.8
Net rating
-4.6
105.4
Offensive rating
102.5
107.2
Defensive rating
107.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.3%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
20.0%
Turnover %
20.0%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.8%
3-point %
32.8%
69.1%
Assist %
54.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 102.5Defence107.2 · 107.1Shooting50.3% · 50.3%3-point %30.8% · 32.8%Ball care20.0% · 20.0%Off. rebounds32.5% · 28.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chemnitz wins
2
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
16/03/25Wurzburg v Chemnitz83-90
30/11/24Chemnitz v Wurzburg81-77
12/05/24Chemnitz v Wurzburg79-66
04/11/23Wurzburg v Chemnitz68-70
03/02/23Wurzburg v Chemnitz77-74
22/10/22Chemnitz v Wurzburg81-86
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25HPanionios73-68
06/12/25ABonn82-86 OT
04/12/25HTurk Telekom63-87
23/11/25HAlba Berlin85-89
18/11/25ATrento105-94
12/11/25HBuducnost71-84
08/11/25AJena72-85
04/11/25AJL Bourg82-85
01/11/25HBasketball Braunschweig93-75
29/10/25HUlm89-78
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25HOldenburg82-71
22/11/25AFrankfurt80-82
19/11/25AIgokea85-56
09/11/25HRostock63-75
04/11/25HGalatasaray74-99
31/10/25HJena97-92 OT
25/10/25AHeidelberg51-85
21/10/25AGalatasaray83-89
18/10/25AOldenburg60-61
14/10/25HIgokea70-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game88.797.881.4
Allowed / game86.082.588.8
Point differential+2.7+15.2-7.4
Avg total174.7180.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Wurzburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW67%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game79.786.071.8
Allowed / game79.782.076.8
Point differential+0.0+4.0-5.0
Avg total159.3168.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%85.074.8+10.2
2 Trier97278%88.486.2+2.2
3 Alba Berlin86275%87.281.2+6.0
4 Syntainics MBC96367%83.882.2+1.6
5 Wurzburg96367%79.779.7+0.0
6 Ludwigsburg85362%85.184.4+0.8
7 Bonn106460%77.877.5+0.3
8 Bamberg84450%89.684.0+5.6
9 Rostock84450%82.881.4+1.4
10 Frankfurt105550%85.083.7+1.3
11 Vechta84450%85.186.5-1.4
12 Jena84450%84.990.0-5.1
13 Chemnitz94544%88.786.0+2.7
14 Ulm94544%82.379.9+2.4
15 Basketball Braunschweig93633%79.786.1-6.4
16 Heidelberg92722%80.681.9-1.3
17 Oldenburg91811%80.986.6-5.7
18 Hamburg8080%79.193.5-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz1319102567
Wurzburg2715232186
← all games of the day
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