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Chemnitz vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-67
28-17 25-12 18-17 15-21
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#16
Record1-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeEurocupRound 2· Messe Chemnitz
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#13
W
93-88
93
88
+5
87avg 75
A07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
94-104
94
104
-10
86avg 75
A11/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
90-93
90
93
-3
74avg 75
H17/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 75
A20/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
97-88
97
88
+9
96avg 75
H25/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
64-92
64
92
-28
48avg 75
A27/05
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
81-94
81
94
-13
67avg 75
A28/09
BBL
Panionios
#19
L
86-89 OT
86
89
-3
79avg 75
A01/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#14
W
102-78
102
78
+24
101avg 75
H03/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
90-83
90
83
+7
87avg 75
A05/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
23-21
24-22
34-16
21-34
30-27
22-20
21-23
20-29
24-17
24-27
22-20
15-19
18-17
18-20
19-18
23-21
36-19
14-24
24-24
23-26
18-22
7-19
16-25
27-27
11-15
26-26
17-26
13-30
32-19
21-8
11-20
22-28
20-16
32-17
28-17
21-16
20-19
26-29
23-19
175.0Avg total
86.7Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.089.0175.0-3.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)86.089.0175.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)86.788.3175.0-1.640%
Last 5 (5)84.687.2171.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.395.6180.9-10.222%
vs Similar (16)84.485.1169.5-0.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.078.6163.6+6.480%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
70-94
70
94
-24
57avg 78
A08/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
83avg 78
H11/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
104-85
104
85
+19
106avg 78
A13/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 78
H16/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
81-73
81
73
+8
76avg 78
A18/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
84-96
84
96
-12
80avg 78
H20/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
105avg 78
H23/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
100-76
100
76
+24
111avg 78
H28/09
LKL
Besiktas
#2
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 78
H01/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
69avg 78
A05/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
16-27
26-24
11-19
22-23
21-17
22-19
18-31
17-21
27-21
28-20
32-23
16-18
23-25
24-13
29-22
15-22
16-15
31-19
19-17
21-26
18-18
22-29
23-23
21-13
31-17
21-21
28-23
27-13
30-13
21-28
22-22
22-19
13-24
20-14
30-22
16-19
26-22
22-24
16-22
171.2Avg total
88.0Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.079.0164.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)85.079.0164.0+6.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.083.2171.2+4.860%
Last 5 (5)90.082.4172.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.284.0163.2-4.833%
vs Similar (6)81.285.2166.3-4.033%
vs Weaker (15)91.378.3169.6+12.993%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
ChemnitzLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#13
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A07/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A11/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H17/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A20/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H25/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A27/05
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/09
BBL
Panionios
#19
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A01/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#14
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H03/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A05/10
BBL
88.0Avg total
42.9Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.184.7-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.141.683.8+0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)41.144.485.5-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.945.188.0-2.220%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.685.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.646.184.7-7.633%-
vs Similar (16)43.042.785.7+0.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.639.081.6+3.640%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A08/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A13/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A18/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H23/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H28/09
LKL
Besiktas
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H01/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A05/10
LKL
81.2Avg total
41.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.083.9+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.938.482.3+5.659%-
Last 30 away (13)41.444.585.9-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.781.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.036.881.8+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.342.280.6-3.933%-
vs Similar (6)42.841.784.5+1.250%-
vs Weaker (15)45.540.185.6+5.560%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.2
58.2%
54.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.6
32.2%
34.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.416.3
76.2%
75.2%16.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.7
58.5%
54.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.1
38.9%
34.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.016.5
75.0%
75.2%16.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWLLLWLLLW
Lietkabelis
LWWWLWWWLL
#12
League position
#16
-2.8
Net rating
+6.6
107.7
Offensive rating
115.4
110.5
Defensive rating
108.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
58.4%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
19.8%
Turnover %
19.0%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.2%
3-point %
38.9%
57.4%
Assist %
72.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 115.4Defence110.5 · 108.8Shooting53.6% · 58.4%3-point %32.2% · 38.9%Ball care19.8% · 19.0%Off. rebounds29.3% · 26.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
0
Lietkabelis wins
No previous meetings.
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25AHeidelberg90-83
03/10/25HHamburg102-78
01/10/25APanionios86-89 OT
28/09/25AUlm81-94
27/05/25AHeidelberg64-92
25/05/25HHeidelberg97-88
20/05/25AHeidelberg70-74
17/05/25HHeidelberg90-93
11/05/25AOldenburg94-104
07/05/25AHamburg93-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25ASiauliai80-87
01/10/25HBesiktas85-79
28/09/25HNevezis100-76
23/09/25HJonava101-74
20/09/25HNeptunas84-96
18/06/25AJonava81-73
16/06/25HJonava92-78
13/06/25AJonava104-85
11/06/25HJonava83-90
08/06/25ARytas70-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game86.0-86.0
Allowed / game89.0-89.0
Point differential-3.0--3.0
Avg total175.0-175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential+6.0+6.0-
Avg total164.0164.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JL Bourg110100%79.048.0+31.0
2 Buducnost110100%86.059.0+27.0
3 Hapoel Jerusalem110100%100.085.0+15.0
4 Bahcesehir Kol.220100%95.582.0+13.5
5 Slask Wroclaw110100%95.085.0+10.0
6 Cedevita Olimpija110100%76.069.0+7.0
7 Lietkabelis110100%85.079.0+6.0
8 Ulm220100%99.594.5+5.0
9 Aris110100%85.081.0+4.0
10 Besiktas21150%89.079.0+10.0
11 Cluj-Napoca21150%98.5100.0-1.5
12 Panionios21150%92.594.5-2.0
13 Chemnitz1010%86.089.0-3.0
14 Turk Telekom1010%93.096.0-3.0
15 Manresa1010%69.076.0-7.0
16 Neptunas2020%93.5101.0-7.5
17 Venezia2020%77.589.0-11.5
18 Hamburg1010%85.0100.0-15.0
19 London Lions2020%66.092.5-26.5
20 Trento1010%48.079.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2825181586
Lietkabelis1712172167
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